Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[61])
49	11.72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	11.82	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	11.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	12.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	12.08	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	12.15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	12.19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	12.22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	12.23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	12.25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	12.26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	12.27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	12.34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	12.38	12.3279	12.235	12.4208	0.136	0.3994	1	0.3994
63	12.42	12.3437	12.1897	12.4977	0.1657	0.322	1	0.5187
64	12.43	12.3359	12.1294	12.5424	0.1859	0.2124	0.9975	0.4845
65	12.48	12.3322	12.0618	12.6027	0.1421	0.2393	0.9662	0.4776
66	12.5	12.3354	12.0164	12.6544	0.1559	0.1872	0.8726	0.4887
67	12.5	12.327	11.9552	12.6988	0.1809	0.1809	0.7649	0.4727
68	12.49	12.3294	11.9117	12.7471	0.2256	0.2117	0.6962	0.4802
69	12.46	12.3283	11.8668	12.7898	0.288	0.2462	0.6619	0.4802
70	12.45	12.3266	11.8233	12.8299	0.3154	0.3017	0.6172	0.4792
71	12.45	12.327	11.7855	12.8686	0.3282	0.3282	0.5959	0.4813
72	12.38	12.3249	11.7461	12.9037	0.426	0.336	0.5738	0.4796
73	12.42	12.3152	11.7018	12.9287	0.3689	0.418	0.4685	0.4685

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
62	0.0038	0.0042	0	0.0027	0	0
63	0.0064	0.0062	0.0052	0.0058	0.0043	0.0653
64	0.0085	0.0076	0.006	0.0089	0.0058	0.0761
65	0.0112	0.012	0.0075	0.0218	0.0098	0.099
66	0.0132	0.0133	0.0087	0.0271	0.0133	0.1152
67	0.0154	0.014	0.0096	0.0299	0.016	0.1267
68	0.0173	0.013	0.0101	0.0258	0.0174	0.132
69	0.0191	0.0107	0.0101	0.0173	0.0174	0.132
70	0.0208	0.01	0.0101	0.0152	0.0172	0.1311
71	0.0224	0.01	0.0101	0.0151	0.017	0.1303
72	0.024	0.0045	0.0096	0.003	0.0157	0.1253
73	0.0254	0.0085	0.0095	0.011	0.0153	0.1237