| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 16306977 | 16306977 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16307888 | 16307769.6479338 | 802.429049481105 | 118.352066160875 | 0.596812355298189 |
| 3 | 16307482 | 16307743.9254104 | 159.003088416110 | -261.925410406686 | -0.480529304271365 |
| 4 | 16308869 | 16308689.3026867 | 793.076169037753 | 179.697313260461 | 0.442252697891651 |
| 5 | 16311019 | 16310832.9242033 | 1862.70797688004 | 186.075796733849 | 0.742740018322194 |
| 6 | 16312596 | 16312684.0558317 | 1853.52272502671 | -88.0558316668831 | -0.00639744523962094 |
| 7 | 16315238 | 16315142.9043079 | 2334.35981980677 | 95.0956920658428 | 0.334609318661443 |
| 8 | 16319511 | 16319237.7020088 | 3732.75073843248 | 273.297991176963 | 0.973170392718777 |
| 9 | 16327575 | 16326957.1334659 | 6899.09117146745 | 617.866534127253 | 2.20350686356295 |
| 10 | 16330818 | 16331475.1574874 | 5008.07321314193 | -657.157487428788 | -1.31598636352216 |
| 11 | 16331930 | 16332538.1536815 | 1874.89231978793 | -608.153681536321 | -2.18042618470508 |
| 12 | 16334210 | 16334079.2469868 | 1609.78577870023 | 130.753013182522 | -0.184491476964418 |
| 13 | 16334715 | 16334826.7444229 | 926.091133625024 | -111.744422934432 | -0.476802917964902 |
| 14 | 16335459 | 16335151.4000672 | 447.847366270083 | 307.59993282131 | -0.33749539563946 |
| 15 | 16334090 | 16334618.117871 | -298.049741571975 | -528.117871009226 | -0.520077635925116 |
| 16 | 16333559 | 16333754.7003244 | -731.900000761233 | -195.700324355116 | -0.305053408189535 |
| 17 | 16334600 | 16334072.7837556 | 71.2442703724557 | 527.216244442828 | 0.557250449839938 |
| 18 | 16336676 | 16336231.4863797 | 1662.18099228068 | 444.51362028547 | 1.10725994173139 |
| 19 | 16337253 | 16337524.1166632 | 1380.12465440747 | -271.116663239638 | -0.196343358778851 |
| 20 | 16342333 | 16342435.6136316 | 4076.61774239966 | -102.613631619211 | 1.87645403719288 |
| 21 | 16348917 | 16347890.6488007 | 5129.13450623755 | 1026.35119932635 | 0.732463197758377 |
| 22 | 16352678 | 16352698.5968288 | 4883.8971386203 | -20.5968287699800 | -0.170667100787337 |
| 23 | 16352972 | 16354257.2719908 | 2345.22375635811 | -1285.27199079785 | -1.76670740081873 |
| 24 | 16357992 | 16357468.0620039 | 3005.63222097429 | 523.937996111849 | 0.459649119766005 |
| 25 | 16359133 | 16359405.8328430 | 2191.04632983813 | -272.832843039710 | -0.56827557652956 |
| 26 | 16362938 | 16362200.8702167 | 2652.35595496233 | 737.129783275367 | 0.321476483744732 |
| 27 | 16365065 | 16365293.3243038 | 2984.19505624561 | -228.324303798122 | 0.230791017358861 |
| 28 | 16367596 | 16368017.7250692 | 2787.99214238032 | -421.725069207335 | -0.137297869625761 |
| 29 | 16371278 | 16371018.2731215 | 2948.79360768452 | 259.726878492811 | 0.111818714740832 |
| 30 | 16374541 | 16373812.8445784 | 2832.51974293858 | 728.155421570669 | -0.080850396004529 |
| 31 | 16377339 | 16378127.7928633 | 3950.47136757629 | -788.792863303477 | 0.778252166564338 |
| 32 | 16383275 | 16383598.1758963 | 5097.55420346252 | -323.175896299154 | 0.798293587672257 |
| 33 | 16393843 | 16392197.4303536 | 7740.67529984905 | 1645.56964645016 | 1.83935192007960 |
| 34 | 16399139 | 16398728.6118048 | 6827.78027766495 | 410.388195184257 | -0.635329030874804 |
| 35 | 16401009 | 16403003.486197 | 4901.53774300114 | -1994.48619698999 | -1.3404772077725 |
| 36 | 16405399 | 16405095.4540239 | 2782.98676016899 | 303.545976141113 | -1.47494285795660 |
| 37 | 16409106 | 16409192.3747816 | 3774.29149833876 | -86.3747816425482 | 0.691067023130556 |
| 38 | 16414307 | 16413596.7763131 | 4249.49417686857 | 710.223686855878 | 0.330632798218718 |
| 39 | 16418055 | 16418160.5430980 | 4485.10969395089 | -105.543098029488 | 0.163895632310000 |
| 40 | 16423337 | 16423548.7354262 | 5162.42715779133 | -211.735426237306 | 0.472759137459043 |
| 41 | 16428686 | 16428291.9387746 | 4847.38081791848 | 394.061225427853 | -0.219284536099624 |
| 42 | 16434935 | 16434135.7410467 | 5594.66001902326 | 799.258953275607 | 0.519578141479515 |
| 43 | 16440452 | 16441304.0404970 | 6774.24722315774 | -852.040497029385 | 0.820976447031814 |
| 44 | 16449092 | 16450121.2722794 | 8306.68993293857 | -1029.27227938766 | 1.06654219208397 |
| 45 | 16464859 | 16462393.9699166 | 11282.4038547928 | 2465.03008344967 | 2.07080225025958 |
| 46 | 16473709 | 16472938.9264246 | 10729.1228671495 | 770.073575354833 | -0.385049269862007 |
| 47 | 16479291 | 16481031.4089633 | 8751.70695851332 | -1740.40896331086 | -1.37612014232664 |
| 48 | 16485787 | 16486410.7276573 | 6223.40967259856 | -623.727657251446 | -1.76040189691263 |
| 49 | 16489042 | 16489783.6976704 | 4085.16478635051 | -741.697670374698 | -1.48962248093219 |
| 50 | 16495231 | 16494443.1340520 | 4515.60734023491 | 787.865948037781 | 0.299424906629549 |
| 51 | 16501683 | 16501480.8014666 | 6399.5827438526 | 202.1985333551 | 1.31072720351576 |
| 52 | 16506782 | 16506931.2948615 | 5690.51396384101 | -149.294861518056 | -0.494327611006217 |
| 53 | 16513615 | 16513076.1797275 | 6030.51567022144 | 538.82027247273 | 0.236716011241474 |
| 54 | 16520661 | 16519847.5436199 | 6584.28848106541 | 813.456380054838 | 0.385112131890457 |
| 55 | 16528400 | 16529189.1650437 | 8643.8766878351 | -789.16504367954 | 1.43315819182033 |
| 56 | 16538542 | 16540342.1744051 | 10518.8945209348 | -1800.17440510935 | 1.30495496219462 |
| 57 | 16554596 | 16552054.3315249 | 11410.8848158281 | 2541.66847509516 | 0.62074453128931 |
| 58 | 16562317 | 16561519.7747520 | 9956.67739629438 | 797.225247964324 | -1.01201261439228 |
| 59 | 16568499 | 16569739.0854073 | 8658.4253068564 | -1240.08540732774 | -0.90352086081914 |
| 60 | 16574989 | 16575388.4899152 | 6410.18136671235 | -399.489915176402 | -1.56536530441666 |
