Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 48 | 40.5235101540583 | 4.53898378750045 | 50.9375060584412 | -7.47648984594167 |
2 | 49 | 47.706743987445 | -1.25511601234232 | 51.5483720248974 | -1.29325601255504 |
3 | 59 | 60.4899882769663 | 5.35077373168023 | 52.1592379913535 | 1.48998827696627 |
4 | 56 | 59.3420028418757 | 0.0276585464509334 | 52.6303386116734 | 3.34200284187571 |
5 | 47 | 45.9940282550252 | -5.09546748701842 | 53.1014392319932 | -1.00597174497478 |
6 | 56 | 50.9446189887345 | 7.63173466687091 | 53.4236463443946 | -5.05538101126552 |
7 | 50 | 51.6951757399989 | -5.44102919679496 | 53.745853456796 | 1.69517573999894 |
8 | 54 | 58.0969022070982 | -4.03122562466467 | 53.9343234175665 | 4.09690220709817 |
9 | 79 | 100.098631157527 | 3.77857546413561 | 54.122793378337 | 21.0986311575274 |
10 | 50 | 48.6160729127785 | -2.38572124101721 | 53.7696483282387 | -1.38392708722149 |
11 | 54 | 54.3335255162741 | 0.249971205585469 | 53.4165032781404 | 0.333525516274136 |
12 | 56 | 62.9623844100522 | -3.36915145511262 | 52.4067670450604 | 6.96238441005222 |
13 | 50 | 44.0639854005192 | 4.53898378750045 | 51.3970308119804 | -5.93601459948084 |
14 | 46 | 43.5002841969141 | -1.25511601234232 | 49.7548318154283 | -2.49971580308594 |
15 | 47 | 40.5365934494436 | 5.35077373168023 | 48.1126328188761 | -6.46340655055636 |
16 | 43 | 39.607547516891 | 0.0276585464509334 | 46.364793936658 | -3.39245248310897 |
17 | 52 | 64.4785124325785 | -5.09546748701842 | 44.6169550544399 | 12.4785124325785 |
18 | 48 | 44.8374433965755 | 7.63173466687091 | 43.5308219365536 | -3.16255660342454 |
19 | 36 | 34.9963403781276 | -5.44102919679496 | 42.4446888186673 | -1.00365962187237 |
20 | 41 | 44.4354343302562 | -4.03122562466467 | 41.5957912944085 | 3.43543433025615 |
21 | 34 | 23.4745307657147 | 3.77857546413561 | 40.7468937701497 | -10.5254692342853 |
22 | 37 | 36.5251065417862 | -2.38572124101721 | 39.860614699231 | -0.474893458213792 |
23 | 37 | 34.7756931661022 | 0.249971205585469 | 38.9743356283123 | -2.22430683389776 |
24 | 34 | 33.2677183167266 | -3.36915145511262 | 38.101433138386 | -0.732281683273364 |
25 | 55 | 68.2324855640399 | 4.53898378750045 | 37.2285306484597 | 13.2324855640399 |
26 | 37 | 38.335365496476 | -1.25511601234232 | 36.9197505158663 | 1.33536549647597 |
27 | 27 | 12.0382558850468 | 5.35077373168023 | 36.610970383273 | -14.9617441149532 |
28 | 38 | 39.0386005045540 | 0.0276585464509334 | 36.9337409489951 | 1.03860050455395 |
29 | 43 | 53.8389559723012 | -5.09546748701842 | 37.2565115147172 | 10.8389559723012 |
30 | 26 | 6.97353883767646 | 7.63173466687091 | 37.3947264954526 | -19.0264611623235 |
31 | 32 | 31.9080877206069 | -5.44102919679496 | 37.5329414761880 | -0.0919122793930782 |
32 | 29 | 24.86974366952 | -4.03122562466467 | 37.1614819551447 | -4.13025633048001 |
33 | 41 | 41.4314021017631 | 3.77857546413561 | 36.7900224341013 | 0.431402101763069 |
34 | 55 | 76.0190378870338 | -2.38572124101721 | 36.3666833539834 | 21.0190378870338 |
35 | 50 | 63.806684520549 | 0.249971205585469 | 35.9433442738655 | 13.8066845205490 |
36 | 30 | 27.8251849818526 | -3.36915145511262 | 35.5439664732601 | -2.17481501814743 |
37 | 35 | 30.3164275398449 | 4.53898378750045 | 35.1445886726546 | -4.68357246015507 |
38 | 29 | 24.6283680704460 | -1.25511601234232 | 34.6267479418963 | -4.37163192955396 |
39 | 22 | 4.54031905718184 | 5.35077373168023 | 34.1089072111379 | -17.4596809428182 |
40 | 39 | 44.0177052111099 | 0.0276585464509334 | 33.9546362424392 | 5.01770521110991 |
41 | 24 | 19.2951022132780 | -5.09546748701842 | 33.8003652737404 | -4.70489778672195 |
42 | 38 | 32.8863513789105 | 7.63173466687091 | 35.4819139542186 | -5.11364862108949 |
43 | 30 | 28.2775665620982 | -5.44102919679496 | 37.1634626346968 | -1.7224334379018 |
44 | 31 | 24.9370552248145 | -4.03122562466467 | 41.0941703998502 | -6.06294477518555 |
45 | 39 | 29.1965463708607 | 3.77857546413561 | 45.0248781650037 | -9.8034536291393 |
46 | 33 | 18.8403056546883 | -2.38572124101721 | 49.5454155863289 | -14.1596943453117 |
47 | 57 | 59.6840757867605 | 0.249971205585469 | 54.0659530076541 | 2.68407578676047 |
48 | 49 | 42.8443941850867 | -3.36915145511262 | 58.5247572700259 | -6.15560581491329 |
49 | 74 | 80.4774546801018 | 4.53898378750045 | 62.9835615323978 | 6.47745468010179 |
50 | 74 | 82.4969203993624 | -1.25511601234232 | 66.75819561298 | 8.49692039936237 |
51 | 115 | 154.116396574758 | 5.35077373168023 | 70.5328296935621 | 39.1163965747576 |
52 | 67 | 62.4610337748325 | 0.0276585464509334 | 71.5113076787166 | -4.53896622516754 |
53 | 51 | 34.6056818231474 | -5.09546748701842 | 72.4897856638711 | -16.3943181768526 |
54 | 114 | 147.112561958790 | 7.63173466687091 | 73.2557033743388 | 33.1125619587903 |
55 | 70 | 71.4194081119885 | -5.44102919679496 | 74.0216210848065 | 1.41940811198847 |
56 | 73 | 75.4866207060429 | -4.03122562466467 | 74.5446049186218 | 2.48662070604286 |
57 | 77 | 75.1538357834272 | 3.77857546413561 | 75.0675887524371 | -1.84616421657276 |
58 | 67 | 61.1181064603879 | -2.38572124101721 | 75.2676147806293 | -5.88189353961214 |
59 | 60 | 44.282387985593 | 0.249971205585469 | 75.4676408088215 | -15.717612014407 |
60 | 73 | 73.9373510247025 | -3.36915145511262 | 75.4318004304102 | 0.937351024702451 |