| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 1311 | 0 | 132 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 377 | 382.428098174186 | 3.83527790809046 | 367.736623917723 | 5.4280981741864 |
| 2 | 370 | 371.49778468648 | 1.88092257262018 | 366.6212927409 | 1.49778468647992 |
| 3 | 358 | 353.385652604302 | -2.89161416837898 | 365.505961564077 | -4.61434739569762 |
| 4 | 357 | 355.517107940219 | -5.89575270014044 | 364.378644759922 | -1.48289205978108 |
| 5 | 349 | 345.466742134595 | -10.7180700903614 | 363.251327955766 | -3.53325786540506 |
| 6 | 348 | 343.84196007035 | -9.92232934353665 | 362.080369273187 | -4.15803992965044 |
| 7 | 369 | 366.308089160281 | 10.7825002491113 | 360.909410590608 | -2.69191083971896 |
| 8 | 381 | 389.107135357275 | 13.1397900208043 | 359.753074621921 | 8.10713535727473 |
| 9 | 368 | 371.360720577115 | 6.04254076965048 | 358.596738653234 | 3.36072057711522 |
| 10 | 361 | 363.114307971305 | 1.19226840949127 | 357.693423619204 | 2.11430797130492 |
| 11 | 351 | 351.686077795541 | -6.47618638071424 | 356.790108585173 | 0.686077795540882 |
| 12 | 351 | 347.024052300319 | -0.969349629556216 | 355.945297329238 | -3.97594769968129 |
| 13 | 358 | 357.064236018608 | 3.83527790809046 | 355.100486073302 | -0.935763981392085 |
| 14 | 354 | 351.434883079667 | 1.88092257262018 | 354.684194347713 | -2.56511692033331 |
| 15 | 347 | 342.623711546254 | -2.89161416837898 | 354.267902622125 | -4.37628845374564 |
| 16 | 345 | 341.289600776253 | -5.89575270014044 | 354.606151923887 | -3.71039922374678 |
| 17 | 343 | 341.773668864712 | -10.7180700903614 | 354.94440122565 | -1.22633113528843 |
| 18 | 340 | 334.213289525198 | -9.92232934353665 | 355.709039818339 | -5.78671047480213 |
| 19 | 362 | 356.743821339861 | 10.7825002491113 | 356.473678411028 | -5.25617866013903 |
| 20 | 370 | 369.422075392834 | 13.1397900208043 | 357.438134586362 | -0.577924607165869 |
| 21 | 373 | 381.554868468654 | 6.04254076965048 | 358.402590761695 | 8.55486846865415 |
| 22 | 371 | 381.237955085691 | 1.19226840949127 | 359.569776504818 | 10.2379550856911 |
| 23 | 354 | 353.739224132774 | -6.47618638071424 | 360.73696224794 | -0.260775867225789 |
| 24 | 357 | 353.140693285815 | -0.969349629556216 | 361.828656343741 | -3.85930671418527 |
| 25 | 363 | 359.244371652367 | 3.83527790809046 | 362.920350439543 | -3.75562834763338 |
| 26 | 364 | 362.389551457028 | 1.88092257262018 | 363.729525970351 | -1.61044854297165 |
| 27 | 363 | 364.352912667219 | -2.89161416837898 | 364.53870150116 | 1.3529126672189 |
| 28 | 358 | 356.220667695775 | -5.89575270014044 | 365.675085004366 | -1.77933230422542 |
| 29 | 357 | 357.90660158279 | -10.7180700903614 | 366.811468507572 | 0.90660158278979 |
| 30 | 357 | 355.117320054771 | -9.92232934353665 | 368.805009288765 | -1.88267994522874 |
| 31 | 380 | 378.418949680929 | 10.7825002491113 | 370.798550069959 | -1.58105031907053 |
| 32 | 378 | 369.532724340587 | 13.1397900208043 | 373.327485638609 | -8.46727565941296 |
| 33 | 376 | 370.101038023091 | 6.04254076965048 | 375.856421207258 | -5.89896197690859 |
| 34 | 380 | 379.999787964718 | 1.19226840949127 | 378.807943625791 | -0.000212035281947465 |
| 35 | 379 | 382.716720336391 | -6.47618638071424 | 381.759466044323 | 3.71672033639101 |
| 36 | 384 | 383.866267832976 | -0.969349629556216 | 385.10308179658 | -0.133732167023766 |
| 37 | 392 | 391.718024543073 | 3.83527790809046 | 388.446697548837 | -0.281975456927171 |
| 38 | 394 | 394.252764599067 | 1.88092257262018 | 391.866312828313 | 0.252764599066893 |
| 39 | 392 | 391.60568606059 | -2.89161416837898 | 395.285928107789 | -0.394313939410154 |
| 40 | 396 | 399.472285463411 | -5.89575270014044 | 398.423467236729 | 3.47228546341114 |
| 41 | 392 | 393.157063724692 | -10.7180700903614 | 401.56100636567 | 1.15706372469191 |
| 42 | 396 | 397.519922304758 | -9.92232934353665 | 404.402407038779 | 1.51992230475815 |
| 43 | 419 | 419.973692039001 | 10.7825002491113 | 407.243807711888 | 0.97369203900115 |
| 44 | 421 | 418.853692364396 | 13.1397900208043 | 410.006517614799 | -2.14630763560365 |
| 45 | 420 | 421.188231712638 | 6.04254076965048 | 412.769227517711 | 1.18823171263836 |
| 46 | 418 | 419.393075573557 | 1.19226840949127 | 415.414656016952 | 1.39307557355664 |
| 47 | 410 | 408.416101864521 | -6.47618638071424 | 418.060084516193 | -1.58389813547888 |
| 48 | 418 | 416.461828236798 | -0.969349629556216 | 420.507521392758 | -1.53817176320206 |
| 49 | 426 | 425.209763822586 | 3.83527790809046 | 422.954958269323 | -0.790236177413931 |
| 50 | 428 | 428.67314251794 | 1.88092257262018 | 425.44593490944 | 0.673142517940278 |
| 51 | 430 | 434.954702618823 | -2.89161416837898 | 427.936911549556 | 4.95470261882332 |
| 52 | 424 | 422.90931447306 | -5.89575270014044 | 430.986438227081 | -1.09068552694038 |
| 53 | 423 | 422.682105185755 | -10.7180700903614 | 434.035964904606 | -0.317894814244596 |
| 54 | 427 | 426.539694266638 | -9.92232934353665 | 437.382635076898 | -0.460305733361736 |
| 55 | 441 | 430.488194501698 | 10.7825002491113 | 440.729305249191 | -10.511805498302 |
| 56 | 449 | 440.997681709836 | 13.1397900208043 | 443.86252826936 | -8.0023182901644 |
| 57 | 452 | 450.96170794082 | 6.04254076965048 | 446.995751289529 | -1.03829205917998 |
| 58 | 462 | 472.911588941539 | 1.19226840949127 | 449.89614264897 | 10.911588941539 |
| 59 | 455 | 463.679652372304 | -6.47618638071424 | 452.79653400841 | 8.6796523723043 |
| 60 | 461 | 467.626159375118 | -0.969349629556216 | 455.343190254438 | 6.62615937511805 |
| 61 | 461 | 460.274875591443 | 3.83527790809046 | 457.889846500466 | -0.725124408556894 |
| 62 | 463 | 464.561544856292 | 1.88092257262018 | 459.557532571088 | 1.56154485629224 |
| 63 | 462 | 465.66639552667 | -2.89161416837898 | 461.225218641709 | 3.66639552667033 |
| 64 | 456 | 455.964800318236 | -5.89575270014044 | 461.930952381904 | -0.0351996817635154 |
| 65 | 455 | 458.081383968262 | -10.7180700903614 | 462.636686122099 | 3.08138396826212 |
| 66 | 456 | 458.923082320565 | -9.92232934353665 | 462.999247022972 | 2.92308232056456 |
| 67 | 472 | 469.855691827044 | 10.7825002491113 | 463.361807923845 | -2.14430817295619 |
| 68 | 472 | 467.198472822819 | 13.1397900208043 | 463.661737156376 | -4.80152717718056 |
| 69 | 471 | 471.995792841442 | 6.04254076965048 | 463.961666388908 | 0.995792841441812 |
| 70 | 465 | 464.507920009011 | 1.19226840949127 | 464.299811581498 | -0.492079990988827 |
| 71 | 459 | 459.838229606627 | -6.47618638071424 | 464.637956774087 | 0.83822960662684 |
| 72 | 465 | 465.881306255307 | -0.969349629556216 | 465.088043374249 | 0.881306255307038 |
| 73 | 468 | 466.626592117499 | 3.83527790809046 | 465.538129974411 | -1.37340788250145 |
| 74 | 467 | 466.372922283053 | 1.88092257262018 | 465.746155144326 | -0.627077716946644 |
| 75 | 463 | 462.937433854137 | -2.89161416837898 | 465.954180314242 | -0.0625661458629452 |
| 76 | 460 | 460.571751305548 | -5.89575270014044 | 465.324001394593 | 0.571751305547934 |
| 77 | 462 | 470.024247615418 | -10.7180700903614 | 464.693822474943 | 8.02424761541829 |
| 78 | 461 | 468.858540698697 | -9.92232934353665 | 463.06378864484 | 7.85854069869674 |
| 79 | 476 | 479.783744936152 | 10.7825002491113 | 461.433754814737 | 3.783744936152 |
| 80 | 476 | 480.039105503396 | 13.1397900208043 | 458.8211044758 | 4.03910550339583 |
| 81 | 471 | 479.749005093487 | 6.04254076965048 | 456.208454136863 | 8.74900509348652 |
| 82 | 453 | 452.096719590144 | 1.19226840949127 | 452.711012000365 | -0.903280409856166 |
| 83 | 443 | 443.262616516847 | -6.47618638071424 | 449.213569863867 | 0.262616516847345 |
| 84 | 442 | 439.781522090252 | -0.969349629556216 | 445.187827539304 | -2.21847790974783 |
| 85 | 444 | 443.002636877168 | 3.83527790809046 | 441.162085214741 | -0.9973631228317 |
| 86 | 438 | 436.884081976906 | 1.88092257262018 | 437.234995450474 | -1.11591802309397 |
| 87 | 427 | 423.583708482173 | -2.89161416837898 | 433.307905686206 | -3.41629151782735 |
| 88 | 424 | 424.094813066292 | -5.89575270014044 | 429.800939633849 | 0.0948130662916924 |
| 89 | 416 | 416.42409650887 | -10.7180700903614 | 426.293973581491 | 0.424096508870264 |
| 90 | 406 | 398.567444234079 | -9.92232934353665 | 423.354885109457 | -7.43255576592077 |
| 91 | 431 | 430.801703113465 | 10.7825002491113 | 420.415796637424 | -0.19829688653499 |
| 92 | 434 | 436.990172258828 | 13.1397900208043 | 417.870037720368 | 2.99017225882778 |
| 93 | 418 | 414.633180427037 | 6.04254076965048 | 415.324278803312 | -3.36681957296258 |
| 94 | 412 | 409.732237939769 | 1.19226840949127 | 413.07549365074 | -2.26776206023112 |
| 95 | 404 | 403.649477882547 | -6.47618638071424 | 410.826708498168 | -0.350522117453409 |
| 96 | 409 | 410.012554405907 | -0.969349629556216 | 408.956795223649 | 1.012554405907 |
| 97 | 412 | 413.077840142779 | 3.83527790809046 | 407.086881949131 | 1.07784014277877 |
| 98 | 406 | 404.574708121955 | 1.88092257262018 | 405.544369305425 | -1.42529187804507 |
| 99 | 398 | 394.88975750666 | -2.89161416837898 | 404.001856661719 | -3.11024249334002 |
| 100 | 397 | 396.963304743901 | -5.89575270014044 | 402.932447956239 | -0.0366952560989944 |
| 101 | 385 | 378.855030839602 | -10.7180700903614 | 401.86303925076 | -6.14496916039849 |
| 102 | 390 | 388.16818213107 | -9.92232934353665 | 401.754147212467 | -1.83181786892999 |
| 103 | 413 | 413.572244576715 | 10.7825002491113 | 401.645255174173 | 0.57224457671532 |
| 104 | 413 | 409.847464782544 | 13.1397900208043 | 403.012745196652 | -3.15253521745632 |
| 105 | 401 | 391.577224011219 | 6.04254076965048 | 404.380235219131 | -9.42277598878115 |
| 106 | 397 | 385.683461897031 | 1.19226840949127 | 407.124269693478 | -11.3165381029692 |
| 107 | 397 | 390.607882212889 | -6.47618638071424 | 409.868304167825 | -6.39211778711092 |
| 108 | 409 | 405.402993676285 | -0.969349629556216 | 413.566355953271 | -3.59700632371522 |
| 109 | 419 | 416.900314353192 | 3.83527790809046 | 417.264407738718 | -2.09968564680821 |
| 110 | 424 | 424.806344430562 | 1.88092257262018 | 421.312732996818 | 0.806344430561921 |
| 111 | 428 | 433.530555913461 | -2.89161416837898 | 425.361058254918 | 5.53055591346094 |
| 112 | 430 | 436.717433395931 | -5.89575270014044 | 429.178319304209 | 6.71743339593132 |
| 113 | 424 | 425.722489736861 | -10.7180700903614 | 432.9955803535 | 1.72248973686118 |
| 114 | 433 | 439.677487572926 | -9.92232934353665 | 436.244841770611 | 6.677487572926 |
| 115 | 456 | 461.723396563168 | 10.7825002491113 | 439.494103187721 | 5.72339656316763 |
| 116 | 459 | 462.881743031211 | 13.1397900208043 | 441.978466947984 | 3.88174303121127 |
| 117 | 446 | 441.494628522102 | 6.04254076965048 | 444.462830708248 | -4.50537147789822 |
| 118 | 441 | 434.794694058862 | 1.19226840949127 | 446.013037531646 | -6.20530594113757 |
| 119 | 439 | 436.912942025669 | -6.47618638071424 | 447.563244355045 | -2.08705797433072 |
| 120 | 454 | 460.302253624712 | -0.969349629556216 | 448.667096004845 | 6.30225362471168 |
| 121 | 460 | 466.393774437265 | 3.83527790809046 | 449.770947654644 | 6.39377443726534 |
| 122 | 457 | 461.748481899322 | 1.88092257262018 | 450.370595528058 | 4.74848189932186 |
| 123 | 451 | 453.921370766907 | -2.89161416837898 | 450.970243401472 | 2.92137076690727 |
| 124 | 444 | 443.049331041713 | -5.89575270014044 | 450.846421658428 | -0.950668958287338 |
| 125 | 437 | 433.995470174978 | -10.7180700903614 | 450.722599915384 | -3.00452982502247 |
| 126 | 443 | 445.43155190426 | -9.92232934353665 | 450.490777439277 | 2.43155190425972 |
| 127 | 471 | 480.958544787719 | 10.7825002491113 | 450.25895496317 | 9.95854478771867 |
| 128 | 469 | 474.908805139556 | 13.1397900208043 | 449.95140483964 | 5.9088051395558 |
| 129 | 454 | 452.31360451424 | 6.04254076965048 | 449.64385471611 | -1.68639548576027 |
| 130 | 444 | 437.589233978789 | 1.19226840949127 | 449.21849761172 | -6.4107660212112 |
| 131 | 436 | 429.683045873384 | -6.47618638071424 | 448.79314050733 | -6.31695412661594 |
