Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[78])
66	3.497704	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	3.296867	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	3.602417	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	3.3001	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
70	3.40193	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
71	3.502591	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
72	3.402348	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	3.498551	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
74	3.199823	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
75	2.700064	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
76	2.801034	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
77	2.898628	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
78	2.800854	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
79	2.3999	2.8221	2.1863	3.5389	0.1242	0.5231	0.0971	0.5231
80	2.4027	2.8221	2.0523	3.7141	0.1784	0.8232	0.0432	0.5186
81	2.2023	2.8221	1.9429	3.8648	0.122	0.7847	0.1845	0.5159
82	2.1026	2.8221	1.8491	3.9999	0.1156	0.8488	0.1673	0.5141
83	1.7983	2.8221	1.7664	4.1239	0.0616	0.8606	0.1528	0.5127
84	1.2025	2.8221	1.692	4.2396	0.0126	0.9215	0.2112	0.5117
85	1.4002	2.8221	1.6243	4.3487	0.034	0.9812	0.1926	0.5109
86	1.2008	2.8221	1.5619	4.4523	0.0256	0.9563	0.3249	0.5102
87	1.2981	2.8221	1.504	4.5515	0.0421	0.9669	0.555	0.5096
88	1.0997	2.8221	1.45	4.6467	0.0322	0.9492	0.509	0.5091
89	1.0014	2.8221	1.3994	4.7387	0.0313	0.9609	0.4688	0.5087
90	0.8362	2.8221	1.3516	4.8277	0.0261	0.9624	0.5083	0.5083

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
79	0.1296	-0.1496	0	0.1782	0	0
80	0.1613	-0.1486	0.1491	0.1759	0.177	0.4207
81	0.1885	-0.2196	0.1726	0.3841	0.246	0.496
82	0.2129	-0.2549	0.1932	0.5177	0.3139	0.5603
83	0.2354	-0.3628	0.2271	1.0481	0.4608	0.6788
84	0.2563	-0.5739	0.2849	2.6231	0.8212	0.9062
85	0.276	-0.5038	0.3162	2.0217	0.9927	0.9963
86	0.2947	-0.5745	0.3485	2.6284	1.1971	1.0941
87	0.3127	-0.54	0.3698	2.3226	1.3222	1.1499
88	0.3299	-0.6103	0.3938	2.9664	1.4866	1.2193
89	0.3465	-0.6452	0.4167	3.3149	1.6528	1.2856
90	0.3626	-0.7037	0.4406	3.9438	1.8437	1.3578