| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 631923 | 631923 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 654294 | 640883.062091297 | 58.2369104281338 | 13410.9379087028 | 0.870101942620719 |
| 3 | 671833 | 659978.109800145 | 1361.16348015452 | 11854.8901998549 | 1.21250700863849 |
| 4 | 586840 | 634514.944964641 | -500.422008212281 | -47674.9449646414 | -2.06794140946806 |
| 5 | 600969 | 615912.806174712 | -1507.09675081473 | -14943.8061747120 | -1.61590972933664 |
| 6 | 625568 | 614032.110328952 | -1522.89383977323 | 11535.8896710478 | -0.0350286263330579 |
| 7 | 558110 | 593140.118042973 | -2196.54109594810 | -35030.1180429727 | -1.83345160349387 |
| 8 | 630577 | 600218.095509561 | -1896.40823225076 | 30358.9044904386 | 0.876904923948176 |
| 9 | 628654 | 612833.326872307 | -1419.65417920352 | 15820.673127693 | 1.36704279366699 |
| 10 | 603184 | 613302.812440088 | -1354.47643963656 | -10118.8124400881 | 0.17724256864487 |
| 11 | 656255 | 629335.124976381 | -722.955668661187 | 26919.875023619 | 1.62531662340823 |
| 12 | 600730 | 623976.689489094 | -898.763630233703 | -23246.6894890941 | -0.432013364168491 |
| 13 | 670326 | 639766.057131666 | -676.83930550591 | 30559.9428683344 | 1.61502314486249 |
| 14 | 678423 | 652569.587276565 | -383.264973255434 | 25853.4127234352 | 1.30365350864099 |
| 15 | 641502 | 638828.94453781 | -910.977030090224 | 2673.0554621898 | -1.18800328403872 |
| 16 | 625311 | 642600.004479112 | -678.008841708379 | -17289.0044791118 | 0.400545870968206 |
| 17 | 628177 | 641561.528828103 | -696.890328298752 | -13384.5288281033 | -0.031438274222113 |
| 18 | 589767 | 614784.422819683 | -2021.64719606864 | -25017.4228196831 | -2.34086191678930 |
| 19 | 582471 | 611504.661769796 | -2082.10455276308 | -29033.6617697958 | -0.114695932407457 |
| 20 | 636248 | 611732.1246212 | -1976.27956321139 | 24515.8753788002 | 0.211486581305645 |
| 21 | 599885 | 603219.619405101 | -2266.65430323451 | -3334.61940510131 | -0.59813091010527 |
| 22 | 621694 | 614623.48779648 | -1672.29889449666 | 7070.51220351946 | 1.24786334093369 |
| 23 | 637406 | 616987.836751044 | -1500.95476842696 | 20418.1632489557 | 0.367482251401571 |
| 24 | 595994 | 622886.86410331 | -1196.36363002908 | -26892.8641033097 | 0.673558445304402 |
| 25 | 696308 | 641217.827556756 | -409.151440326767 | 55090.1724432444 | 1.78546658756512 |
| 26 | 674201 | 645593.018798181 | -208.106659328355 | 28607.9812018193 | 0.436190753169657 |
| 27 | 648861 | 646673.46291519 | -149.515154237607 | 2187.53708480935 | 0.115487101598923 |
| 28 | 649605 | 651115.387172063 | 73.6356992150639 | -1510.38717206288 | 0.405359894879599 |
| 29 | 672392 | 658705.612795099 | 451.841873797849 | 13686.3872049013 | 0.663448207717381 |
| 30 | 598396 | 647540.416134674 | -136.376908711277 | -49144.4161346743 | -1.03514024494336 |
| 31 | 613177 | 642845.965516264 | -364.573718091083 | -29668.9655162635 | -0.409772769477338 |
| 32 | 638104 | 631122.810722943 | -922.693793967801 | 6981.18927705703 | -1.02491277267480 |
| 33 | 615632 | 627398.254799479 | -1057.70393999742 | -11766.2547994786 | -0.252663517048866 |
| 34 | 634465 | 628705.934932766 | -945.688639701368 | 5759.06506723356 | 0.212830168187981 |
| 35 | 638686 | 629064.586186385 | -884.754883040422 | 9621.41381361505 | 0.117200892547003 |
| 36 | 604243 | 634757.635713912 | -579.721107644485 | -30514.6357139119 | 0.591475406587797 |
| 37 | 706669 | 643652.432019186 | -139.278149619305 | 63016.567980814 | 0.853208501470973 |
| 38 | 677185 | 648679.291097883 | 104.239280767979 | 28505.7089021169 | 0.464575850538986 |
| 39 | 644328 | 648892.72865147 | 109.494283464402 | -4564.72865146991 | 0.00976606787537028 |
| 40 | 644825 | 647998.751484121 | 60.2461510778955 | -3173.75148412108 | -0.0892435527487273 |
| 41 | 605707 | 623470.038716112 | -1162.24306819031 | -17763.0387161125 | -2.18418612630771 |
| 42 | 600136 | 623722.307009521 | -1091.58436184098 | -23586.3070095207 | 0.126046992046446 |
| 43 | 612166 | 627326.217790693 | -857.529488392752 | -15160.2177906930 | 0.420115755286465 |
| 44 | 599659 | 615204.862783674 | -1415.38514912309 | -15545.8627836745 | -1.00981635293772 |
| 45 | 634210 | 623942.648201374 | -916.64300310033 | 10267.3517986261 | 0.909835632680837 |
| 46 | 618234 | 623444.698711904 | -896.236432828956 | -5210.69871190365 | 0.0374660322799234 |
| 47 | 613576 | 618805.939516748 | -1077.58634313920 | -5229.93951674795 | -0.33465379495846 |
| 48 | 627200 | 634100.435369126 | -286.263036729866 | -6900.43536912622 | 1.46480556962559 |
| 49 | 668973 | 628443.897159596 | -546.175301979303 | 40529.1028404044 | -0.480894980906667 |
| 50 | 651479 | 623354.973172588 | -767.087409831599 | 28124.0268274116 | -0.40663516065264 |
| 51 | 619661 | 618999.796259778 | -942.731535817732 | 661.203740222094 | -0.320527918171830 |
| 52 | 644260 | 622417.093826395 | -727.934213792342 | 21842.9061736054 | 0.388602015865585 |
| 53 | 579936 | 614513.71939009 | -1083.03905441044 | -34577.7193900896 | -0.639061663788828 |
| 54 | 601752 | 616261.939298102 | -942.642134663424 | -14509.9392981017 | 0.252440870918791 |
| 55 | 595376 | 612928.064436625 | -1061.17298057994 | -17552.0644366253 | -0.213580132561553 |
| 56 | 588902 | 611090.277900632 | -1099.58663658828 | -22188.2779006318 | -0.0694320211974531 |
| 57 | 634341 | 615330.576849084 | -836.260349309768 | 19010.4231509156 | 0.477291551879027 |
| 58 | 594305 | 611087.765390418 | -1003.73516018141 | -16782.7653904183 | -0.304250945416232 |
| 59 | 606200 | 612625.154828568 | -879.09570662298 | -6425.15482856835 | 0.226867224660252 |
| 60 | 610926 | 612657.090778234 | -834.457077326572 | -1731.09077823357 | 0.0813595344391838 |
| 61 | 633685 | 603860.030821139 | -1224.76565050001 | 29824.9691788613 | -0.711457012875998 |
| 62 | 639696 | 603325.816925762 | -1190.86206326137 | 36370.183074238 | 0.0616988781373 |
| 63 | 659451 | 623230.911064274 | -152.821902979131 | 36220.0889357261 | 1.88341178023161 |
| 64 | 593248 | 607873.731136836 | -902.584965229595 | -14625.7311368359 | -1.35611478462462 |
| 65 | 606677 | 615999.027148109 | -456.691372031727 | -9322.02714810915 | 0.804901898249653 |
| 66 | 599434 | 616764.572552914 | -396.278248457424 | -17330.5725529143 | 0.109015191011130 |
| 67 | 569578 | 606281.191305703 | -894.83769554158 | -36703.1913057029 | -0.900368895268242 |
| 68 | 629873 | 620833.575068544 | -131.887285894374 | 9039.42493145631 | 1.37941871954421 |
| 69 | 613438 | 614338.930607315 | -445.812222951469 | -900.930607314856 | -0.568126196628523 |
| 70 | 604172 | 615175.838488607 | -382.596999868743 | -11003.8384886072 | 0.114489417799578 |
| 71 | 658328 | 632863.960163857 | 507.174448874789 | 25464.0398361435 | 1.61255848633700 |
| 72 | 612633 | 629803.512044694 | 331.587252923908 | -17170.5120446942 | -0.318402246551426 |
| 73 | 707372 | 648341.636954204 | 1227.73887233445 | 59030.3630457961 | 1.62532545834494 |
| 74 | 739770 | 676908.859250145 | 2574.14114938331 | 62861.1407498548 | 2.44076317665922 |
| 75 | 777535 | 705621.226427723 | 3862.36228887412 | 71913.773572277 | 2.33284513117330 |
| 76 | 685030 | 713590.970973854 | 4064.94628645068 | -28560.970973854 | 0.366433897033389 |
| 77 | 730234 | 725782.234181205 | 4465.97592529214 | 4451.7658187946 | 0.724831097502048 |
| 78 | 714154 | 731550.675625243 | 4530.26998841336 | -17396.6756252426 | 0.116190612821167 |
| 79 | 630872 | 714411.463824407 | 3460.59167283762 | -83539.4638244069 | -1.93370364379114 |
| 80 | 719492 | 709482.814525434 | 3046.56497263742 | 10009.185474566 | -0.748775965965379 |
| 81 | 677023 | 700884.004763548 | 2472.0539927036 | -23861.0047635481 | -1.03935548644910 |
| 82 | 679272 | 701342.73076635 | 2372.76924759284 | -22070.7307663498 | -0.179657977998248 |
| 83 | 718317 | 702770.297877956 | 2326.17343086419 | 15546.7021220443 | -0.0843348829274145 |
| 84 | 645672 | 698664.087784644 | 2009.13167833348 | -52992.0877846438 | -0.573953825960433 |
