Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 841 | 0 | 85 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 631923 | 616034.020380926 | 42765.5880950509 | 605046.391524023 | -15888.9796190744 |
2 | 654294 | 659394.52283596 | 41422.3490083471 | 607771.128155693 | 5100.52283596003 |
3 | 671833 | 700472.314513379 | 32697.8206992584 | 610495.864787362 | 28639.3145133792 |
4 | 586840 | 561919.646890477 | -1346.46386559658 | 613106.81697512 | -24920.3531095234 |
5 | 600969 | 588893.200771647 | -2672.96993452455 | 615717.769162878 | -12075.7992283531 |
6 | 625568 | 650017.198208185 | -17022.9684511532 | 618141.770242968 | 24449.1982081853 |
7 | 558110 | 537394.570785143 | -41740.3421082012 | 620565.771323058 | -20715.4292148568 |
8 | 630577 | 641211.162334035 | -2797.38162240198 | 622740.219288367 | 10634.1623340354 |
9 | 628654 | 642072.976956634 | -9679.64421030965 | 624914.667253675 | 13418.9769566344 |
10 | 603184 | 598106.259224822 | -17977.6621642822 | 626239.40293946 | -5077.7407751783 |
11 | 656255 | 679607.420012063 | 5338.44136269107 | 627564.138625246 | 23352.420012063 |
12 | 600730 | 602709.057206246 | -28986.7774605308 | 627737.720254285 | 1979.05720624619 |
13 | 670326 | 669975.110021626 | 42765.5880950509 | 627911.301883323 | -350.889978374005 |
14 | 678423 | 687979.749092294 | 41422.3490083471 | 627443.901899358 | 9556.74909229449 |
15 | 641502 | 623329.677385348 | 32697.8206992584 | 626976.501915394 | -18172.3226146523 |
16 | 625311 | 625525.46842721 | -1346.46386559658 | 626442.995438387 | 214.468427209766 |
17 | 628177 | 633117.480973145 | -2672.96993452455 | 625909.48896138 | 4940.48097314488 |
18 | 589767 | 570458.854099481 | -17022.9684511532 | 626098.114351672 | -19308.145900519 |
19 | 582471 | 580395.602366237 | -41740.3421082012 | 626286.739741965 | -2075.39763376350 |
20 | 636248 | 648078.589987552 | -2797.38162240198 | 627214.79163485 | 11830.5899875520 |
21 | 599885 | 581306.800682574 | -9679.64421030965 | 628142.843527735 | -18578.1993174256 |
22 | 621694 | 631453.089027544 | -17977.6621642822 | 629912.573136739 | 9759.08902754355 |
23 | 637406 | 637791.255891567 | 5338.44136269107 | 631682.302745742 | 385.255891566863 |
24 | 595994 | 587370.516706921 | -28986.7774605308 | 633604.26075361 | -8623.48329307872 |
25 | 696308 | 714324.193143472 | 42765.5880950509 | 635526.218761477 | 18016.1931434721 |
26 | 674201 | 670053.883508936 | 41422.3490083471 | 636925.767482717 | -4147.11649106385 |
27 | 648861 | 626698.863096785 | 32697.8206992584 | 638325.316203956 | -22162.1369032149 |
28 | 649605 | 661462.211381555 | -1346.46386559658 | 639094.252484042 | 11857.2113815546 |
29 | 672392 | 707593.781170397 | -2672.96993452455 | 639863.188764128 | 35201.7811703969 |
30 | 598396 | 573399.957420206 | -17022.9684511532 | 640415.011030948 | -24996.0425797944 |
31 | 613177 | 627127.508810434 | -41740.3421082012 | 640966.833297768 | 13950.5088104337 |
32 | 638104 | 638120.804145917 | -2797.38162240198 | 640884.577476485 | 16.8041459174128 |
33 | 615632 | 600141.322555108 | -9679.64421030965 | 640802.321655202 | -15490.677444892 |
34 | 634465 | 647302.273026206 | -17977.6621642822 | 639605.389138076 | 12837.2730262062 |
35 | 638686 | 633625.102016358 | 5338.44136269107 | 638408.45662095 | -5060.8979836416 |
36 | 604243 | 600673.758841075 | -28986.7774605308 | 636799.018619456 | -3569.24115892535 |
37 | 706669 | 735382.831286987 | 42765.5880950509 | 635189.580617962 | 28713.8312869873 |
38 | 677185 | 678893.804178258 | 41422.3490083471 | 634053.846813395 | 1708.80417825829 |
39 | 644328 | 623040.066291914 | 32697.8206992584 | 632918.113008827 | -21287.9337080858 |
40 | 644825 | 659065.482261348 | -1346.46386559658 | 631930.981604249 | 14240.4822613476 |
41 | 605707 | 583143.119734854 | -2672.96993452455 | 630943.85019967 | -22563.8802651461 |
42 | 600136 | 587261.397530341 | -17022.9684511532 | 630033.570920812 | -12874.6024696591 |
43 | 612166 | 636949.050466247 | -41740.3421082012 | 629123.291641954 | 24783.0504662474 |
44 | 599659 | 574156.297282446 | -2797.38162240198 | 627959.084339956 | -25502.7027175536 |
45 | 634210 | 651304.767172352 | -9679.64421030965 | 626794.877037957 | 17094.7671723523 |
46 | 618234 | 628865.942906415 | -17977.6621642822 | 625579.719257867 | 10631.9429064153 |
47 | 613576 | 597448.997159533 | 5338.44136269107 | 624364.561477776 | -16127.0028404675 |
48 | 627200 | 660296.901063941 | -28986.7774605308 | 623089.87639659 | 33096.9010639411 |
49 | 668973 | 673365.220589546 | 42765.5880950509 | 621815.191315403 | 4392.22058954625 |
50 | 651479 | 640909.569381234 | 41422.3490083471 | 620626.081610419 | -10569.4306187663 |
51 | 619661 | 587187.207395306 | 32697.8206992584 | 619436.971905436 | -32473.7926046943 |
52 | 644260 | 671543.434539549 | -1346.46386559658 | 618323.029326048 | 27283.4345395488 |
53 | 579936 | 545335.883187865 | -2672.96993452455 | 617209.086746659 | -34600.116812135 |
54 | 601752 | 604281.540631462 | -17022.9684511532 | 616245.427819691 | 2529.54063146177 |
55 | 595376 | 617210.573215478 | -41740.3421082012 | 615281.768892723 | 21834.5732154781 |
56 | 588902 | 565835.820031414 | -2797.38162240198 | 614765.561590988 | -23066.1799685857 |
57 | 634341 | 664112.289921057 | -9679.64421030965 | 614249.354289252 | 29771.2899210574 |
58 | 594305 | 592734.948428397 | -17977.6621642822 | 613852.713735885 | -1570.05157160282 |
59 | 606200 | 593605.485454791 | 5338.44136269107 | 613456.073182518 | -12594.5145452088 |
60 | 610926 | 637791.728203606 | -28986.7774605308 | 613047.049256925 | 26865.7282036056 |
61 | 633685 | 611966.386573617 | 42765.5880950509 | 612638.025331333 | -21718.6134263835 |
62 | 639696 | 625270.885647634 | 41422.3490083471 | 612698.765344019 | -14425.1143523661 |
63 | 659451 | 673444.673944036 | 32697.8206992584 | 612759.505356706 | 13993.6739440361 |
64 | 593248 | 573761.87624545 | -1346.46386559658 | 614080.587620147 | -19486.1237545502 |
65 | 606677 | 600625.300050936 | -2672.96993452455 | 615401.669883588 | -6051.69994906359 |
66 | 599434 | 596978.087047192 | -17022.9684511532 | 618912.881403961 | -2455.91295280785 |
67 | 569578 | 558472.249183867 | -41740.3421082012 | 622424.092924334 | -11105.7508161325 |
68 | 629873 | 633260.315339528 | -2797.38162240198 | 629283.066282874 | 3387.31533952779 |
69 | 613438 | 600413.604568895 | -9679.64421030965 | 636142.039641415 | -13024.3954311050 |
70 | 604172 | 581066.190997333 | -17977.6621642822 | 645255.47116695 | -23105.8090026674 |
71 | 658328 | 656948.655944824 | 5338.44136269107 | 654368.902692485 | -1379.34405517566 |
72 | 612633 | 590759.78798165 | -28986.7774605308 | 663492.989478881 | -21873.2120183498 |
73 | 707372 | 699361.335639672 | 42765.5880950509 | 672617.076265277 | -8010.66436032753 |
74 | 739770 | 758000.881888419 | 41422.3490083471 | 680116.769103234 | 18230.8818884187 |
75 | 777535 | 834755.71735955 | 32697.8206992584 | 687616.461941192 | 57220.7173595497 |
76 | 685030 | 680687.985605624 | -1346.46386559658 | 690718.478259973 | -4342.01439437619 |
77 | 730234 | 769320.475355771 | -2672.96993452455 | 693820.494578754 | 39086.4753557709 |
78 | 714154 | 748975.883954368 | -17022.9684511532 | 696355.084496785 | 34821.8839543684 |
79 | 630872 | 604594.667693385 | -41740.3421082012 | 698889.674414816 | -26277.3323066146 |
80 | 719492 | 740947.429858847 | -2797.38162240198 | 700833.951763555 | 21455.4298588473 |
81 | 677023 | 660947.415098016 | -9679.64421030965 | 702778.229112294 | -16075.5849019841 |
82 | 679272 | 672472.890576317 | -17977.6621642822 | 704048.771587965 | -6799.10942368314 |
83 | 718317 | 725976.244573672 | 5338.44136269107 | 705319.314063637 | 7659.24457367195 |
84 | 645672 | 614221.114487474 | -28986.7774605308 | 706109.662973057 | -31450.8855125265 |