Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.651524078529005
betaFALSE
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
296.8495.051.79000000000001
396.9296.2162281005670.703771899433079
497.4496.67475243883970.765247561160322
597.7897.17332965097120.606670349028775
697.6997.5685899910930.121410008906935
796.6797.6476915352704-0.977691535270353
898.2997.01070195866771.27929804133227
998.297.84419543621070.355804563789306
1098.7198.076010676770.633989323230054
1198.5498.48906998638460.0509300136153712
1298.298.5222521165749-0.322252116574859
1396.9298.3122971032694-1.3922971032694
1499.0697.40518201602321.65481798397680
1599.6598.4833357781671.16666422183309
1699.8299.24344561024950.576554389750513
1799.9999.61908467775350.370915322246461
18100.3399.86074494129250.469255058707546
1999.31100.166475911012-0.856475911011955
20101.199.60846123230761.49153876769239
21101.1100.5802346535190.519765346481321
22100.93100.9188742919360.0111257080637870
23100.85100.926122958630-0.0761229586304637
24100.93100.8765270181540.0534729818461699
2599.6100.911365953377-1.31136595337736
26101.88100.0569794589891.82302054101115
27101.81101.2447212371110.56527876288942
28102.38101.6130139622140.76698603778587
29102.74102.1127238337270.627276166272807
30102.82102.5214093599410.298590640058706
31101.72102.715948351563-0.99594835156293
32103.47102.0670640195481.40293598045159
33102.98102.981110591447-0.00111059144730064
34102.68102.980387014378-0.300387014377975
35102.9102.7846776416330.115322358366711
36103.03102.8598129349020.170187065098048
37101.29102.970693905668-1.68069390566750
38103.69101.8756813574881.81431864251182
39103.68103.0577536392090.622246360791308
40104.2103.4631621260410.73683787395872
41104.08103.9432297428980.136770257102484
42104.16104.0323388586260.127661141373608
43103.05104.115513166124-1.06551316612378
44104.66103.4213056824041.23869431759553
45104.46104.2283448562550.231655143744987
46104.95104.379273760320.570726239680042
47105.85104.7511156477201.09888435228018
48106.23105.4670652627490.762934737250916
49104.86105.964135614414-1.10413561441426
50107.44105.2447646756622.19523532433804
51108.23106.6750133475061.55498665249438
52108.45107.6881245933970.761875406603068
53109.39108.1845047656381.20549523436209
54110.15108.9699139373771.18008606262322
55109.13109.738768421912-0.608768421912316
56110.28109.3421411367880.93785886321166
57110.17109.9531787684330.216821231567423
58109.99110.094443021535-0.104443021535076
59109.26110.026395878171-0.766395878170641
60109.11109.527070509857-0.417070509857098
61107.06109.255339030241-2.19533903024083
62109.53107.8250227915041.70497720849558
63108.92108.935856496182-0.015856496182451
64109.24108.9255256071180.314474392881507
65109.12109.130413246162-0.0104132461615762
66109109.123628765552-0.123628765551672
67107.23109.043081647996-1.81308164799593
68109.49107.8618152979881.62818470201246
69109.04108.9226168356410.117383164358785
70109.02108.9990947936350.0209052063651001
71109.23109.0127150389480.217284961051632
72109.46109.1542814229760.305718577024251


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
73109.353464437161107.532780286888111.174148587433
74109.353464437161107.180446345334111.526482528987
75109.353464437161106.877757572494111.829171301827
76109.353464437161106.608242891983112.098685982339
77109.353464437161106.362919639893112.344009234428
78109.353464437161106.136249020560112.570679853761
79109.353464437161105.92452992493112.782398949391
80109.353464437161105.725144062453112.981784811868
81109.353464437161105.536158372163113.170770502159
82109.353464437161105.356097498009113.350831376312
83109.353464437161105.183805062754113.523123811567
84109.353464437161105.018354732559113.688574141762