| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.5488 | 0.26 | -0.7488 | -0.4627 | -0.18 | -0.4523 |
| (p-val) | (0.0373 ) | (0.1054 ) | (0.0016 ) | (0.4664 ) | (0.6727 ) | (0.603 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.5567 | 0.2658 | -0.7608 | -0.235 | 0 | -0.8008 |
| (p-val) | (0.0328 ) | (0.1012 ) | (0.001 ) | (0.3973 ) | (NA ) | (0.3643 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.575 | 0.2113 | -0.7349 | 0 | 0 | -0.9992 |
| (p-val) | (0.0498 ) | (0.1467 ) | (0.0055 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.1032 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | -0.9987 | 0 | 0.9038 | 0 | 0 | -0.9347 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (1e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -4458.81677587199 |
| 3234.64011753717 |
| 14285.9425932717 |
| 37501.4814749033 |
| -8457.47989123516 |
| -29048.6248782908 |
| -24181.0921874878 |
| -12865.4593913625 |
| 15714.7294437984 |
| 16669.2555257369 |
| -2837.92438992191 |
| -148.296810614871 |
| -10106.5037506511 |
| 547.401664947518 |
| 52184.6844818554 |
| -15746.1778282788 |
| -1414.45434788071 |
| 30011.2413479394 |
| 9966.70134239847 |
| 10522.1957111424 |
| 5246.98589202177 |
| 22130.0622218999 |
| 8109.46521366097 |
| 13657.92583476 |
| -30774.4297270446 |
| 35793.7372556835 |
| -10847.2857968824 |
| -48653.6160637935 |
| 387.768922874672 |
| -9419.66722696637 |
| -21954.7728362143 |
| -16362.0126329853 |
| -18086.4665360393 |
| -5025.5775993106 |
| -57545.4531747885 |
| 1690.10357514313 |
| -68840.1131281022 |
| -27907.4662026196 |
| 16161.0823578707 |
| 95993.1884351998 |
| -45838.2838313967 |
| -13887.4543513846 |
| 13677.9886051301 |
| 35904.8360159040 |
| -57248.9194198129 |
| 21467.5753289083 |
| 27675.6919535093 |
| 13870.7537497740 |
