Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1171 | 0 | 118 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 8.7 | 8.50226059733634 | 0.151179401603513 | 8.74656000106015 | -0.197739402663663 |
2 | 8.9 | 8.88801549605772 | 0.225005457853007 | 8.68697904608928 | -0.0119845039422852 |
3 | 8.9 | 9.03377047009582 | 0.138831438785768 | 8.6273980911184 | 0.133770470095824 |
4 | 8.1 | 8.16333840350676 | -0.530324069798575 | 8.56698566629182 | 0.0633384035067568 |
5 | 8 | 7.94290621403236 | -0.449479455497588 | 8.50657324146522 | -0.0570937859676359 |
6 | 8.3 | 8.3401357190917 | -0.186276429041907 | 8.4461407099502 | 0.0401357190917047 |
7 | 8.5 | 8.56736512108591 | 0.0469267004789071 | 8.38570817843518 | 0.0673651210859116 |
8 | 8.7 | 8.83894064368316 | 0.235729177246883 | 8.32533017906996 | 0.138940643683158 |
9 | 8.6 | 8.64051624159724 | 0.294531578698026 | 8.26495217970474 | 0.0405162415972367 |
10 | 8.3 | 8.31748860660206 | 0.0794790515869859 | 8.20303234181095 | 0.0174886066020630 |
11 | 7.9 | 7.72320107226537 | -0.064313576182536 | 8.14111250391717 | -0.176798927734629 |
12 | 7.9 | 7.65421613937726 | 0.0587107544686073 | 8.08707310615414 | -0.245783860622745 |
13 | 8.1 | 8.01578689000538 | 0.151179401603513 | 8.03303370839111 | -0.0842131099946242 |
14 | 8.3 | 8.4002558135419 | 0.225005457853007 | 7.97473872860509 | 0.100255813541904 |
15 | 8.1 | 8.14472481239516 | 0.138831438785768 | 7.91644374881907 | 0.0447248123951614 |
16 | 7.4 | 7.4939088021461 | -0.530324069798575 | 7.83641526765247 | 0.093908802146105 |
17 | 7.3 | 7.29309266901172 | -0.449479455497588 | 7.75638678648587 | -0.00690733098828211 |
18 | 7.7 | 7.91532245289672 | -0.186276429041907 | 7.67095397614519 | 0.215322452896715 |
19 | 8 | 8.36755213371658 | 0.0469267004789071 | 7.58552116580451 | 0.367552133716578 |
20 | 8 | 8.24638533796716 | 0.235729177246883 | 7.51788548478596 | 0.246385337967163 |
21 | 7.7 | 7.65521861753458 | 0.294531578698026 | 7.4502498037674 | -0.0447813824654215 |
22 | 6.9 | 6.3411501260775 | 0.0794790515869859 | 7.37937082233552 | -0.558849873922503 |
23 | 6.6 | 5.9558217352789 | -0.064313576182536 | 7.30849184090364 | -0.644178264721102 |
24 | 6.9 | 6.51548580885878 | 0.0587107544686073 | 7.22580343667261 | -0.384514191141217 |
25 | 7.5 | 7.7057055659549 | 0.151179401603513 | 7.14311503244158 | 0.205705565954903 |
26 | 7.9 | 8.48740687135363 | 0.225005457853007 | 7.08758767079337 | 0.587406871353626 |
27 | 7.7 | 8.22910825206908 | 0.138831438785768 | 7.03206030914515 | 0.52910825206908 |
28 | 6.5 | 6.51058790129715 | -0.530324069798575 | 7.01973616850143 | 0.0105879012971455 |
29 | 6.1 | 5.64206742763988 | -0.449479455497588 | 7.0074120278577 | -0.457932572360119 |
30 | 6.4 | 5.99253530671158 | -0.186276429041907 | 6.99374112233033 | -0.407464693288424 |
31 | 6.8 | 6.57300308271814 | 0.0469267004789071 | 6.98007021680296 | -0.226996917281864 |
32 | 7.1 | 6.99514298562754 | 0.235729177246883 | 6.96912783712558 | -0.104857014372461 |
33 | 7.3 | 7.34728296385377 | 0.294531578698026 | 6.9581854574482 | 0.0472829638537737 |
34 | 7.2 | 7.30979392718783 | 0.0794790515869859 | 7.01072702122518 | 0.109793927187832 |
35 | 7 | 7.00104499118037 | -0.064313576182536 | 7.06326858500216 | 0.00104499118037182 |
36 | 7 | 6.77616179028032 | 0.0587107544686073 | 7.16512745525107 | -0.223838209719680 |
37 | 7 | 6.5818342728965 | 0.151179401603513 | 7.26698632549998 | -0.418165727103494 |
38 | 7.3 | 7.01568131663052 | 0.225005457853007 | 7.35931322551647 | -0.284318683369476 |
39 | 7.5 | 7.40952843568127 | 0.138831438785768 | 7.45164012553296 | -0.090471564318726 |
40 | 7.2 | 7.39832457951408 | -0.530324069798575 | 7.5319994902845 | 0.198324579514082 |
41 | 7.7 | 8.23712060046156 | -0.449479455497588 | 7.61235885503603 | 0.537120600461559 |
42 | 8 | 8.49660702882084 | -0.186276429041907 | 7.68966940022107 | 0.496607028820836 |
43 | 7.9 | 7.98609335411498 | 0.0469267004789071 | 7.76697994540611 | 0.0860933541149791 |
44 | 8 | 7.93796558286939 | 0.235729177246883 | 7.82630523988373 | -0.0620344171306098 |
45 | 8 | 7.81983788694063 | 0.294531578698026 | 7.88563053436134 | -0.180162113059366 |
46 | 7.9 | 7.7879866313387 | 0.0794790515869859 | 7.93253431707431 | -0.112013368661296 |
47 | 7.9 | 7.88487547639526 | -0.064313576182536 | 7.97943809978728 | -0.0151245236047446 |
48 | 8 | 7.90557169005654 | 0.0587107544686073 | 8.03571755547485 | -0.0944283099434555 |
49 | 8.1 | 7.95682358723407 | 0.151179401603513 | 8.09199701116242 | -0.143176412765929 |
50 | 8.1 | 7.817138907791 | 0.225005457853007 | 8.157855634356 | -0.282861092209007 |
51 | 8.2 | 8.03745430366465 | 0.138831438785768 | 8.22371425754958 | -0.162545696335352 |
52 | 8 | 8.24909673960108 | -0.530324069798575 | 8.2812273301975 | 0.249096739601079 |
53 | 8.3 | 8.71073905265218 | -0.449479455497588 | 8.3387404028454 | 0.410739052652181 |
54 | 8.5 | 8.80132427182254 | -0.186276429041907 | 8.38495215721936 | 0.301324271822542 |
55 | 8.6 | 8.72190938792777 | 0.0469267004789071 | 8.43116391159332 | 0.121909387927770 |
56 | 8.7 | 8.70502071178774 | 0.235729177246883 | 8.45925011096538 | 0.00502071178773811 |
57 | 8.7 | 8.61813211096454 | 0.294531578698026 | 8.48733631033743 | -0.0818678890354594 |
58 | 8.5 | 8.43240494320994 | 0.0794790515869859 | 8.48811600520308 | -0.067595056790065 |
59 | 8.4 | 8.37541787611381 | -0.064313576182536 | 8.48889570006873 | -0.0245821238861890 |
60 | 8.5 | 8.46367194383027 | 0.0587107544686073 | 8.47761730170112 | -0.0363280561697277 |
61 | 8.7 | 8.78248169506297 | 0.151179401603513 | 8.46633890333351 | 0.0824816950629739 |
62 | 8.7 | 8.71891620347183 | 0.225005457853007 | 8.45607833867517 | 0.0189162034718269 |
63 | 8.6 | 8.61535078719741 | 0.138831438785768 | 8.44581777401682 | 0.0153507871974128 |
64 | 7.9 | 7.89626808765296 | -0.530324069798575 | 8.43405598214562 | -0.00373191234704073 |
65 | 8.1 | 8.22718526522317 | -0.449479455497588 | 8.42229419027441 | 0.127185265223174 |
66 | 8.2 | 8.15697751872669 | -0.186276429041907 | 8.42929891031521 | -0.043022481273308 |
67 | 8.5 | 8.51676966916508 | 0.0469267004789071 | 8.43630363035601 | 0.0167696691650789 |
68 | 8.6 | 8.50601643264785 | 0.235729177246883 | 8.45825439010527 | -0.0939835673521543 |
69 | 8.5 | 8.22526327144745 | 0.294531578698026 | 8.48020514985453 | -0.274736728552554 |
70 | 8.3 | 8.04761035776178 | 0.0794790515869859 | 8.47291059065123 | -0.252389642238217 |
71 | 8.2 | 7.9986975447346 | -0.064313576182536 | 8.46561603144793 | -0.201302455265399 |
72 | 8.7 | 8.9056748607756 | 0.0587107544686073 | 8.43561438475579 | 0.205674860775604 |
73 | 9.3 | 10.0432078603328 | 0.151179401603513 | 8.40561273806364 | 0.743207860332847 |
74 | 9.3 | 9.97994353449932 | 0.225005457853007 | 8.39505100764768 | 0.679943534499317 |
75 | 8.8 | 9.07667928398252 | 0.138831438785768 | 8.38448927723171 | 0.276679283982521 |
76 | 7.4 | 6.94807974932132 | -0.530324069798575 | 8.38224432047725 | -0.451920250678677 |
77 | 7.2 | 6.4694800917748 | -0.449479455497588 | 8.3799993637228 | -0.730519908225206 |
78 | 7.5 | 6.83155448414625 | -0.186276429041907 | 8.35472194489565 | -0.668445515853746 |
79 | 8.3 | 8.22362877345258 | 0.0469267004789071 | 8.32944452606851 | -0.076371226547419 |
80 | 8.8 | 9.06108025695262 | 0.235729177246883 | 8.3031905658005 | 0.261080256952622 |
81 | 8.9 | 9.2285318157695 | 0.294531578698026 | 8.27693660553248 | 0.328531815769495 |
82 | 8.6 | 8.841240205791 | 0.0794790515869859 | 8.279280742622 | 0.241240205791007 |
83 | 8.4 | 8.582688696471 | -0.064313576182536 | 8.28162487971153 | 0.182688696471006 |
84 | 8.4 | 8.46474290524565 | 0.0587107544686073 | 8.27654634028574 | 0.0647429052456499 |
85 | 8.4 | 8.37735279753653 | 0.151179401603513 | 8.27146780085995 | -0.0226472024634656 |
86 | 8.4 | 8.34066399677984 | 0.225005457853007 | 8.23433054536715 | -0.0593360032201602 |
87 | 8.3 | 8.26397527133988 | 0.138831438785768 | 8.19719328987435 | -0.0360247286601201 |
88 | 7.6 | 7.57171324096232 | -0.530324069798575 | 8.15861082883625 | -0.0282867590376785 |
89 | 7.6 | 7.52945108769944 | -0.449479455497588 | 8.12002836779815 | -0.0705489123005627 |
90 | 7.9 | 7.9017118469381 | -0.186276429041907 | 8.08456458210381 | 0.00171184693809501 |
91 | 8 | 7.90397250311162 | 0.0469267004789071 | 8.04910079640948 | -0.0960274968883832 |
92 | 8.2 | 8.16529735303537 | 0.235729177246883 | 7.99897346971775 | -0.0347026469646341 |
93 | 8.3 | 8.35662227827595 | 0.294531578698026 | 7.94884614302603 | 0.0566222782759489 |
94 | 8.2 | 8.43551104503783 | 0.0794790515869859 | 7.88500990337518 | 0.235511045037829 |
95 | 8.1 | 8.4431399124582 | -0.064313576182536 | 7.82117366372434 | 0.343139912458195 |
96 | 8 | 8.18924219943735 | 0.0587107544686073 | 7.75204704609404 | 0.189242199437351 |
97 | 7.8 | 7.76590016993275 | 0.151179401603513 | 7.68292042846374 | -0.0340998300672544 |
98 | 7.6 | 7.36231312051659 | 0.225005457853007 | 7.6126814216304 | -0.237686879483414 |
99 | 7.5 | 7.31872614641716 | 0.138831438785768 | 7.54244241479707 | -0.181273853582842 |
100 | 6.8 | 6.645628001655 | -0.530324069798575 | 7.48469606814358 | -0.154371998345004 |
101 | 6.9 | 6.8225297340075 | -0.449479455497588 | 7.42694972149008 | -0.0774702659924955 |
102 | 7.1 | 7.01010743885044 | -0.186276429041907 | 7.37616899019147 | -0.0898925611495631 |
103 | 7.3 | 7.22768504062824 | 0.0469267004789071 | 7.32538825889286 | -0.0723149593717647 |
104 | 7.4 | 7.30842078418436 | 0.235729177246883 | 7.25585003856876 | -0.0915792158156403 |
105 | 7.6 | 7.71915660305731 | 0.294531578698026 | 7.18631181824466 | 0.119156603057315 |
106 | 7.6 | 8.01512750447172 | 0.0794790515869859 | 7.10539344394129 | 0.415127504471721 |
107 | 7.5 | 8.03983850654461 | -0.064313576182536 | 7.02447506963792 | 0.539838506544611 |
108 | 7.5 | 8.01152510983279 | 0.0587107544686073 | 6.9297641356986 | 0.51152510983279 |
109 | 6.8 | 6.6137673966372 | 0.151179401603513 | 6.83505320175928 | -0.186232603362796 |
110 | 6.4 | 5.85267467372677 | 0.225005457853007 | 6.72231986842023 | -0.547325326273233 |
111 | 6.2 | 5.65158202613306 | 0.138831438785768 | 6.60958653508117 | -0.54841797386694 |
112 | 6 | 6.03845310611077 | -0.530324069798575 | 6.4918709636878 | 0.0384531061107722 |
113 | 6.3 | 6.67532406320316 | -0.449479455497588 | 6.37415539229443 | 0.375324063203156 |
114 | 6.3 | 6.52975833040326 | -0.186276429041907 | 6.25651809863864 | 0.229758330403264 |
115 | 6.1 | 6.01419249453824 | 0.0469267004789071 | 6.13888080498285 | -0.0858075054617613 |
116 | 6.1 | 5.94212481718623 | 0.235729177246883 | 6.02214600556689 | -0.157875182813775 |
117 | 6.3 | 6.40005721515104 | 0.294531578698026 | 5.90541120615093 | 0.100057215151042 |