| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.145 | 0.4217 | 0.7032 | 0.4386 | 0.3458 | -0.529 | -0.9991 |
| (p-val) | (0.2772 ) | (2e-04 ) | (0 ) | (0.007 ) | (0.0629 ) | (1e-04 ) | (0.0512 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | 0.4166 | 0.6576 | 0.3421 | 0.3833 | -0.5251 | -1.0082 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0033 ) | (0.0374 ) | (1e-04 ) | (0.0064 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 600.710384194558 |
| 15820.1146298461 |
| 1056.17494738509 |
| -30403.6515670913 |
| 10229.2455080607 |
| 16500.1644595071 |
| -22786.1622480625 |
| -1306.88364040572 |
| 5625.55411690318 |
| -9427.8134191839 |
| 1898.25441899132 |
| -4665.33129101739 |
| 6732.92551894816 |
| 11971.2023819767 |
| 7415.36557299421 |
| -2237.5814902491 |
| 8157.91999853554 |
| 34427.1196017335 |
| -11869.8113999211 |
| 5354.315316092 |
| -13540.7466083049 |
| 5492.47928496478 |
| -3351.01858133848 |
| 6063.4334436332 |
| -8920.30262719262 |
| 15452.6601655542 |
| 875.915873674734 |
| -26425.6292124516 |
| 16035.6822464796 |
| -39238.3978334773 |
| -2749.76752049540 |
| 5016.64658878776 |
| 7398.71124910524 |
| -128.302412567464 |
| 766.472735952853 |
| -6397.963826279 |
| 11582.3626172815 |
| -1448.74921359798 |
| -8304.17697806566 |
| -32670.2073513012 |
| 29392.5032913757 |
| 4732.61980996194 |
| 7733.95789946325 |
| 96.5004075710012 |
| -4588.76546255459 |
| 2646.82095073494 |
| -11911.6788591590 |
| -1529.91689938417 |
| -8498.97868239259 |
| -5165.56257890868 |
| -1596.06226856336 |
| 33134.850031829 |
| -17083.6023344630 |
| 51.814425429083 |
| -9809.46258187043 |
| 10450.9153784944 |
| 11005.3814118595 |
| -2116.12045984792 |
| 3681.7199826711 |
| 20401.4463694445 |
| 11389.4200645625 |
| 29610.1512131517 |
| 42396.8075047161 |
| 66206.8395124288 |
| -2960.39468815944 |
| 10409.1561519391 |
| 14339.0889251698 |
| -27949.7800122178 |
| -9308.07220384385 |
| -14709.6949305660 |
| 8668.63436449442 |
| -12797.3969193016 |
| -16587.1560049400 |
