Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.000564574695315228
gamma0.192386515790093


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1341.3341.6101522435898-0.280152243589754
1441.2941.28651869793430.00348130206570829
1541.2941.2915206633893-0.00152066338934986
1641.2741.275686471528-0.00568647152795876
1741.0441.06568326109-0.0256832610900091
1840.940.9473354276374-0.0473354276373854
1940.8940.76272536991940.127274630080592
2040.7240.8282138926216-0.108213892621571
2140.7240.70565279779610.0143472022038793
2240.5840.6664942311968-0.0864942311967667
2340.2440.6097787320759-0.369778732075865
2440.0740.2091532976942-0.139153297694222
2540.1240.05865806859690.0613419314030992
2640.140.07619270069910.0238072993008842
2740.140.1012061416979-0.00120614169787814
2840.0840.0853721274075-0.00537212740748316
2940.0639.87536909444030.184630905559743
3039.9939.96713999904420.0228600009558022
3140.0539.85256957188890.197430428111069
3239.6639.9880977027794-0.328097702779388
3339.6639.64541246711880.0145875328811869
3439.6739.60625403620410.0637459637959239
3539.5639.6996233588955-0.139623358895491
3639.6439.52912786441350.110872135586462
3739.7339.6287737933490.101226206650971
3839.739.68633094310380.0136690568962123
3939.739.7013386603074-0.00133866030743945
4039.6839.6855045712004-0.00550457120038317
4139.7639.47550146345870.28449853654125
424039.66732875080.332671249199983
4339.9639.86293323523580.0970667647641648
4440.0139.89840470334160.111595296658358
4540.0139.99596770722220.0140322927777490
4640.0139.9568089628330.0531910371669895
474040.0401723264799-0.040172326479933
4839.9139.9697329795343-0.0597329795343029
4939.8639.8992825891389-0.0392825891388995
5039.7939.8167604111831-0.0267604111831048
5139.7939.7917453029321-0.00174530293212172
5239.839.77591098424490.0240890157550666
5339.6439.59592458429360.0440754157063665
5439.5539.54761613482470.00238386517528255
5539.3639.4130341473613-0.0530341473613234
5639.2839.2984208722904-0.0184208722903989


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
5739.265910472332039.009738805707439.5220821389567
5839.212654277997438.850270550862539.5750380051323
5939.242731416996138.798778524712139.6866843092801
6039.212391889328238.699614569976839.7251692086796
6139.201635694993638.628171455874439.7750999341127
6239.158379500658938.530003677346539.7867553239714
6339.160123306324338.481208402672139.8390382099765
6439.146033778656438.420038538578739.8720290187341
6538.941944250988438.171692899933939.712195602043
6638.849521389987138.037376295934839.6616664840395
6738.712515195652537.860490160559239.5645402307458
6838.650925667984637.76076376948939.5410875664801