| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 41.85 | 41.85 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 41.75 | 41.756206659243 | -0.00655532687009518 | -0.00511075833543904 | -0.611576562414529 |
| 3 | 41.75 | 41.7549293250002 | -0.00611881293324532 | -0.00509238413568755 | 0.055120253678442 |
| 4 | 41.75 | 41.7549006470643 | -0.00542961114489046 | -0.00508222890379219 | 0.0623944469666825 |
| 5 | 41.58 | 41.5899275202046 | -0.0272835816731802 | -0.00530433508855795 | -1.61054162477662 |
| 6 | 41.61 | 41.6137933608939 | -0.0193905607223459 | -0.00524428203380805 | 0.510656844210574 |
| 7 | 41.42 | 41.4299976569326 | -0.0467620739954582 | -0.0054049140975037 | -1.62835161924286 |
| 8 | 41.37 | 41.37562148999 | -0.048093247715485 | -0.0054110433706842 | -0.0749955675225111 |
| 9 | 41.37 | 41.3741024422218 | -0.0396889756507971 | -0.0053803641816713 | 0.456990456802158 |
| 10 | 41.33 | 41.3353541743772 | -0.0395157068168054 | -0.00537985943401774 | 0.00920652419246916 |
| 11 | 41.37 | 41.3732396978148 | -0.0250679423905262 | -0.00534613292733442 | 0.756198525342461 |
| 12 | 41.34 | 41.3454217800979 | -0.0255857183190295 | -0.00534710408280679 | -0.0268356937684549 |
| 13 | 41.33 | 41.2866305128029 | -0.0315349866005209 | 0.0442366669905512 | -0.379472202595628 |
| 14 | 41.29 | 41.2924523525088 | -0.0245981604354552 | -0.00316261876963741 | 0.307181895752628 |
| 15 | 41.29 | 41.2924931764532 | -0.0199060349383844 | -0.00316016356199649 | 0.24002500134155 |
| 16 | 41.27 | 41.2731453562957 | -0.0197995357958255 | -0.00316044988567028 | 0.0054330928948378 |
| 17 | 41.04 | 41.0486068882894 | -0.0588957057941325 | -0.00307165983083078 | -1.99266461057082 |
| 18 | 40.9 | 40.9053234180359 | -0.0750196555600695 | -0.00304204780803118 | -0.821336457046198 |
| 19 | 40.89 | 40.8914074886272 | -0.0633399041356362 | -0.00305936552569191 | 0.59473069339813 |
| 20 | 40.72 | 40.7258006444799 | -0.0828931627038084 | -0.00303595913526675 | -0.995404710614221 |
| 21 | 40.72 | 40.7209408084507 | -0.0679705589322267 | -0.00305038145823724 | 0.759549208038474 |
| 22 | 40.58 | 40.5848809858171 | -0.0809931874332582 | -0.00304021952270384 | -0.662773013995983 |
| 23 | 40.24 | 40.2498767906408 | -0.129579188708272 | -0.00300960807409043 | -2.4725659939258 |
| 24 | 40.07 | 40.0742500389809 | -0.138387494447856 | -0.00300512717554939 | -0.448239296492928 |
| 25 | 40.12 | 40.0580116509722 | -0.115378365967852 | 0.0587519160589965 | 1.29182445855628 |
| 26 | 40.1 | 40.0995830626361 | -0.0859718933966938 | -0.00301741420153364 | 1.38099386918218 |
| 27 | 40.1 | 40.1006658136264 | -0.0693166624135937 | -0.00301951013059250 | 0.847470039602337 |
| 28 | 40.08 | 40.0816798924705 | -0.0596851311650948 | -0.00303994999745196 | 0.489738862867107 |
| 29 | 40.06 | 40.0619731318085 | -0.0520357579506134 | -0.00305356282599321 | 0.389040522891892 |
| 30 | 39.99 | 39.9934934830199 | -0.0551818262367899 | -0.00304903504596354 | -0.160033497580385 |
| 31 | 40.05 | 40.0500534714982 | -0.0338042033228474 | -0.00307387988204049 | 1.08755313538400 |
| 32 | 39.66 | 39.6723094547514 | -0.0996028210092713 | -0.00301213234845259 | -3.34764464808775 |
| 33 | 39.66 | 39.6606475692484 | -0.0827790952756601 | -0.00302488042644987 | 0.85598332373161 |
| 34 | 39.67 | 39.6705306976985 | -0.0650521439734064 | -0.00303572650377135 | 0.901966834302367 |
| 35 | 39.56 | 39.5641491488406 | -0.072958794133059 | -0.0030318203892285 | -0.402307169190279 |
| 36 | 39.64 | 39.6390457907790 | -0.0446726650604528 | -0.00304310374479894 | 1.43927724735378 |
| 37 | 39.73 | 39.6820643210371 | -0.0280565492712486 | 0.0455962631087408 | 0.903116752463959 |
| 38 | 39.7 | 39.7024882301847 | -0.0189261573335912 | -0.00361426502201767 | 0.438956779837005 |
| 39 | 39.7 | 39.7030868243209 | -0.0151905984131268 | -0.00361471212945973 | 0.190071474671603 |
| 40 | 39.68 | 39.6837261396289 | -0.0159885750584377 | -0.0036134388135416 | -0.0405814342615171 |
| 41 | 39.76 | 39.7611135383847 | 0.00187758982478193 | -0.00363733312265000 | 0.908755126876263 |
| 42 | 40 | 39.9973509831656 | 0.0467159285954982 | -0.00368582746583371 | 2.28098627094977 |
| 43 | 39.96 | 39.9657887635445 | 0.031740107668119 | -0.00367274811489267 | -0.761906248749854 |
| 44 | 40.01 | 40.0132498797614 | 0.0347477253435453 | -0.00367486911592957 | 0.153023501283735 |
| 45 | 40.01 | 40.0145747850922 | 0.0283535821764099 | -0.00367122813778830 | -0.325337336267606 |
| 46 | 40.01 | 40.0144389296393 | 0.0229032500503587 | -0.00366872218233920 | -0.277322418018295 |
| 47 | 40 | 40.0045528653695 | 0.0166302870116107 | -0.00366639336209202 | -0.319184327637486 |
| 48 | 39.91 | 39.9164908325698 | -0.00339861813592170 | -0.00366038948023593 | -1.01913211199611 |
| 49 | 39.86 | 39.8304527756292 | -0.0190967157457386 | 0.0317594473143884 | -0.839560336643105 |
| 50 | 39.79 | 39.7934720853097 | -0.0224757867674678 | -0.00304263358392459 | -0.164528879740290 |
| 51 | 39.79 | 39.7924626444132 | -0.0183687714963313 | -0.0030430294134004 | 0.208973624250545 |
| 52 | 39.8 | 39.8022878425352 | -0.0129738620872287 | -0.00304987919200757 | 0.274391768471011 |
| 53 | 39.64 | 39.6468711342301 | -0.0402278185437615 | -0.00302087800367791 | -1.38636913038035 |
| 54 | 39.55 | 39.5544238695646 | -0.0502185512037577 | -0.00301228083196918 | -0.508267754823595 |
| 55 | 39.36 | 39.3667109058834 | -0.076523484643191 | -0.00299400211797473 | -1.33832776940936 |
| 56 | 39.28 | 39.2831826186297 | -0.0778635987440587 | -0.00299325020006442 | -0.0681846572345311 |
