Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[35])
34	304296	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	322310	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	415555	334738.5428	278652.7006	390824.385	0.0024	0.668	0.668	0.668
37	490042	344827.498	246220.5683	443434.4277	0.0019	0.0799	0.0799	0.6728
38	545109	353936.467	218345.6624	489527.2716	0.0029	0.0246	0.0246	0.6762
39	545720	362634.9481	194437.7759	530832.1202	0.0164	0.0167	0.0167	0.6808
40	505944	371161.4874	173596.049	568726.9259	0.0906	0.0417	0.0417	0.686
41	477930	379616.0054	155056.9551	604175.0557	0.1954	0.1351	0.1351	0.6915
42	466106	388040.3556	138252.7383	637827.973	0.2701	0.2403	0.2403	0.697
43	424476	396452.0695	122776.1503	670127.9887	0.4205	0.3089	0.3089	0.7023
44	383018	404858.4904	108335.8075	701381.1732	0.4426	0.4484	0.4484	0.7073
45	364696	413262.6941	94720.7578	731804.6305	0.3825	0.5738	0.5738	0.7121
46	391116	421665.9692	81775.5139	761556.4245	0.4301	0.6287	0.6287	0.7167
47	435721	430068.8553	69383.1501	790754.5605	0.4877	0.5838	0.5838	0.7209
48	511435	438471.5784	57453.964	819489.1928	0.3537	0.5056	0.5056	0.7249
49	553997	446874.2333	45917.8318	847830.6348	0.3003	0.3762	0.3762	0.7287
50	555252	455276.8596	34718.987	875834.7322	0.3206	0.3227	0.3227	0.7323
51	544897	463679.4739	23812.395	903546.5529	0.3587	0.3416	0.3416	0.7356
52	540562	472082.0832	13161.1886	931002.9779	0.385	0.3779	0.3779	0.7388
53	505282	480484.6905	2734.8208	958234.5601	0.4595	0.4027	0.4027	0.7418
54	507626	488887.2968	-7492.291	985266.8846	0.4705	0.4742	0.4742	0.7446
55	474427	497289.9028	-17541.7766	1012121.5821	0.4653	0.4843	0.4843	0.7473
56	469740	505692.5086	-27432.079	1038817.0962	0.4474	0.5458	0.5458	0.7499
57	491480	514095.1143	-37179.0448	1065369.2734	0.468	0.5627	0.5627	0.7523
58	538974	522497.72	-46796.383	1091791.823	0.4774	0.5425	0.5425	0.7547
59	576612	530900.3257	-56296.0277	1118096.6792	0.4394	0.4893	0.4893	0.7569

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
36	0.0855	0.2414	0	6531299753.6303	0	0
37	0.1459	0.4211	0.3313	21087251602.302	13809275677.9662	117512.8745
38	0.1955	0.5401	0.4009	36546937362.9658	21388496239.6327	146248.0641
39	0.2366	0.5049	0.4269	33520136244.3275	24421406240.8064	156273.4982
40	0.2716	0.3631	0.4141	18166325692.6411	23170390131.1734	152218.2319
41	0.3018	0.259	0.3883	9665641535.1529	20919598698.5033	144636.0906
42	0.3284	0.2012	0.3616	6094244828.1875	18801691002.7439	137119.2583
43	0.3522	0.0707	0.3252	785340679.8858	16549647212.3866	128645.4321
44	0.3737	-0.0539	0.2951	477007019.2278	14763798302.0356	121506.3714
45	0.3933	-0.1175	0.2773	2358723777.2755	13523290849.5596	116289.6851
46	0.4113	-0.0725	0.2587	933300617.6311	12378746283.0207	111259.8143
47	0.4279	0.0131	0.2382	31946740.0182	11349846321.1038	106535.6575
48	0.4434	0.1664	0.2327	5323660889.5146	10886293595.5969	104337.4027
49	0.4578	0.2397	0.2332	11475287144.3927	10928364563.3681	104538.8185
50	0.4713	0.2196	0.2323	9995028696.475	10866142172.2419	104240.7894
51	0.484	0.1752	0.2287	6596286540.0417	10599276195.2293	102952.7862
52	0.496	0.1451	0.2238	4689498998.4385	10251642242.4769	101250.3938
53	0.5073	0.0516	0.2142	614906560.503	9716268037.9228	98571.1319
54	0.518	0.0383	0.205	351138998.0199	9223366509.5069	96038.3596
55	0.5282	-0.046	0.197	522712322.2259	8788333800.1428	93746.1135
56	0.5379	-0.0711	0.191	1292582871.7124	8431393279.7414	91822.6186
57	0.5471	-0.044	0.1843	511443394.9177	8071395557.704	89840.9459
58	0.5559	0.0315	0.1777	271467802.0241	7732268263.9787	87933.3171
59	0.5643	0.0861	0.1739	2089557165.1721	7497155301.5285	86586.1149