Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[47])
35	357	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	431	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	442	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	422	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	544	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	420	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	396	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	482	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	261	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	211	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	448	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	468	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	464	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	425	383.762	346.4419	428.4722	0.0353	2e-04	0.0192	2e-04
49	415	460.5037	408.8064	524.3902	0.0814	0.862	0.7149	0.4573
50	433	423.0767	375.9716	481.1756	0.3689	0.6074	0.5145	0.0837
51	531	479.8052	414.2953	565.1057	0.1197	0.8589	0.0701	0.6418
52	457	424.1216	368.5288	495.6462	0.1838	0.0017	0.545	0.1372
53	380	422.1157	364.5332	497.074	0.1354	0.1808	0.7527	0.1367
54	481	467.5444	395.955	564.3076	0.3926	0.9619	0.3848	0.5286
55	302	269.0392	238.8215	306.3858	0.0418	0	0.6635	0
56	216	258.8637	229.4804	295.2702	0.0105	0.0101	0.995	0
57	509	517.7254	424.7625	651.4867	0.4491	1	0.8465	0.7844
58	417	566.9728	456.7225	731.5877	0.0371	0.755	0.8807	0.8899
59	370	414.9517	346.087	510.8559	0.1791	0.4833	0.1581	0.1581

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
48	0.0594	0.1075	0	1700.5758	0	0
49	0.0708	-0.0988	0.1031	2070.5853	1885.5806	43.4233
50	0.0701	0.0235	0.0766	98.4726	1289.8779	35.9149
51	0.0907	0.1067	0.0841	2620.9084	1622.6355	40.282
52	0.086	0.0775	0.0828	1080.9898	1514.3064	38.9141
53	0.0906	-0.0998	0.0856	1773.7321	1557.544	39.4657
54	0.1056	0.0288	0.0775	181.0524	1360.9023	36.8904
55	0.0708	0.1225	0.0831	1086.4159	1326.5915	36.4224
56	0.0718	-0.1656	0.0923	1837.2928	1383.3361	37.1932
57	0.1318	-0.0169	0.0847	76.1319	1252.6157	35.3923
58	0.1481	-0.2645	0.1011	22491.8271	3183.4531	56.4221
59	0.1179	-0.1083	0.1017	2020.6541	3086.5532	55.5568