Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0
gamma0.194972412796345


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1341.3341.6101522435898-0.280152243589754
1441.2941.28667686480190.0033231351981442
1541.2941.2916768648019-0.00167686480186546
1641.2741.2758435314685-0.00584353146854255
1741.0441.0658435314685-0.0258435314685244
1840.940.9475101981352-0.0475101981352068
1940.8940.76292686480190.127073135198138
2040.7240.8283435314685-0.108343531468527
2140.7240.70584353146850.0141564685314677
2240.5840.6666768648019-0.0866768648018663
2340.2440.6100101981352-0.370010198135191
2440.0740.2095935314685-0.139593531468542
2540.1240.05917686480190.0608231351981345
2640.140.07667686480190.0233231351981473
2740.140.1016768648019-0.00167686480186546
2840.0840.0858435314685-0.00584353146854966
2940.0639.87584353146850.184156468531484
3039.9939.96751019813520.0224898018647934
3140.0539.85292686480190.197073135198131
3239.6639.9883435314685-0.328343531468526
3339.6639.64584353146850.0141564685314677
3439.6739.60667686480190.0633231351981394
3539.5639.7000101981352-0.140010198135194
3639.6439.52959353146850.110406468531458
3739.7339.62917686480190.100823135198134
3839.739.68667686480190.0133231351981493
3939.739.7016768648019-0.00167686480186546
4039.6839.6858435314685-0.00584353146854966
4139.7639.47584353146850.284156468531478
424039.66751019813520.332489801864796
4339.9639.86292686480190.097073135198137
4440.0139.89834353146850.111656468531471
4540.0139.99584353146850.0141564685314677
4640.0139.95667686480190.0533231351981343
474040.0400101981352-0.0400101981351924
4839.9139.9695935314685-0.0595935314685434
4939.8639.8991768648019-0.0391768648018598
5039.7939.8166768648019-0.0266768648018569
5139.7939.7916768648019-0.00167686480186546
5239.839.77584353146850.0241564685314515
5339.6439.59584353146850.044156468531483
5439.5539.54751019813520.00248980186479031
5539.3639.4129268648019-0.0529268648018615
5639.2839.2983435314685-0.0183435314685241


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
5739.265843531468539.009735031895139.521952031042
5839.212520396270438.850328282734639.5747125098062
5939.242530594405638.798937660894139.6861235279171
6039.212124125874138.699907126727239.7243411250211
6139.20130099067638.628624976014239.7739770053378
6239.157977855477838.53064271273339.7853129982227
6339.159654720279738.482055321758439.837254118801
6439.145498251748338.421114024676639.8698824788199
6538.941341783216838.173016284496339.7096672819372
6638.84885198135238.038965794571539.6587381681324
6738.711778846153837.862363047447739.56119464486
6838.650122377622437.762936510599439.5373082446454