Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[45])
33	119.57	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	119.93	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	120.03	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	119.66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	119.46	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	119.48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	119.56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	119.43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	119.57	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	119.59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	119.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	119.54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	119.56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	119.61	119.6711	118.8261	120.5161	0.4437	0.6017	0.2741	0.6017
47	119.64	119.8349	118.2212	121.4486	0.4064	0.6076	0.4063	0.6308
48	119.6	120.0293	117.6696	122.3891	0.3607	0.6268	0.6205	0.6517
49	119.71	120.2414	117.172	123.3108	0.3672	0.6589	0.6911	0.6683
50	119.72	120.4638	116.7206	124.207	0.3485	0.6535	0.6968	0.682
51	119.66	120.6921	116.3057	125.0784	0.3223	0.668	0.6935	0.6935
52	119.76	120.9238	115.919	125.9286	0.3243	0.6897	0.7207	0.7034
53	119.8	121.1575	115.5535	126.7616	0.3175	0.6875	0.7106	0.7118
54	119.88	121.3924	115.2037	127.5811	0.316	0.693	0.7159	0.7192
55	119.78	121.628	114.8655	128.3904	0.2961	0.6938	0.7313	0.7255
56	120.08	121.8639	114.5356	129.1923	0.3166	0.7114	0.7329	0.7311
57	120.22	122.1001	114.2113	129.9889	0.3202	0.6921	0.736	0.736

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
46	0.0036	-5e-04	0	0.0037	0	0
47	0.0069	-0.0016	0.0011	0.038	0.0209	0.1444
48	0.01	-0.0036	0.0019	0.1843	0.0753	0.2745
49	0.013	-0.0044	0.0025	0.2824	0.1271	0.3565
50	0.0159	-0.0062	0.0033	0.5532	0.2123	0.4608
51	0.0185	-0.0086	0.0041	1.0652	0.3545	0.5954
52	0.0211	-0.0096	0.0049	1.3545	0.4973	0.7052
53	0.0236	-0.0112	0.0057	1.8429	0.6655	0.8158
54	0.026	-0.0125	0.0065	2.2874	0.8457	0.9196
55	0.0284	-0.0152	0.0073	3.4151	1.1027	1.0501
56	0.0307	-0.0146	0.008	3.1824	1.2917	1.1365
57	0.033	-0.0154	0.0086	3.5348	1.4787	1.216