ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 |
Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.5815 | -0.0692 | 0.0689 | -0.9411 |
(p-val) | (4e-04 ) | (0.662 ) | (0.6383 ) | (0 ) |
Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.559 | 0 | 0.0445 | -1.0543 |
(p-val) | (3e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0.7413 ) | (0 ) |
Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.5529 | 0 | 0 | -1.0706 |
(p-val) | (4e-04 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
(p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
(p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
(p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
(p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
Value |
-0.138863847696841 |
-0.224109017606018 |
0.221472317573080 |
0.111186957860962 |
-0.52215317185965 |
-0.098939180408747 |
-0.0716235243421305 |
-0.0177133473581121 |
0.346125541929992 |
-0.0260598811509362 |
-0.182239699537056 |
0.716805798318694 |
-0.0197727501196127 |
-0.195156619225351 |
-0.389409977217506 |
0.0363334180579853 |
-0.245024398541444 |
0.0239880646965660 |
0.40239312499754 |
1.19382428636677 |
1.23674549114694 |
-1.10102990178703 |
0.239390043530661 |
-0.0837453555993034 |
-0.321244712350556 |
-0.600647458607193 |
0.361994706612052 |
-0.473988085374167 |
-0.0567220057173344 |
-0.273050006044429 |
-0.0493363210027377 |
-0.124315538493904 |
0.111473472262672 |
-0.267736680762336 |
-0.560637495791417 |
-0.130373135947379 |
0.00593751253206693 |
-0.0342691289250102 |
-0.27048240733365 |
0.101719940947623 |
-0.163010806655346 |
-0.186297072010425 |
-0.00637561971905303 |
-0.0888533752234122 |
-0.0405324111782769 |
-0.0787702049518585 |
-0.129602352544268 |
0.0552192791745347 |
-0.121155711509405 |
-0.125282829790740 |
0.0637316288667774 |
-0.0770818266597153 |
-0.000392146843808161 |
-0.199035785773681 |
0.288582438284089 |
-0.0918520810098448 |