Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[108])
96	9.893	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	11.572	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
98	12.38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
99	16.692	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
100	16.052	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
101	16.459	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
102	14.761	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
103	13.654	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
104	13.48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
105	18.068	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
106	16.56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
107	14.53	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
108	10.65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
109	11.651	11.3113	8.0834	14.5392	0.4183	0.656	0.4371	0.656
110	13.735	12.111	8.2202	16.0018	0.2067	0.5916	0.4461	0.7691
111	13.36	15.6091	11.2966	19.9216	0.1533	0.8028	0.3113	0.9879
112	17.818	15.1242	10.4641	19.7842	0.1286	0.771	0.3482	0.9701
113	20.613	16.6913	11.7178	21.6648	0.0611	0.3285	0.5365	0.9914
114	16.231	15.6174	10.3518	20.8829	0.4097	0.0315	0.6251	0.9678
115	13.862	13.9987	8.4572	19.5401	0.4807	0.2149	0.5485	0.8819
116	12.004	13.1649	7.3609	18.9689	0.3475	0.4069	0.4576	0.8021
117	17.734	16.0337	9.9785	22.0889	0.291	0.9039	0.2551	0.9593
118	15.034	15.4432	9.1468	21.7396	0.4493	0.2379	0.364	0.9322
119	12.609	14.5833	8.0544	21.1123	0.2767	0.4462	0.5064	0.8812
120	12.32	11.5522	4.7979	18.3065	0.4118	0.3795	0.6033	0.6033
121	10.833	11.3568	4.0076	18.7061	0.4444	0.3986	0.4687	0.5748
122	11.35	11.9754	4.2189	19.7319	0.4372	0.6136	0.3283	0.6312
123	13.648	15.2116	7.1011	23.3221	0.3528	0.8246	0.6727	0.8648
124	14.89	14.7502	6.3097	23.1906	0.487	0.601	0.2381	0.8295
125	16.325	16.609	7.8537	25.3643	0.4747	0.6498	0.185	0.9089
126	18.045	15.6932	6.6347	24.7517	0.3054	0.4456	0.4537	0.8624
127	15.616	13.9433	4.5916	23.2949	0.3629	0.195	0.5068	0.755
128	11.926	12.9407	3.3049	22.5765	0.4182	0.2932	0.5756	0.6794
129	16.855	15.37	5.4581	25.2818	0.3845	0.7521	0.3201	0.8247
130	15.083	15.014	4.8334	25.1945	0.4947	0.3615	0.4985	0.7996
131	12.52	14.4532	4.0105	24.896	0.3584	0.453	0.6354	0.7623
132	12.355	11.6391	0.9392	22.339	0.4478	0.4359	0.4504	0.5719

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
109	0.1456	0.03	0	0.1154	0	0
110	0.1639	0.1341	0.0821	2.6372	1.3763	1.1732
111	0.141	-0.1441	0.1027	5.0584	2.6037	1.6136
112	0.1572	0.1781	0.1216	7.2567	3.7669	1.9409
113	0.152	0.235	0.1443	15.3801	6.0896	2.4677
114	0.172	0.0393	0.1268	0.3765	5.1374	2.2666
115	0.202	-0.0098	0.11	0.0187	4.4061	2.0991
116	0.2249	-0.0882	0.1073	1.3477	4.0238	2.006
117	0.1927	0.106	0.1072	2.891	3.898	1.9743
118	0.208	-0.0265	0.0991	0.1674	3.5249	1.8775
119	0.2284	-0.1354	0.1024	3.8979	3.5588	1.8865
120	0.2983	0.0665	0.0994	0.5896	3.3114	1.8197
121	0.3302	-0.0461	0.0953	0.2744	3.0778	1.7544
122	0.3305	-0.0522	0.0922	0.3912	2.8859	1.6988
123	0.272	-0.1028	0.0929	2.4449	2.8565	1.6901
124	0.292	0.0095	0.0877	0.0195	2.6792	1.6368
125	0.269	-0.0171	0.0836	0.0807	2.5263	1.5894
126	0.2945	0.1499	0.0872	5.5308	2.6932	1.6411
127	0.3422	0.12	0.089	2.7981	2.6987	1.6428
128	0.3799	-0.0784	0.0884	1.0296	2.6153	1.6172
129	0.329	0.0966	0.0888	2.2053	2.5958	1.6111
130	0.346	0.0046	0.085	0.0048	2.478	1.5742
131	0.3686	-0.1338	0.0871	3.7374	2.5328	1.5915
132	0.469	0.0615	0.0861	0.5125	2.4486	1.5648