Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 481 | 0 | 49 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 19876 | 8683.82316940457 | -102217.841414870 | 133286.018245465 | -11192.1768305954 |
2 | 45335 | 39748.1731120666 | -82851.7585992094 | 133773.585487143 | -5586.82688793342 |
3 | 48674 | 34109.2062292733 | -71022.3589580938 | 134261.152728820 | -14564.7937707267 |
4 | 156392 | 173663.920882854 | 4439.34112369675 | 134680.737993450 | 17271.9208828537 |
5 | 100837 | 106754.850133431 | -40181.1733915100 | 135100.323258079 | 5917.85013343129 |
6 | 101605 | 109770.419188294 | -42242.5551331125 | 135682.135944819 | 8165.41918829374 |
7 | 532850 | 614436.025556505 | 315000.025811936 | 136263.948631559 | 81586.0255565047 |
8 | 294189 | 213511.328412465 | 237778.21458826 | 137088.456999275 | -80677.6715875354 |
9 | 80763 | 78582.4128333753 | -54969.3782003671 | 137912.965366992 | -2180.58716662473 |
10 | 105995 | 121917.19286252 | -48386.5095685443 | 138459.316706024 | 15922.1928625200 |
11 | 25045 | 6710.95280880143 | -95626.620853858 | 139005.668045057 | -18334.0471911986 |
12 | 90474 | 61561.3777895417 | -19719.3587266237 | 139105.980937082 | -28912.6222104583 |
13 | 48481 | 59973.5475857622 | -102217.841414870 | 139206.293829107 | 11492.5475857622 |
14 | 50730 | 45193.8254910827 | -82851.7585992094 | 139117.933108127 | -5536.17450891726 |
15 | 68694 | 69380.786570948 | -71022.3589580938 | 139029.572387146 | 686.786570947996 |
16 | 207716 | 272368.644593246 | 4439.34112369675 | 138624.014283057 | 64652.6445932463 |
17 | 99132 | 100226.717212542 | -40181.1733915100 | 138218.456178968 | 1094.71721254187 |
18 | 104012 | 113105.224258753 | -42242.5551331125 | 137161.330874360 | 9093.22425875283 |
19 | 422632 | 394159.768618312 | 315000.025811936 | 136104.205569751 | -28472.2313816877 |
20 | 364974 | 357847.022719139 | 237778.21458826 | 134322.762692601 | -7126.97728086138 |
21 | 82687 | 87802.0583849158 | -54969.3782003671 | 132541.319815451 | 5115.05838491578 |
22 | 66834 | 51567.6685074001 | -48386.5095685443 | 130486.841061144 | -15266.3314925999 |
23 | 28408 | 24010.2585470211 | -95626.620853858 | 128432.362306837 | -4397.74145297887 |
24 | 97073 | 86447.9618492598 | -19719.3587266237 | 127417.396877364 | -10625.0381507402 |
25 | 40284 | 56383.4099669787 | -102217.841414870 | 126402.431447891 | 16099.4099669787 |
26 | 24421 | 4464.14023002912 | -82851.7585992094 | 127229.618369180 | -19956.8597699709 |
27 | 116346 | 175657.553667624 | -71022.3589580938 | 128056.805290470 | 59311.5536676242 |
28 | 72120 | 9168.67514008477 | 4439.34112369675 | 130631.983736218 | -62951.3248599152 |
29 | 108751 | 124476.011209543 | -40181.1733915100 | 133207.162181967 | 15725.0112095426 |
30 | 91738 | 89251.355663373 | -42242.5551331125 | 136467.199469740 | -2486.64433662704 |
31 | 402216 | 349704.737430552 | 315000.025811936 | 139727.236757512 | -52511.2625694481 |
32 | 390070 | 400606.99897131 | 237778.21458826 | 141754.786440430 | 10536.9989713102 |
33 | 106045 | 123277.042077019 | -54969.3782003671 | 143782.336123348 | 17232.0420770193 |
34 | 110070 | 124057.460696510 | -48386.5095685443 | 144469.048872034 | 13987.4606965103 |
35 | 70668 | 91806.8592331379 | -95626.620853858 | 145155.761620720 | 21138.8592331379 |
36 | 167841 | 209810.180459751 | -19719.3587266237 | 145591.178266872 | 41969.1804597514 |
37 | 28607 | 13405.2465018452 | -102217.841414870 | 146026.594913024 | -15201.7534981548 |
38 | 95371 | 127567.898778022 | -82851.7585992094 | 146025.859821188 | 32196.8987780217 |
39 | 30605 | -13792.7657712571 | -71022.3589580938 | 146025.124729351 | -44397.7657712571 |
40 | 131063 | 112981.120945659 | 4439.34112369675 | 144705.537930645 | -18081.8790543415 |
41 | 81214 | 59223.2222595714 | -40181.1733915100 | 143385.951131939 | -21990.7777404286 |
42 | 85451 | 71327.1287471203 | -42242.5551331125 | 141817.426385992 | -14123.8712528797 |
43 | 455196 | 455143.072548018 | 315000.025811936 | 140248.901640046 | -52.9274519823375 |
44 | 454570 | 532354.331197252 | 237778.21458826 | 139007.454214488 | 77784.3311972523 |
45 | 63114 | 43431.3714114377 | -54969.3782003671 | 137766.006788929 | -19682.6285885623 |
46 | 74287 | 60181.045025433 | -48386.5095685443 | 136779.464543111 | -14105.954974567 |
47 | 42350 | 44533.698556565 | -95626.620853858 | 135792.922297293 | 2183.69855656498 |
48 | 113375 | 111579.699852794 | -19719.3587266237 | 134889.658873830 | -1795.300147206 |