| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 3111 | 3111 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 3995 | 3612.8827132778 | 488.485601609452 | 139.641979418242 | 0.620189542035713 |
| 3 | 5245 | 5006.4570558626 | 1081.27114999281 | 89.1084813701512 | 0.572527068887661 |
| 4 | 5588 | 5743.84885630487 | 862.125116581925 | -99.9421133704833 | -0.215281102215225 |
| 5 | 10681 | 9642.94023346904 | 2812.7211173582 | 559.031801887349 | 1.86347004929820 |
| 6 | 10516 | 11121.0472420787 | 1955.49656800710 | -396.734039870185 | -0.814360226394706 |
| 7 | 7496 | 8825.7241469518 | -777.585402586055 | -665.404896527415 | -2.59759688442302 |
| 8 | 9935 | 9281.95599063647 | 16.2985863715707 | 460.075924773771 | 0.754510604173224 |
| 9 | 10249 | 10056.1528182779 | 503.999510209504 | 74.3162765231111 | 0.463476299882457 |
| 10 | 6271 | 7365.66708819162 | -1551.39659789881 | -595.132195777487 | -1.95328656788902 |
| 11 | 3616 | 4025.62514647689 | -2702.15611401201 | -129.949019976698 | -1.09359249350097 |
| 12 | 3724 | 3044.82566983615 | -1594.71609317863 | 410.026487083464 | 1.05242470700327 |
| 13 | 2886 | 2486.99169218527 | -943.350248229637 | 240.712438472127 | 0.678557196445312 |
| 14 | 3318 | 2905.40921354793 | -135.699925167198 | 247.007093057614 | 0.726065431327129 |
| 15 | 4166 | 3737.89494658164 | 444.853435525258 | 296.456889692117 | 0.56071052595083 |
| 16 | 6401 | 6377.46306797572 | 1806.62825228939 | -285.131362020920 | 1.29363633827189 |
| 17 | 9209 | 8490.68531775602 | 1996.4021415759 | 675.795850337895 | 0.178869417356362 |
| 18 | 9820 | 9763.7378450251 | 1549.84297605897 | 157.021975453824 | -0.423405146846143 |
| 19 | 7470 | 9186.05330072487 | 234.051729130800 | -1418.05246931372 | -1.25048210857331 |
| 20 | 8207 | 8276.98282280701 | -473.931037019094 | 90.3921004331875 | -0.672827970709785 |
| 21 | 9564 | 8563.54853643257 | -2.75179268249906 | 893.729021541847 | 0.447757498171943 |
| 22 | 5309 | 6381.09526547425 | -1353.07287452423 | -766.23079770436 | -1.2832538466505 |
| 23 | 3385 | 3992.71691558194 | -1994.03137885859 | -462.53688099803 | -0.609117291309971 |
| 24 | 3706 | 2985.20391654292 | -1384.49182222250 | 582.703103817111 | 0.58013292969877 |
| 25 | 2733 | 2482.90683865989 | -839.434633585993 | 125.326002019249 | 0.532934471486548 |
| 26 | 3045 | 2683.53531007380 | -213.210724730631 | 226.303551162268 | 0.583363512011349 |
| 27 | 3449 | 3405.59943920103 | 346.098657533172 | -80.4620115513374 | 0.534857700407542 |
| 28 | 5542 | 5401.35497614161 | 1352.49251879154 | -84.1486481044485 | 0.960372141135581 |
| 29 | 10072 | 8652.61596550518 | 2513.15079129249 | 1162.84893010181 | 1.09755123053373 |
| 30 | 9418 | 9541.18957214084 | 1523.11641544258 | 95.9834983456691 | -0.938194337190754 |
| 31 | 7516 | 9353.0419373926 | 479.62237999601 | -1605.19275633586 | -0.991419371310645 |
| 32 | 7840 | 8410.24716402446 | -389.062976705659 | -377.104253989255 | -0.825579731308563 |
| 33 | 10081 | 8419.58764217559 | -145.597511576317 | 1607.28687447511 | 0.231364888819556 |
| 34 | 4956 | 6223.907636558 | -1398.15090957433 | -989.438051854332 | -1.19033085292967 |
| 35 | 3641 | 4325.72522003029 | -1703.32713323455 | -616.880953781665 | -0.290064996583784 |
| 36 | 3970 | 3238.19767537723 | -1327.96454301442 | 648.26388817135 | 0.357711172156726 |
| 37 | 2931 | 2703.31359699742 | -843.190162248884 | 119.215752069648 | 0.465387849269072 |
| 38 | 3170 | 2829.66577232126 | -258.374032740858 | 212.587299325236 | 0.550849466717508 |
| 39 | 3889 | 3983.96087908827 | 587.470541468975 | -281.211374938611 | 0.80579458235679 |
| 40 | 4850 | 5264.87070453489 | 1007.32103940934 | -508.044384370275 | 0.400751969095235 |
| 41 | 8037 | 6489.29634082828 | 1139.22110783406 | 1518.62942795406 | 0.125042567003883 |
| 42 | 12370 | 10742.6921421141 | 3026.78724038809 | 1211.70976415776 | 1.78898381848514 |
| 43 | 6712 | 9759.16905103896 | 596.752782097315 | -2510.72086596432 | -2.30796268443930 |
| 44 | 7297 | 8350.23046327393 | -620.07791911936 | -784.324438665361 | -1.15641550144057 |
| 45 | 10613 | 8200.4942155982 | -334.523121199407 | 2349.40124305406 | 0.271369112718619 |
| 46 | 5184 | 6521.2315631491 | -1150.72649051446 | -1156.85866327522 | -0.775666692127054 |
| 47 | 3506 | 4464.29799100156 | -1700.20885484243 | -836.850789054728 | -0.522438247213406 |
| 48 | 3810 | 3100.71491926352 | -1496.13658083475 | 664.118708875128 | 0.194467277053269 |
| 49 | 2692 | 2453.83481865599 | -980.292614557232 | 123.832595526145 | 0.49209310630182 |
| 50 | 3073 | 2725.90165906752 | -225.489507274648 | 181.685390719800 | 0.713900863345525 |
| 51 | 3713 | 3750.94333846790 | 524.035897149407 | -202.731605605161 | 0.713021622804519 |
| 52 | 4555 | 5079.65751897869 | 1009.39869587636 | -631.979120177756 | 0.462930348129642 |
| 53 | 7807 | 6832.95527163072 | 1459.66748888408 | 874.868243730042 | 0.427520908671153 |
| 54 | 10869 | 8613.17904682288 | 1653.40949774153 | 2213.23463322948 | 0.183710129756517 |
| 55 | 9682 | 11385.6569882043 | 2329.24534408472 | -1852.43950815812 | 0.641722926439211 |
| 56 | 7704 | 10059.3187176853 | 119.888134200352 | -1868.38793580562 | -2.09946329941921 |
| 57 | 9826 | 7831.79311468685 | -1299.71772312250 | 2307.13586034375 | -1.34911383900893 |
| 58 | 5456 | 6306.45038806238 | -1436.13364121289 | -820.378547042119 | -0.129651744926658 |
| 59 | 3677 | 4602.27645309638 | -1598.09125948034 | -889.562088178773 | -0.154025322410853 |
| 60 | 3431 | 2917.08268668110 | -1650.74161669649 | 525.54055657661 | -0.0501450902934945 |
| 61 | 2765 | 2439.02982233213 | -941.20474857984 | 169.389710467917 | 0.675208864974534 |
| 62 | 3483 | 3036.25713096270 | -15.0678939724961 | 243.585130263776 | 0.877526374428028 |
| 63 | 3445 | 3670.20234969692 | 374.101696986122 | -310.721358002381 | 0.370012529483473 |
| 64 | 6081 | 6194.04278355305 | 1668.03785286121 | -398.534766067924 | 1.23314967659956 |
| 65 | 8767 | 8163.63481733455 | 1850.10197382981 | 563.279774932982 | 0.173014768934893 |
| 66 | 9407 | 8214.341749782 | 764.557270229796 | 1431.15646748956 | -1.02988108971288 |
| 67 | 6551 | 7852.6195825376 | 85.7453517588755 | -1152.38354595725 | -0.644468027014579 |
| 68 | 12480 | 12141.2552562946 | 2619.53841609243 | -218.870345951639 | 2.40746254299608 |
| 69 | 9530 | 9351.01383181355 | -643.280446847622 | 897.279008057147 | -3.10085235725312 |
| 70 | 5960 | 7006.63878269136 | -1669.13408875546 | -820.769986925271 | -0.975110854149383 |
| 71 | 3252 | 4349.17660043382 | -2265.00816273368 | -965.921265147465 | -0.566765490942552 |
| 72 | 3717 | 3029.0424727204 | -1694.97407893364 | 562.306155471414 | 0.542600600387632 |
| 73 | 2642 | 2429.10663139549 | -1034.12572130048 | 67.374850550573 | 0.628219483552403 |
| 74 | 2989 | 2565.09861081663 | -330.488691603592 | 269.501246576333 | 0.667305291446075 |
| 75 | 3607 | 3909.19209567202 | 673.674180482145 | -522.806707683006 | 0.95451709240853 |
| 76 | 5366 | 5516.29515438507 | 1234.74618543120 | -273.924459738283 | 0.534382161751387 |
| 77 | 8898 | 7618.75990389814 | 1757.66334990955 | 1164.14633104678 | 0.497148175427193 |
| 78 | 9435 | 8432.83690848495 | 1189.20134991579 | 1127.04301909470 | -0.539563338112475 |
| 79 | 7328 | 9519.74007782756 | 1127.63291556398 | -2178.21376343124 | -0.0584518175544107 |
| 80 | 8594 | 8327.30874113942 | -268.547958961703 | 573.672040946175 | -1.32641207593223 |
| 81 | 11349 | 9351.0037102388 | 509.289307452263 | 1826.89503055444 | 0.739233760317641 |
| 82 | 5797 | 7312.85060997764 | -1024.07333385544 | -1178.46392321495 | -1.45770336996176 |
| 83 | 3621 | 5075.71319716074 | -1754.31216075792 | -1293.96449646832 | -0.69459643242334 |
| 84 | 3851 | 3410.20838367394 | -1700.81546488972 | 429.011475652004 | 0.0508986538457064 |
