Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 841 | 0 | 85 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 3111 | 2638.39974468971 | -3404.72302108774 | 6988.32327639803 | -472.600255310289 |
2 | 3995 | 3970.0486562366 | -2919.88691369791 | 6939.83825746131 | -24.9513437633977 |
3 | 5245 | 5872.55472144438 | -2273.90795996897 | 6891.35323852459 | 627.554721444378 |
4 | 5588 | 5050.82404606856 | -717.927308014563 | 6843.103261946 | -537.175953931435 |
5 | 10681 | 11697.8081237253 | 2869.33859090725 | 6794.8532853674 | 1016.80812372535 |
6 | 10516 | 10213.7652874681 | 4069.66645033597 | 6748.56826219594 | -302.234712531907 |
7 | 7496 | 6940.29535563429 | 1349.42140534124 | 6702.28323902448 | -555.704644365714 |
8 | 9935 | 10532.1552763943 | 2683.21499495085 | 6654.62972865481 | 597.155276394338 |
9 | 10249 | 9895.01355847888 | 3996.01022323597 | 6606.97621828515 | -353.986441521116 |
10 | 6271 | 6593.36248062063 | -606.941792650773 | 6555.57931203014 | 322.362480620634 |
11 | 3616 | 3359.99657114579 | -2632.17897692092 | 6504.18240577513 | -256.00342885421 |
12 | 3724 | 3403.63028060175 | -2412.08552334163 | 6456.45524273988 | -320.36971939825 |
13 | 2886 | 2767.99494138311 | -3404.72302108774 | 6408.72807970463 | -118.005058616885 |
14 | 3318 | 3211.18130213619 | -2919.88691369791 | 6344.70561156172 | -106.818697863808 |
15 | 4166 | 4325.22481655016 | -2273.90795996897 | 6280.68314341881 | 159.224816550155 |
16 | 6401 | 7297.59923673975 | -717.927308014563 | 6222.32807127481 | 896.59923673975 |
17 | 9209 | 9384.68840996194 | 2869.33859090725 | 6163.97299913081 | 175.688409961941 |
18 | 9820 | 9442.96071998065 | 4069.66645033597 | 6127.37282968339 | -377.039280019356 |
19 | 7470 | 7499.8059344228 | 1349.42140534124 | 6090.77266023597 | 29.8059344227950 |
20 | 8207 | 7677.01547301025 | 2683.21499495085 | 6053.7695320389 | -529.984526989749 |
21 | 9564 | 9115.2233729222 | 3996.01022323597 | 6016.76640384183 | -448.776627077798 |
22 | 5309 | 5225.21833592984 | -606.941792650773 | 5999.72345672093 | -83.7816640701576 |
23 | 3385 | 3419.49846732089 | -2632.17897692092 | 5982.68050960003 | 34.498467320891 |
24 | 3706 | 3831.8588822095 | -2412.08552334163 | 5992.22664113213 | 125.858882209502 |
25 | 2733 | 2868.95024842352 | -3404.72302108774 | 6001.77277266423 | 135.950248423515 |
26 | 3045 | 3002.61311384363 | -2919.88691369791 | 6007.27379985428 | -42.3868861563651 |
27 | 3449 | 3159.13313292464 | -2273.90795996897 | 6012.77482704433 | -289.866867075360 |
28 | 5542 | 5793.05152337138 | -717.927308014563 | 6008.87578464319 | 251.051523371378 |
29 | 10072 | 11269.6846668507 | 2869.33859090725 | 6004.97674224204 | 1197.68466685071 |
30 | 9418 | 8756.14587505274 | 4069.66645033597 | 6010.18767461129 | -661.854124947257 |
31 | 7516 | 7667.17998767822 | 1349.42140534124 | 6015.39860698054 | 151.179987678222 |
32 | 7840 | 6977.85499019848 | 2683.21499495085 | 6018.93001485067 | -862.145009801523 |
33 | 10081 | 10143.5283540432 | 3996.01022323597 | 6022.4614227208 | 62.5283540432256 |
34 | 4956 | 4504.2797321239 | -606.941792650773 | 6014.66206052688 | -451.720267876103 |
35 | 3641 | 3907.31627858798 | -2632.17897692092 | 6006.86269833295 | 266.316278587976 |
36 | 3970 | 4334.52031498036 | -2412.08552334163 | 6017.56520836127 | 364.52031498036 |
37 | 2931 | 3238.45530269815 | -3404.72302108774 | 6028.2677183896 | 307.455302698148 |
38 | 3170 | 3220.79249355622 | -2919.88691369791 | 6039.09442014169 | 50.7924935562232 |
39 | 3889 | 4001.98683807518 | -2273.90795996897 | 6049.92112189378 | 112.986838075184 |
40 | 4850 | 4376.19082569711 | -717.927308014563 | 6041.73648231745 | -473.809174302888 |
41 | 8037 | 7171.10956635163 | 2869.33859090725 | 6033.55184274112 | -865.890433648366 |
42 | 12370 | 14648.2139152919 | 4069.66645033597 | 6022.1196343721 | 2278.21391529193 |
43 | 6712 | 6063.89116865567 | 1349.42140534124 | 6010.68742600309 | -648.108831344326 |
44 | 7297 | 5908.89955091186 | 2683.21499495085 | 6001.8854541373 | -1388.10044908814 |
45 | 10613 | 11236.9062944925 | 3996.01022323597 | 5993.0834822715 | 623.906294492532 |
46 | 5184 | 5004.3935967558 | -606.941792650773 | 5970.54819589498 | -179.606403244205 |
47 | 3506 | 3696.16606740246 | -2632.17897692092 | 5948.01290951846 | 190.166067402463 |
48 | 3810 | 4073.22771377964 | -2412.08552334163 | 5958.857809562 | 263.227713779637 |
49 | 2692 | 2819.02031148221 | -3404.72302108774 | 5969.70270960553 | 127.020311482213 |
50 | 3073 | 3062.60276129952 | -2919.88691369791 | 6003.28415239839 | -10.3972387004760 |
51 | 3713 | 3663.04236477772 | -2273.90795996897 | 6036.86559519125 | -49.9576352222812 |
52 | 4555 | 3780.61088895828 | -717.927308014563 | 6047.31641905628 | -774.389111041721 |
53 | 7807 | 6686.89416617143 | 2869.33859090725 | 6057.76724292132 | -1120.10583382857 |
54 | 10869 | 11606.7324648098 | 4069.66645033597 | 6061.60108485422 | 737.73246480981 |
55 | 9682 | 11949.1436678716 | 1349.42140534124 | 6065.43492678713 | 2267.14366787163 |
56 | 7704 | 6634.46652889476 | 2683.21499495085 | 6090.3184761544 | -1069.53347110524 |
57 | 9826 | 9540.78775124237 | 3996.01022323597 | 6115.20202552166 | -285.212248757629 |
58 | 5456 | 5387.72642867117 | -606.941792650773 | 6131.2153639796 | -68.2735713288312 |
59 | 3677 | 3838.95027448337 | -2632.17897692092 | 6147.22870243755 | 161.950274483374 |
60 | 3431 | 3140.58083547041 | -2412.08552334163 | 6133.50468787122 | -290.419164529589 |
61 | 2765 | 2814.94234778285 | -3404.72302108774 | 6119.78067330489 | 49.9423477828523 |
62 | 3483 | 3737.24610405082 | -2919.88691369791 | 6148.64080964709 | 254.246104050820 |
63 | 3445 | 2986.40701397967 | -2273.90795996897 | 6177.5009459893 | -458.592986020328 |
64 | 6081 | 6654.83029148447 | -717.927308014563 | 6225.09701653009 | 573.830291484469 |
65 | 8767 | 8391.96832202186 | 2869.33859090725 | 6272.69308707089 | -375.031677978140 |
66 | 9407 | 8462.15967828096 | 4069.66645033597 | 6282.17387138307 | -944.840321719038 |
67 | 6551 | 5460.92393896351 | 1349.42140534124 | 6291.65465569525 | -1090.07606103649 |
68 | 12480 | 15995.7055425084 | 2683.21499495085 | 6281.07946254078 | 3515.70554250837 |
69 | 9530 | 8793.48550737772 | 3996.01022323597 | 6270.50426938631 | -736.514492622278 |
70 | 5960 | 6274.26978471478 | -606.941792650773 | 6252.67200793599 | 314.269784714784 |
71 | 3252 | 2901.33923043525 | -2632.17897692092 | 6234.83974648567 | -350.660769564748 |
72 | 3717 | 3654.70121866792 | -2412.08552334163 | 6191.38430467371 | -62.2987813320788 |
73 | 2642 | 2540.79415822599 | -3404.72302108774 | 6147.92886286175 | -101.205841774006 |
74 | 2989 | 2796.02660948497 | -2919.88691369791 | 6101.86030421295 | -192.973390515031 |
75 | 3607 | 3432.11621440483 | -2273.90795996897 | 6055.79174556414 | -174.883785595172 |
76 | 5366 | 5362.37094846243 | -717.927308014563 | 6087.55635955214 | -3.62905153757310 |
77 | 8898 | 8807.34043555262 | 2869.33859090725 | 6119.32097354013 | -90.659564447381 |
78 | 9435 | 8653.73135750798 | 4069.66645033597 | 6146.60219215605 | -781.268642492017 |
79 | 7328 | 7132.6951838868 | 1349.42140534124 | 6173.88341077197 | -195.304816113205 |
80 | 8594 | 8298.62768706977 | 2683.21499495085 | 6206.15731797938 | -295.372312930234 |
81 | 11349 | 12463.5585515772 | 3996.01022323597 | 6238.4312251868 | 1114.55855157723 |
82 | 5797 | 5921.87184796467 | -606.941792650773 | 6279.0699446861 | 124.871847964675 |
83 | 3621 | 3554.47031273553 | -2632.17897692092 | 6319.7086641854 | -66.5296872644722 |
84 | 3851 | 3749.06606878746 | -2412.08552334163 | 6365.01945455417 | -101.933931212538 |