| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 1311 | 0 | 132 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 27951 | 27494.6532216489 | -3271.34477734183 | 31678.6915556929 | -456.346778351108 |
| 2 | 29781 | 28695.942305178 | -1022.08218022270 | 31888.1398750447 | -1085.05769482198 |
| 3 | 32914 | 32799.3235422317 | 931.088263371943 | 32097.5881943964 | -114.676457768350 |
| 4 | 33488 | 33315.3544345412 | 1379.59852932444 | 32281.0470361343 | -172.645565458781 |
| 5 | 35652 | 36277.1139109043 | 2562.38021122341 | 32464.5058778723 | 625.1139109043 |
| 6 | 36488 | 36951.1995654082 | 3400.36639354698 | 32624.4340410449 | 463.199565408166 |
| 7 | 35387 | 35745.9215677261 | 2243.71622805647 | 32784.3622042174 | 358.921567726109 |
| 8 | 35676 | 36108.6523899609 | 2316.16278254881 | 32927.1848274903 | 432.652389960931 |
| 9 | 34844 | 36147.4755713929 | 470.516977844015 | 33070.0074507631 | 1303.47557139288 |
| 10 | 32447 | 33211.0649194411 | -1384.96295490959 | 33067.8980354685 | 764.064919441109 |
| 11 | 31068 | 31822.3809466073 | -2752.16956678118 | 33065.7886201739 | 754.380946607322 |
| 12 | 29010 | 30079.7027943594 | -4873.26943009693 | 32813.5666357375 | 1069.70279435944 |
| 13 | 29812 | 30334.0001260407 | -3271.34477734183 | 32561.3446513011 | 522.000126040712 |
| 14 | 30951 | 30808.3878376383 | -1022.08218022270 | 32115.6943425844 | -142.612162361736 |
| 15 | 32974 | 33346.8677027603 | 931.088263371943 | 31670.0440338677 | 372.867702760312 |
| 16 | 32936 | 33415.4702378051 | 1379.59852932444 | 31076.9312328705 | 479.470237805079 |
| 17 | 34012 | 34977.8013569034 | 2562.38021122341 | 30483.8184318732 | 965.80135690336 |
| 18 | 32946 | 32616.5712105756 | 3400.36639354698 | 29875.0623958774 | -329.428789424401 |
| 19 | 31948 | 32385.9774120619 | 2243.71622805647 | 29266.3063598816 | 437.977412061919 |
| 20 | 30599 | 30175.2926052688 | 2316.16278254881 | 28706.5446121824 | -423.707394731206 |
| 21 | 27691 | 26764.7001576728 | 470.516977844015 | 28146.7828644832 | -926.299842327186 |
| 22 | 25073 | 23910.1253916822 | -1384.96295490959 | 27620.8375632274 | -1162.87460831779 |
| 23 | 23406 | 22469.2773048096 | -2752.16956678118 | 27094.8922619716 | -936.72269519042 |
| 24 | 22248 | 22783.1813956968 | -4873.26943009693 | 26586.0880344001 | 535.181395696833 |
| 25 | 22896 | 22986.0609705132 | -3271.34477734183 | 26077.2838068286 | 90.0609705132374 |
| 26 | 25317 | 26032.3730504758 | -1022.08218022270 | 25623.7091297469 | 715.37305047582 |
| 27 | 26558 | 27014.7772839629 | 931.088263371943 | 25170.1344526652 | 456.7772839629 |
| 28 | 26471 | 26769.9504421061 | 1379.59852932444 | 24792.4510285694 | 298.950442106125 |
| 29 | 27543 | 28108.8521843029 | 2562.38021122341 | 24414.7676044737 | 565.852184302868 |
| 30 | 26198 | 24846.3042392444 | 3400.36639354698 | 24149.3293672086 | -1351.6957607556 |
| 31 | 24725 | 23322.392642 | 2243.71622805647 | 23883.8911299435 | -1402.60735799998 |
| 32 | 25005 | 23963.6457214876 | 2316.16278254881 | 23730.1914959636 | -1041.35427851244 |
| 33 | 23462 | 22876.9911601722 | 470.516977844015 | 23576.4918619837 | -585.008839827762 |
| 34 | 20780 | 19479.4245779142 | -1384.96295490959 | 23465.5383769954 | -1300.57542208585 |
| 35 | 19815 | 19027.5846747740 | -2752.16956678118 | 23354.5848920071 | -787.415325225953 |
| 36 | 19761 | 21145.0298408636 | -4873.26943009693 | 23250.2395892333 | 1384.0298408636 |
| 37 | 21454 | 23033.4504908823 | -3271.34477734183 | 23145.8942864595 | 1579.45049088231 |
| 38 | 23899 | 25791.0502594933 | -1022.08218022270 | 23029.0319207294 | 1892.05025949334 |
| 39 | 24939 | 26034.7421816289 | 931.088263371943 | 22912.1695549992 | 1095.74218162886 |
| 40 | 23580 | 23018.6404156713 | 1379.59852932444 | 22761.7610550043 | -561.35958432873 |
| 41 | 24562 | 23950.2672337672 | 2562.38021122341 | 22611.3525550094 | -611.732766232799 |
| 42 | 24696 | 23480.6365751734 | 3400.36639354698 | 22510.9970312796 | -1215.36342482655 |
| 43 | 23785 | 22915.6422643938 | 2243.71622805647 | 22410.6415075497 | -869.35773560622 |
| 44 | 23812 | 22809.52586238 | 2316.16278254881 | 22498.3113550712 | -1002.47413761998 |
| 45 | 21917 | 20777.5018195634 | 470.516977844015 | 22585.9812025926 | -1139.49818043660 |
| 46 | 19713 | 17920.5008549678 | -1384.96295490959 | 22890.4620999418 | -1792.49914503224 |
| 47 | 19282 | 18121.2265694901 | -2752.16956678118 | 23194.9429972911 | -1160.77343050990 |
| 48 | 18788 | 18803.1488447357 | -4873.26943009693 | 23646.1205853612 | 15.1488447357333 |
| 49 | 21453 | 22080.0466039105 | -3271.34477734183 | 24097.2981734313 | 627.04660391052 |
| 50 | 24482 | 25409.095947951 | -1022.08218022270 | 24576.9862322717 | 927.095947951017 |
| 51 | 27474 | 28960.237445516 | 931.088263371943 | 25056.6742911120 | 1486.23744551601 |
| 52 | 27264 | 27719.6180414967 | 1379.59852932444 | 25428.7834291789 | 455.618041496684 |
| 53 | 27349 | 26334.7272215309 | 2562.38021122341 | 25800.8925672457 | -1014.27277846912 |
| 54 | 30632 | 31898.9652794983 | 3400.36639354698 | 25964.6683269547 | 1266.96527949828 |
| 55 | 29429 | 30485.8396852798 | 2243.71622805647 | 26128.4440866638 | 1056.83968527977 |
| 56 | 30084 | 31665.2589966721 | 2316.16278254881 | 26186.5782207790 | 1581.25899667215 |
| 57 | 26290 | 25864.7706672617 | 470.516977844015 | 26244.7123548943 | -425.229332738330 |
| 58 | 24379 | 23752.8861924726 | -1384.96295490959 | 26390.076762437 | -626.113807527425 |
| 59 | 23335 | 22886.7283968015 | -2752.16956678118 | 26535.4411699797 | -448.271603198544 |
| 60 | 21346 | 20721.6154493907 | -4873.26943009693 | 26843.6539807062 | -624.384550609269 |
| 61 | 21106 | 18331.4779859092 | -3271.34477734183 | 27151.8667914327 | -2774.52201409084 |
| 62 | 24514 | 22443.5456741271 | -1022.08218022270 | 27606.5365060956 | -2070.4543258729 |
| 63 | 28353 | 27713.7055158695 | 931.088263371943 | 28061.2062207585 | -639.29448413046 |
| 64 | 30805 | 31597.0376748876 | 1379.59852932444 | 28633.3637957880 | 792.037674887612 |
| 65 | 31348 | 30928.0984179592 | 2562.38021122341 | 29205.5213708174 | -419.901582040799 |
| 66 | 34556 | 35849.0791161464 | 3400.36639354698 | 29862.5544903066 | 1293.07911614643 |
| 67 | 33855 | 34946.6961621478 | 2243.71622805647 | 30519.5876097958 | 1091.69616214775 |
| 68 | 34787 | 35980.0856152719 | 2316.16278254881 | 31277.7516021793 | 1193.08561527188 |
| 69 | 32529 | 32551.5674275932 | 470.516977844015 | 32035.9155945628 | 22.567427593156 |
| 70 | 29998 | 28556.7230175878 | -1384.96295490959 | 32824.2399373218 | -1441.27698241221 |
| 71 | 29257 | 27653.6052867004 | -2752.16956678118 | 33612.5642800808 | -1603.39471329961 |
| 72 | 28155 | 26760.4542934808 | -4873.26943009693 | 34422.8151366161 | -1394.54570651922 |
| 73 | 30466 | 28970.2787841903 | -3271.34477734183 | 35233.0659931515 | -1495.72121580967 |
| 74 | 35704 | 36442.4389445552 | -1022.08218022270 | 35987.6432356675 | 738.43894455523 |
| 75 | 39327 | 40980.6912584446 | 931.088263371943 | 36742.2204781834 | 1653.69125844463 |
| 76 | 39351 | 39980.0657261394 | 1379.59852932444 | 37342.3357445362 | 629.065726139379 |
| 77 | 42234 | 43963.1687778876 | 2562.38021122341 | 37942.4510108889 | 1729.16877788764 |
| 78 | 43630 | 45540.723062682 | 3400.36639354698 | 38318.910543771 | 1910.72306268200 |
| 79 | 43722 | 46504.9136952904 | 2243.71622805647 | 38695.3700766531 | 2782.91369529044 |
| 80 | 43121 | 45014.5337200102 | 2316.16278254881 | 38911.303497441 | 1893.53372001017 |
| 81 | 37985 | 36372.246103927 | 470.516977844015 | 39127.2369182289 | -1612.75389607297 |
| 82 | 37135 | 36388.8340994395 | -1384.96295490959 | 39266.1288554701 | -746.165900560467 |
| 83 | 34646 | 32639.14877407 | -2752.16956678118 | 39405.0207927112 | -2006.85122592999 |
| 84 | 33026 | 31391.0212571088 | -4873.26943009693 | 39534.2481729881 | -1634.97874289121 |
| 85 | 35087 | 33781.8692240767 | -3271.34477734183 | 39663.4755532651 | -1305.13077592328 |
| 86 | 38846 | 38788.7403842079 | -1022.08218022270 | 39925.3417960148 | -57.2596157921143 |
| 87 | 42013 | 42907.7036978636 | 931.088263371943 | 40187.2080387645 | 894.703697863551 |
| 88 | 43908 | 45779.6910794553 | 1379.59852932444 | 40656.7103912202 | 1871.69107945535 |
| 89 | 42868 | 42047.4070451007 | 2562.38021122341 | 41126.2127436759 | -820.59295489933 |
| 90 | 44423 | 43812.3509129310 | 3400.36639354698 | 41633.2826935221 | -610.649087069047 |
| 91 | 44167 | 43949.9311285753 | 2243.71622805647 | 42140.3526433682 | -217.068871424693 |
| 92 | 43636 | 42373.5669527793 | 2316.16278254881 | 42582.2702646719 | -1262.43304722072 |
| 93 | 44382 | 45269.2951361804 | 470.516977844015 | 43024.1878859756 | 887.295136180386 |
| 94 | 42142 | 42246.2986938028 | -1384.96295490959 | 43422.6642611068 | 104.298693802768 |
| 95 | 43452 | 45835.0289305431 | -2752.16956678118 | 43821.140636238 | 2383.02893054314 |
| 96 | 36912 | 34542.8439622502 | -4873.26943009693 | 44154.4254678467 | -2369.15603774976 |
| 97 | 42413 | 43609.6344778865 | -3271.34477734183 | 44487.7102994553 | 1196.63447788650 |
| 98 | 45344 | 46966.1997224578 | -1022.08218022270 | 44743.8824577649 | 1622.19972245782 |
| 99 | 44873 | 43814.8571205536 | 931.088263371943 | 45000.0546160744 | -1058.14287944636 |
| 100 | 47510 | 48509.7477462982 | 1379.59852932444 | 45130.6537243773 | 999.747746298228 |
| 101 | 49554 | 51284.3669560963 | 2562.38021122341 | 45261.2528326803 | 1730.36695609633 |
| 102 | 47369 | 46195.9912751579 | 3400.36639354698 | 45141.6423312952 | -1173.00872484215 |
| 103 | 45998 | 44730.2519420335 | 2243.71622805647 | 45022.0318299101 | -1267.74805796654 |
| 104 | 48140 | 49451.6934514088 | 2316.16278254881 | 44512.1437660424 | 1311.69345140876 |
| 105 | 48441 | 52409.2273199812 | 470.516977844015 | 44002.2557021748 | 3968.2273199812 |
| 106 | 44928 | 48036.4114763526 | -1384.96295490959 | 43204.551478557 | 3108.41147635262 |
| 107 | 40454 | 41253.322311842 | -2752.16956678118 | 42406.8472549392 | 799.322311842036 |
| 108 | 38661 | 40772.9085772384 | -4873.26943009693 | 41422.3608528585 | 2111.9085772384 |
| 109 | 37246 | 37325.4703265639 | -3271.34477734183 | 40437.8744507779 | 79.470326563911 |
| 110 | 36843 | 35343.5059891765 | -1022.08218022270 | 39364.5761910462 | -1499.49401082352 |
| 111 | 36424 | 33625.6338053135 | 931.088263371943 | 38291.2779313145 | -2798.36619468646 |
| 112 | 37594 | 36407.4694988072 | 1379.59852932444 | 37400.9319718683 | -1186.53050119278 |
| 113 | 38144 | 37215.0337763544 | 2562.38021122341 | 36510.5860124222 | -928.96622364557 |
| 114 | 38737 | 37990.9639663133 | 3400.36639354698 | 36082.6696401397 | -746.036033686716 |
| 115 | 34560 | 31221.5305040862 | 2243.71622805647 | 35654.7532678573 | -3338.46949591379 |
| 116 | 36080 | 34243.9707622908 | 2316.16278254881 | 35599.8664551604 | -1836.02923770916 |
| 117 | 33508 | 31000.5033796926 | 470.516977844015 | 35544.9796424634 | -2507.49662030741 |
| 118 | 35462 | 36589.6601974299 | -1384.96295490959 | 35719.3027574797 | 1127.66019742992 |
| 119 | 33374 | 33606.5436942852 | -2752.16956678118 | 35893.625872496 | 232.543694285225 |
| 120 | 32110 | 32768.2007177203 | -4873.26943009693 | 36325.0687123767 | 658.200717720261 |
| 121 | 35533 | 37580.8332250844 | -3271.34477734183 | 36756.5115522574 | 2047.83322508445 |
| 122 | 35532 | 34631.9432327838 | -1022.08218022270 | 37454.1389474389 | -900.0567672162 |
| 123 | 37903 | 36723.1453940077 | 931.088263371943 | 38151.7663426204 | -1179.85460599235 |
| 124 | 36763 | 33157.4733745145 | 1379.59852932444 | 38988.928096161 | -3605.52662548547 |
| 125 | 40399 | 38409.5299390749 | 2562.38021122341 | 39826.0898497017 | -1989.47006092509 |
| 126 | 44164 | 44255.8665153299 | 3400.36639354698 | 40671.7670911231 | 91.866515329908 |
| 127 | 44496 | 45230.839439399 | 2243.71622805647 | 41517.4443325445 | 734.83943939898 |
| 128 | 43110 | 41513.2488073339 | 2316.16278254881 | 42390.5884101173 | -1596.75119266614 |
| 129 | 43880 | 44025.7505344659 | 470.516977844015 | 43263.7324876901 | 145.750534465871 |
| 130 | 43930 | 45069.2156293441 | -1384.96295490959 | 44175.7473255655 | 1139.21562934406 |
| 131 | 44327 | 46318.4074033402 | -2752.16956678118 | 45087.7621634410 | 1991.40740334023 |
