Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 1 |
beta | 0 |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
3 | 342 | 311 | 31 |
4 | 432 | 464 | -32 |
5 | 517 | 554 | -37 |
6 | 623 | 639 | -16 |
7 | 605 | 745 | -140 |
8 | 716 | 727 | -11 |
9 | 677 | 838 | -161 |
10 | 710 | 799 | -89 |
11 | 839 | 832 | 7 |
12 | 886 | 961 | -75 |
13 | 891 | 1008 | -117 |
14 | 917 | 1013 | -96 |
15 | 820 | 1039 | -219 |
16 | 793 | 942 | -149 |
17 | 932 | 915 | 17 |
18 | 906 | 1054 | -148 |
19 | 844 | 1028 | -184 |
20 | 801 | 966 | -165 |
21 | 957 | 923 | 34 |
22 | 1159 | 1079 | 80 |
23 | 1264 | 1281 | -17 |
24 | 1097 | 1386 | -289 |
25 | 1240 | 1219 | 21 |
26 | 1411 | 1362 | 49 |
27 | 1535 | 1533 | 2 |
28 | 1862 | 1657 | 205 |
29 | 1894 | 1984 | -90 |
30 | 2239 | 2016 | 223 |
31 | 2465 | 2361 | 104 |
32 | 2423 | 2587 | -164 |
33 | 2692 | 2545 | 147 |
34 | 2856 | 2814 | 42 |
35 | 3450 | 2978 | 472 |
36 | 4162 | 3572 | 590 |
37 | 4260 | 4284 | -24 |
38 | 4225 | 4382 | -157 |
39 | 4092 | 4347 | -255 |
40 | 4160 | 4214 | -54 |
41 | 3896 | 4282 | -386 |
42 | 3628 | 4018 | -390 |
43 | 3754 | 3750 | 4 |
44 | 3749 | 3876 | -127 |
45 | 3907 | 3871 | 36 |
46 | 4449 | 4029 | 420 |
47 | 5272 | 4571 | 701 |
48 | 6197 | 5394 | 803 |
49 | 6446 | 6319 | 127 |
50 | 7157 | 6568 | 589 |
51 | 7559 | 7279 | 280 |
52 | 7674 | 7681 | -7 |
53 | 6929 | 7796 | -867 |
54 | 7156 | 7051 | 105 |
55 | 6805 | 7278 | -473 |
56 | 7095 | 6927 | 168 |
57 | 7222 | 7217 | 5 |
58 | 7593 | 7344 | 249 |
59 | 7910 | 7715 | 195 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
60 | 8032 | 7486.65633317356 | 8577.34366682644 |