Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[72])
60	12.738	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	31.566	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	30.111	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	30.019	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	31.934	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	25.826	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	26.835	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	20.205	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	17.789	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	20.52	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
70	22.518	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
71	15.572	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
72	11.509	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	25.447	29.468	25.6227	33.3133	0.0202	1	0.1425	1
74	24.09	27.3668	23.4931	31.2405	0.0487	0.8343	0.0825	1
75	27.786	31.1284	27.1764	35.0803	0.0487	0.9998	0.7089	1
76	26.195	27.8352	23.8832	31.7872	0.208	0.5097	0.021	1
77	20.516	23.8582	19.9054	27.811	0.0487	0.1233	0.1646	1
78	22.759	25.0021	21.0394	28.9647	0.1336	0.9868	0.1823	1
79	19.028	19.2158	15.2415	23.19	0.4631	0.0403	0.3128	0.9999
80	16.971	17.8873	13.8993	21.8752	0.3262	0.2875	0.5193	0.9991
81	20.036	19.8864	15.8862	23.8865	0.4708	0.9234	0.3781	1
82	22.485	22.6109	18.6003	26.6216	0.4755	0.8959	0.5181	1
83	18.73	18.0135	13.9964	22.0306	0.3633	0.0146	0.8832	0.9992
84	14.538	12.2206	8.1975	16.2436	0.1294	8e-04	0.6356	0.6356

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
73	0.0666	-0.1365	0	16.1684	0	0
74	0.0722	-0.1197	0.1281	10.7376	13.453	3.6678
75	0.0648	-0.1074	0.1212	11.1713	12.6924	3.5626
76	0.0724	-0.0589	0.1056	2.6902	10.1919	3.1925
77	0.0845	-0.1401	0.1125	11.1704	10.3876	3.223
78	0.0809	-0.0897	0.1087	5.0313	9.4949	3.0814
79	0.1055	-0.0098	0.0946	0.0353	8.1435	2.8537
80	0.1137	-0.0512	0.0892	0.8396	7.2305	2.689
81	0.1026	0.0075	0.0801	0.0224	6.4296	2.5357
82	0.0905	-0.0056	0.0726	0.0159	5.7882	2.4059
83	0.1138	0.0398	0.0697	0.5134	5.3087	2.3041
84	0.168	0.1896	0.0796	5.3705	5.3139	2.3052