Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[47])
35	1116	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	1070	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	1314	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	1068	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	1185	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	1215	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	1145	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	1251	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	1363	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	1368	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	1535	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	1853	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	1866	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	2023	1792.7318	1571.0569	2014.4067	0.0209	0.2586	1	0.2586
49	1373	1972.2089	1696.7237	2247.6941	0	0.3589	1	0.7751
50	1968	1758.5937	1430.314	2086.8735	0.1056	0.9893	1	0.2607
51	1424	1864.4041	1492.6029	2236.2052	0.0101	0.2925	0.9998	0.4966
52	1160	1853.3007	1442.1192	2264.4822	5e-04	0.9796	0.9988	0.4759
53	1243	1817.5772	1370.5779	2264.5765	0.0059	0.998	0.9984	0.4159
54	1375	1879.9123	1399.7335	2360.091	0.0197	0.9953	0.9949	0.5226
55	1539	1976.9667	1465.7639	2488.1695	0.0466	0.9895	0.9907	0.6647
56	1773	1966.7969	1426.3464	2507.2473	0.2411	0.9396	0.9851	0.6426
57	1906	2082.6706	1514.4763	2650.8648	0.2711	0.8573	0.9706	0.7726
58	2076	2343.5525	1748.9077	2938.1973	0.1889	0.9254	0.9471	0.9423
59	2004	2314.04	1694.0708	2934.0092	0.1635	0.7741	0.9217	0.9217

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
48	0.0631	0.1284	0	53023.434	0	0
49	0.0713	-0.3038	0.2161	359051.2858	206037.3599	453.9134
50	0.0952	0.1191	0.1838	43850.9795	151975.2331	389.84
51	0.1017	-0.2362	0.1969	193955.7286	162470.357	403.0761
52	0.1132	-0.3741	0.2323	480665.8748	226109.4605	475.5097
53	0.1255	-0.3161	0.2463	330138.9584	243447.7102	493.4042
54	0.1303	-0.2686	0.2495	254936.4068	245088.9526	495.0646
55	0.1319	-0.2215	0.246	191814.8151	238429.6854	488.2926
56	0.1402	-0.0985	0.2296	37557.2225	216110.5228	464.8769
57	0.1392	-0.0848	0.2151	31212.4916	197620.7197	444.5455
58	0.1295	-0.1142	0.2059	71584.3409	186162.8671	431.466
59	0.1367	-0.134	0.2	96124.7989	178659.6947	422.6816