Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[68])
56	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	16	16.6228	-36.7476	69.9931	0.4909	0.5529	0.1953	0.5529
70	17	14.2786	-61.1985	89.7557	0.4718	0.4822	0.3511	0.5132
71	9	15.9835	-76.4567	108.4236	0.4411	0.4914	0.3279	0.5252
72	17	18.9669	-87.7738	125.7076	0.4856	0.5726	0.2782	0.5436
73	25	12.3607	-106.9791	131.7004	0.4178	0.4696	0.4501	0.4958
74	14	14.0655	-116.6646	144.7957	0.4996	0.4349	0.4173	0.5064
75	8	10.869	-130.3357	152.0736	0.4841	0.4827	0.4882	0.4882
76	7	12.7869	-138.1673	163.7411	0.4701	0.5248	0.4524	0.4989
77	10	13.4262	-146.6849	173.5373	0.4833	0.5314	0.4437	0.5021
78	7	10.869	-157.9029	179.6408	0.4821	0.504	0.4901	0.4901
79	10	11.5083	-165.5012	188.5177	0.4933	0.5199	0.4802	0.4934
80	3	10.869	-174.0114	195.7493	0.4668	0.5037	0.491	0.491

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
69	1.6381	-0.0375	0	0.3879	0	0
70	2.6969	0.1906	0.114	7.4059	3.8969	1.974
71	2.9508	-0.4369	0.2217	48.7688	18.8542	4.3421
72	2.8713	-0.1037	0.1922	3.8688	15.1078	3.8869
73	4.9259	1.0225	0.3582	159.7522	44.0367	6.636
74	4.742	-0.0047	0.2993	0.0043	36.698	6.0579
75	6.6283	-0.264	0.2943	8.2309	32.6312	5.7124
76	6.0232	-0.4526	0.314	33.4882	32.7384	5.7217
77	6.0843	-0.2552	0.3075	11.7389	30.4051	5.5141
78	7.9224	-0.356	0.3124	14.9688	28.8615	5.3723
79	7.8475	-0.1311	0.2959	2.2749	26.4445	5.1424
80	8.6785	-0.724	0.3315	61.9205	29.4008	5.4223