Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[44])
32	101.66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	101.65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	101.61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	101.52	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	101.31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	101.19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	101.11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	101.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	101.07	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	100.98	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	100.93	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	100.92	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	101.02	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	101.01	101.0523	100.905	101.1996	0.2867	0.6664	0	0.6664
46	100.97	101.0393	100.8175	101.261	0.2702	0.6021	0	0.5676
47	100.89	100.8999	100.6058	101.1939	0.4738	0.3201	0	0.2116
48	100.62	100.7296	100.3744	101.0848	0.2727	0.188	7e-04	0.0545
49	100.53	100.7959	100.3974	101.1944	0.0955	0.8065	0.0263	0.1351
50	100.48	100.6845	100.2584	101.1106	0.1734	0.7614	0.0252	0.0614
51	100.48	100.7311	100.2852	101.177	0.1348	0.8652	0.0524	0.102
52	100.47	100.7988	100.3329	101.2648	0.0833	0.9101	0.127	0.1761
53	100.52	100.7442	100.2517	101.2366	0.1861	0.8624	0.1739	0.1361
54	100.49	100.6858	100.1594	101.2122	0.233	0.7315	0.1816	0.1067
55	100.47	100.6419	100.0797	101.2041	0.2745	0.7018	0.1661	0.0937
56	100.44	100.8699	100.2781	101.4616	0.0773	0.9073	0.3095	0.3095

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
45	7e-04	-4e-04	0	0.0018	0	0
46	0.0011	-7e-04	6e-04	0.0048	0.0033	0.0574
47	0.0015	-1e-04	4e-04	1e-04	0.0022	0.0472
48	0.0018	-0.0011	6e-04	0.012	0.0047	0.0684
49	0.002	-0.0026	0.001	0.0707	0.0179	0.1337
50	0.0022	-0.002	0.0012	0.0418	0.0219	0.1479
51	0.0023	-0.0025	0.0014	0.063	0.0278	0.1666
52	0.0024	-0.0033	0.0016	0.1081	0.0378	0.1944
53	0.0025	-0.0022	0.0017	0.0502	0.0392	0.1979
54	0.0027	-0.0019	0.0017	0.0383	0.0391	0.1977
55	0.0029	-0.0017	0.0017	0.0295	0.0382	0.1955
56	0.003	-0.0043	0.0019	0.1848	0.0504	0.2246