Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[61])
49	3906.01	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	3795.91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	3703.32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	3675.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	3911.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	3912.28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	3839.25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	3744.63	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	3549.25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	3394.14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	3264.26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	3328.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	3223.98	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	3228.01	2883.6736	2605.2015	3162.1457	0.0077	0.0083	0	0.0083
63	3112.83	2788.7358	2299.4591	3278.0125	0.0971	0.0392	1e-04	0.0406
64	3051.67	2970.2899	2299.1875	3641.3922	0.4061	0.3386	0.0197	0.2294
65	3039.71	2753.3442	1896.0327	3610.6558	0.2563	0.2476	0.0041	0.141
66	3125.67	2396.8809	1342.9884	3450.7735	0.0876	0.1159	0.0024	0.062
67	3106.54	2248.419	992.999	3503.8391	0.0902	0.0854	0.0065	0.0639

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
62	0.0493	0.1194	0	118567.5535	0	0
63	0.0895	0.1162	0.1178	105037.052	111802.3027	334.3685
64	0.1153	0.0274	0.0877	6622.7258	76742.4437	277.0243
65	0.1589	0.104	0.0918	82005.3453	78058.1691	279.3889
66	0.2243	0.3041	0.1342	531133.5269	168673.2407	410.6985
67	0.2849	0.3817	0.1755	736371.5971	263289.6334	513.1176