Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 989236 | 1019020.12362652 | -379171.704933953 | 1338623.58130744 | 29784.1236265174 |
2 | 1008380 | 1026393.68733991 | -350271.440249066 | 1340637.75290915 | 18013.6873399126 |
3 | 1207763 | 1197944.44842319 | -125070.372934058 | 1342651.92451087 | -9818.55157681252 |
4 | 1368839 | 1336622.26741601 | 56142.8131144894 | 1344912.91946951 | -32216.7325839947 |
5 | 1469798 | 1455867.44373968 | 136554.641832175 | 1347173.91442814 | -13930.5562603155 |
6 | 1498721 | 1491369.78432243 | 156508.481299453 | 1349563.73437812 | -7351.21567757009 |
7 | 1761769 | 1767585.73351502 | 403998.712156886 | 1351953.55432809 | 5816.73351502162 |
8 | 1653214 | 1656361.42821317 | 295352.705136697 | 1354713.86665014 | 3147.42821316584 |
9 | 1599104 | 1606693.49021367 | 234040.330814149 | 1357474.17897218 | 7589.4902136689 |
10 | 1421179 | 1401445.07459044 | 78443.9814873058 | 1362468.94392226 | -19733.9254095610 |
11 | 1163995 | 1155589.06787322 | -195062.776745549 | 1367463.70887233 | -8405.93212678027 |
12 | 1037735 | 1014761.94494923 | -311465.334093538 | 1372173.38914431 | -22973.0550507708 |
13 | 1015407 | 1033102.63551766 | -379171.704933953 | 1376883.06941629 | 17695.6355176647 |
14 | 1039210 | 1048653.16042606 | -350271.440249066 | 1380038.27982301 | 9443.16042605694 |
15 | 1258049 | 1257974.88270433 | -125070.372934058 | 1383193.49022973 | -74.1172956710216 |
16 | 1469445 | 1496894.51518813 | 56142.8131144894 | 1385852.67169738 | 27449.5151881319 |
17 | 1552346 | 1579625.50500280 | 136554.641832175 | 1388511.85316503 | 27279.5050027962 |
18 | 1549144 | 1551043.24055472 | 156508.481299453 | 1390736.27814582 | 1899.24055472482 |
19 | 1785895 | 1774830.5847165 | 403998.712156886 | 1392960.70312662 | -11064.4152835007 |
20 | 1662335 | 1633986.73966128 | 295352.705136697 | 1395330.55520202 | -28348.2603387164 |
21 | 1629440 | 1627139.26190843 | 234040.330814149 | 1397700.40727742 | -2300.73809157289 |
22 | 1467430 | 1454665.46715501 | 78443.9814873058 | 1401750.55135768 | -12764.5328449896 |
23 | 1202209 | 1193680.08130760 | -195062.776745549 | 1405800.69543794 | -8528.91869239509 |
24 | 1076982 | 1052403.95712870 | -311465.334093538 | 1413025.37696484 | -24578.0428712976 |
25 | 1039367 | 1037655.64644223 | -379171.704933953 | 1420250.05849173 | -1711.3535577741 |
26 | 1063449 | 1046311.25383751 | -350271.440249066 | 1430858.18641155 | -17137.7461624872 |
27 | 1335135 | 1353874.05860268 | -125070.372934058 | 1441466.31433138 | 18739.0586026793 |
28 | 1491602 | 1472666.59471747 | 56142.8131144894 | 1454394.59216804 | -18935.4052825328 |
29 | 1591972 | 1580066.48816312 | 136554.641832175 | 1467322.87000471 | -11905.5118368834 |
30 | 1641248 | 1644288.61801534 | 156508.481299453 | 1481698.90068521 | 3040.61801534053 |
31 | 1898849 | 1897624.35647741 | 403998.712156886 | 1496074.93136570 | -1224.6435225897 |
32 | 1798580 | 1791459.06519002 | 295352.705136697 | 1510348.22967328 | -7120.93480997602 |
33 | 1762444 | 1766226.14120500 | 234040.330814149 | 1524621.52798085 | 3782.14120499697 |
34 | 1622044 | 1629401.55527239 | 78443.9814873058 | 1536242.46324030 | 7357.55527239153 |
35 | 1368955 | 1385109.37824580 | -195062.776745549 | 1547863.39849975 | 16154.378245797 |
36 | 1262973 | 1282294.20546051 | -311465.334093538 | 1555117.12863303 | 19321.2054605109 |
37 | 1195650 | 1208100.84616765 | -379171.704933953 | 1562370.85876630 | 12450.8461676508 |
38 | 1269530 | 1325126.91088612 | -350271.440249066 | 1564204.52936295 | 55596.9108861187 |
39 | 1479279 | 1517590.17297447 | -125070.372934058 | 1566038.19995959 | 38311.1729744663 |
40 | 1607819 | 1597800.83936688 | 56142.8131144894 | 1561694.34751863 | -10018.1606331184 |
41 | 1712466 | 1731026.86309016 | 136554.641832175 | 1557350.49507767 | 18560.8630901584 |
42 | 1721766 | 1740938.35449029 | 156508.481299453 | 1546085.16421026 | 19172.3544902876 |
43 | 1949843 | 1960867.45450026 | 403998.712156886 | 1534819.83334285 | 11024.4545002629 |
44 | 1821326 | 1828268.97007591 | 295352.705136697 | 1519030.32478739 | 6942.97007591417 |
45 | 1757802 | 1778322.85295392 | 234040.330814149 | 1503240.81623193 | 20520.8529539246 |
46 | 1590367 | 1614117.41899236 | 78443.9814873058 | 1488172.59952034 | 23750.4189923573 |
47 | 1260647 | 1243252.3939368 | -195062.776745549 | 1473104.38280875 | -17394.606063199 |
48 | 1149235 | 1149270.40734269 | -311465.334093538 | 1460664.92675085 | 35.4073426858522 |
49 | 1016367 | 963680.234240996 | -379171.704933953 | 1448225.47069296 | -52686.7657590036 |
50 | 1027885 | 967237.27404457 | -350271.440249066 | 1438804.16620450 | -60647.72595543 |
51 | 1262159 | 1220005.51121802 | -125070.372934058 | 1429382.86171603 | -42153.4887819765 |
52 | 1520854 | 1558357.71485563 | 56142.8131144894 | 1427207.47202988 | 37503.7148556304 |
53 | 1544144 | 1526701.2758241 | 136554.641832175 | 1425032.08234373 | -17442.7241759009 |
54 | 1564709 | 1548874.22740985 | 156508.481299453 | 1424035.29129070 | -15834.7725901506 |
55 | 1821776 | 1816514.78760545 | 403998.712156886 | 1423038.50023767 | -5261.21239455394 |
56 | 1741365 | 1764680.01841877 | 295352.705136697 | 1422697.27644453 | 23315.0184187705 |
57 | 1623386 | 1590375.61653445 | 234040.330814149 | 1422356.05265140 | -33010.3834655457 |
58 | 1498658 | 1496321.01477731 | 78443.9814873058 | 1422551.00373539 | -2336.985222694 |
59 | 1241822 | 1255960.82192617 | -195062.776745549 | 1422745.95481938 | 14138.8219261689 |
60 | 1136029 | 1160197.44818737 | -311465.334093538 | 1423325.88590616 | 24168.4481873733 |