| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 989236 | 989236 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 1008380 | 1007464.82396763 | 18304.4583479359 | 915.176032371456 | 0.205158156588241 |
| 3 | 1207763 | 1190887.15417499 | 164849.202032658 | 16875.8458250149 | 1.68381616733103 |
| 4 | 1368839 | 1371096.55868827 | 178472.562432723 | -2257.55868826592 | 0.14847010537782 |
| 5 | 1469798 | 1475942.25957356 | 113401.039471187 | -6144.2595735563 | -0.712754757498346 |
| 6 | 1498721 | 1503786.81736731 | 37693.4894229754 | -5065.81736731116 | -0.828882468346857 |
| 7 | 1761769 | 1741127.72496455 | 214372.611004934 | 20641.2750354532 | 1.93433688951141 |
| 8 | 1653214 | 1681601.15695943 | -27997.9408651255 | -28387.1569594327 | -2.65354152616664 |
| 9 | 1599104 | 1596784.5114017 | -78275.3155976183 | 2319.48859830071 | -0.550450693824062 |
| 10 | 1421179 | 1427148.81367717 | -159118.311904447 | -5969.81367716915 | -0.885091652012392 |
| 11 | 1163995 | 1169751.58806709 | -246083.610723971 | -5756.5880670883 | -0.952120316062697 |
| 12 | 1037735 | 1025502.96921664 | -155971.649565475 | 12232.0307833575 | 0.98657085251419 |
| 13 | 1015407 | 1006998.77809958 | -34428.92199906 | 8408.22190042487 | 1.33218656308679 |
| 14 | 1039210 | 1050488.39296539 | 34586.3292676019 | -11278.392965389 | 0.763051783989928 |
| 15 | 1258049 | 1233257.84531859 | 160152.958912378 | 24791.1546814107 | 1.38987413167301 |
| 16 | 1469445 | 1459806.03739443 | 216956.595676824 | 9638.96260557271 | 0.622455115941462 |
| 17 | 1552346 | 1555364.24688723 | 113678.637191466 | -3018.24688723112 | -1.12989323953066 |
| 18 | 1549144 | 1596435.21063852 | 51863.3106968983 | -47291.2106385222 | -0.676935426438004 |
| 19 | 1785895 | 1725616.81096116 | 117714.651268571 | 60278.1890388438 | 0.72094603575268 |
| 20 | 1662335 | 1706520.01100887 | 1195.99598397061 | -44185.0110088708 | -1.27568394604374 |
| 21 | 1629440 | 1628079.48332224 | -66624.2140614589 | 1360.51667775942 | -0.742514535171335 |
| 22 | 1467430 | 1465088.59365848 | -148692.705242063 | 2341.40634152317 | -0.898509045970153 |
| 23 | 1202209 | 1221073.46751818 | -229874.489388055 | -18864.4675181832 | -0.888806448412663 |
| 24 | 1076982 | 1064615.55352724 | -167362.50994988 | 12366.4464727641 | 0.684409797630143 |
| 25 | 1039367 | 1020007.1367768 | -62890.7906012321 | 19359.8632231954 | 1.14547865516439 |
| 26 | 1063449 | 1083917.53658343 | 45164.8794267508 | -20468.5365834302 | 1.185080709421 |
| 27 | 1335135 | 1309673.38194462 | 196678.198229775 | 25461.6180553813 | 1.66334635408133 |
| 28 | 1491602 | 1472031.75864276 | 167735.584703412 | 19570.2413572367 | -0.317588360261953 |
| 29 | 1591972 | 1588490.14551138 | 124610.668068207 | 3481.85448862488 | -0.471632508292719 |
| 30 | 1641248 | 1707721.93334476 | 120088.897975009 | -66473.9333447636 | -0.0495148007978715 |
| 31 | 1898849 | 1823942.98877171 | 116835.558845995 | 74906.0112282916 | -0.0356191897324393 |
| 32 | 1798580 | 1848904.65893691 | 39552.8558076856 | -50324.6589369119 | -0.846106047608183 |
| 33 | 1762444 | 1764562.08133564 | -64662.476808368 | -2118.08133564485 | -1.14098031432421 |
| 34 | 1622044 | 1609137.65111193 | -141007.301035442 | 12906.3488880725 | -0.83584892020799 |
| 35 | 1368955 | 1396424.86450519 | -201320.55315407 | -27469.8645051933 | -0.660328170259007 |
| 36 | 1262973 | 1250238.41963702 | -154962.61477317 | 12734.5803629803 | 0.507591915967803 |
| 37 | 1195650 | 1178211.66189516 | -85223.3191993464 | 17438.3381048432 | 0.764564637363084 |
| 38 | 1269530 | 1299013.74935171 | 88010.0568999051 | -29483.7493517064 | 1.89658182688081 |
| 39 | 1479279 | 1446327.56839184 | 137524.818977763 | 32951.4316081645 | 0.542615428927656 |
| 40 | 1607819 | 1581536.34651634 | 135585.953079742 | 26282.6534836635 | -0.0212684448479848 |
| 41 | 1712466 | 1711511.77715323 | 130893.192539172 | 954.222846766093 | -0.0513357024751949 |
| 42 | 1721766 | 1799806.99356781 | 95297.5878839816 | -78040.9935678123 | -0.389706535103795 |
| 43 | 1949843 | 1871248.31946547 | 75353.375776242 | 78594.6805345342 | -0.21837085052715 |
| 44 | 1821326 | 1867719.92146283 | 9396.032132246 | -46393.9214628335 | -0.722108632902278 |
| 45 | 1757802 | 1761259.23649648 | -87478.384271377 | -3457.23649648099 | -1.06061136852694 |
| 46 | 1590367 | 1572182.40923038 | -172429.180155389 | 18184.5907696164 | -0.930079379400444 |
| 47 | 1260647 | 1297721.38495309 | -257731.673197424 | -37074.3849530888 | -0.933906473497344 |
| 48 | 1149235 | 1126798.59856733 | -185181.564775639 | 22436.4014326662 | 0.794472369105847 |
| 49 | 1016367 | 1019680.90166342 | -119917.971686716 | -3313.90166341636 | 0.715242109788243 |
| 50 | 1027885 | 1050169.30788461 | 5746.21322480324 | -22284.3078846106 | 1.37533144544749 |
| 51 | 1262159 | 1213280.5680722 | 136714.030597653 | 48878.4319278 | 1.434508435879 |
| 52 | 1520854 | 1481908.87526815 | 246666.669429353 | 38945.1247318533 | 1.20554623439595 |
| 53 | 1544144 | 1559351.85250321 | 105621.747152111 | -15207.8525032085 | -1.54342577943302 |
| 54 | 1564709 | 1647632.06503192 | 91182.5317806887 | -82923.0650319214 | -0.158059884367885 |
| 55 | 1821776 | 1739555.73745449 | 91799.8088902114 | 82220.2625455126 | 0.00675873584822836 |
| 56 | 1741365 | 1781923.57523916 | 50619.5636596885 | -40558.575239164 | -0.450848752998997 |
| 57 | 1623386 | 1634953.41940773 | -113991.416630682 | -11567.4194077305 | -1.80221286015641 |
| 58 | 1498658 | 1463629.86899661 | -161752.955039778 | 35028.1310033859 | -0.522916605514228 |
| 59 | 1241822 | 1286066.64976003 | -174921.488185682 | -44244.6497600334 | -0.144171435539331 |
| 60 | 1136029 | 1113060.38478289 | -173326.690795354 | 22968.6152171129 | 0.0174653046580764 |
