Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
Popularity[t] = -0.340957140032500 + 0.117850045256176FindingFriends[t] + 0.240882362067202KnowingPeople[t] + 0.372073239661235Liked[t] + 0.610915345027388Celebrity[t] -0.0436536294476873B[t] + 0.171832293382581`2B`[t] + 0.50219147193765`3B`[t] + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | -0.340957140032500 | 1.464149 | -0.2329 | 0.816184 | 0.408092 |
FindingFriends | 0.117850045256176 | 0.096374 | 1.2228 | 0.223335 | 0.111668 |
KnowingPeople | 0.240882362067202 | 0.061604 | 3.9102 | 0.00014 | 7e-05 |
Liked | 0.372073239661235 | 0.096858 | 3.8414 | 0.000181 | 9e-05 |
Celebrity | 0.610915345027388 | 0.156335 | 3.9077 | 0.000141 | 7.1e-05 |
B | -0.0436536294476873 | 0.223131 | -0.1956 | 0.845159 | 0.42258 |
`2B` | 0.171832293382581 | 0.268543 | 0.6399 | 0.523248 | 0.261624 |
`3B` | 0.50219147193765 | 0.3164 | 1.5872 | 0.1146 | 0.0573 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.71619317008086 |
R-squared | 0.512932656870471 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.489895687938669 |
F-TEST (value) | 22.265631315862 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 7 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 148 |
p-value | 0 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 2.09738583856901 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 651.056048662812 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 15 | 13.2594883031844 | 1.74051169681562 |
2 | 12 | 11.6688023556528 | 0.331197644347162 |
3 | 9 | 11.0616188314191 | -2.06161883141909 |
4 | 10 | 11.8533203318800 | -1.85332033187998 |
5 | 13 | 12.9665637616355 | 0.0334362383644692 |
6 | 16 | 14.9954367711845 | 1.00456322881554 |
7 | 14 | 12.7071582956756 | 1.29284170432438 |
8 | 16 | 13.7004754990430 | 2.29952450095704 |
9 | 10 | 10.780099399138 | -0.780099399138003 |
10 | 8 | 10.6958000083271 | -2.69580000832711 |
11 | 12 | 12.1756216380116 | -0.175621638011571 |
12 | 15 | 15.0370501439311 | -0.0370501439310947 |
13 | 14 | 10.8248213283286 | 3.17517867167135 |
14 | 14 | 12.7605463922875 | 1.23945360771248 |
15 | 12 | 13.0142551684585 | -1.01425516845848 |
16 | 12 | 11.1245549415964 | 0.875445058403584 |
17 | 10 | 9.53676931596236 | 0.463230684037638 |
18 | 4 | 6.74363584746519 | -2.74363584746519 |
19 | 14 | 15.2088824373137 | -1.20888243731368 |
20 | 15 | 14.1934109976195 | 0.806589002380489 |
21 | 16 | 13.3201138974041 | 2.67988610259594 |
22 | 12 | 10.6936304507346 | 1.30636954926538 |
23 | 12 | 12.0901246465663 | -0.0901246465662739 |
24 | 12 | 11.2648719913569 | 0.735128008643113 |
25 | 12 | 11.3503689828022 | 0.649631017197816 |
26 | 12 | 12.0982832073493 | -0.0982832073492803 |
27 | 11 | 8.31865301132818 | 2.68134698867182 |
28 | 11 | 12.9332746752975 | -1.93327467529754 |
29 | 11 | 11.9814989958149 | -0.981498995814874 |
30 | 11 | 11.6257428777197 | -0.625742877719652 |
31 | 11 | 11.2842440032755 | -0.284244003275542 |
32 | 11 | 8.46465260739433 | 2.53534739260567 |
33 | 15 | 14.1852524368365 | 0.814747563163496 |
34 | 15 | 14.6690574176720 | 0.330942582328042 |
35 | 9 | 14.4261347989037 | -5.42613479890371 |
36 | 16 | 10.6529890349461 | 5.34701096505393 |
37 | 13 | 9.03070556516912 | 3.96929443483088 |
38 | 9 | 10.2157627727163 | -1.21576277271628 |
39 | 16 | 14.0561018159435 | 1.94389818405648 |
40 | 12 | 12.7286576887965 | -0.728657688796484 |
41 | 15 | 8.85403969284014 | 6.14596030715986 |
42 | 5 | 9.65147734636474 | -4.65147734636474 |
43 | 11 | 11.2691805282920 | -0.269180528291986 |
44 | 17 | 13.0885881970575 | 3.91141180294252 |
45 | 9 | 8.96635877393301 | 0.0336412260669887 |
46 | 13 | 14.5460251008609 | -1.54602510086093 |
47 | 16 | 14.1924749650924 | 1.80752503490760 |
48 | 16 | 13.8018786215385 | 2.19812137846154 |
49 | 14 | 14.343904777629 | -0.343904777628995 |
50 | 16 | 13.5306834623614 | 2.46931653763857 |
51 | 11 | 12.8168497801488 | -1.81684978014879 |
52 | 11 | 11.8687014209189 | -0.868701420918887 |
53 | 11 | 13.7292333448507 | -2.72923334485071 |
54 | 12 | 12.2305758430961 | -0.230575843096066 |
55 | 12 | 13.8192931556826 | -1.81929315568257 |
56 | 12 | 12.0829021183104 | -0.0829021183103742 |
57 | 14 | 13.7055279694031 | 0.294472030596851 |
58 | 10 | 10.9193976374449 | -0.919397637444866 |
59 | 9 | 9.39051061781011 | -0.390510617810114 |
60 | 12 | 12.2715659514931 | -0.271565951493069 |
61 | 10 | 10.0318748724346 | -0.031874872434624 |
62 | 14 | 12.9828808832015 | 1.01711911679846 |
63 | 8 | 9.94996681078992 | -1.94996681078992 |
64 | 16 | 14.5003312147122 | 1.49966878528781 |
65 | 14 | 15.7231004033153 | -1.72310040331527 |
66 | 14 | 10.7545219586362 | 3.24547804136377 |
67 | 12 | 11.2444452435536 | 0.755554756446359 |
68 | 14 | 13.3994925847674 | 0.600507415232604 |
69 | 7 | 11.1327091568048 | -4.13270915680476 |
70 | 19 | 13.9330694991325 | 5.0669305008675 |
71 | 15 | 12.8424296866717 | 2.15757031332825 |
72 | 8 | 11.2639043799735 | -3.26390437997346 |
73 | 10 | 14.2866196349010 | -4.28661963490102 |
74 | 13 | 12.9593412333796 | 0.0406587666203699 |
75 | 13 | 11.2331446679168 | 1.76685533208317 |
76 | 10 | 10.3937492946118 | -0.393749294611803 |
77 | 12 | 9.057044848529 | 2.94295515147099 |
78 | 15 | 17.3038760808146 | -2.30387608081458 |
79 | 7 | 11.0644184649571 | -4.06441846495707 |
80 | 14 | 14.1872926935376 | -0.187292693537553 |
81 | 10 | 8.43389042931651 | 1.56610957068349 |
82 | 6 | 9.70389833189643 | -3.70389833189643 |
83 | 11 | 11.2566306516474 | -0.25663065164738 |
84 | 12 | 9.29588695389516 | 2.70411304610484 |
85 | 14 | 14.1933059636853 | -0.193305963685324 |
86 | 12 | 13.3232559122579 | -1.32325591225786 |
87 | 14 | 14.3031024820927 | -0.30310248209268 |
88 | 11 | 10.0658729421299 | 0.934127057870083 |
89 | 10 | 9.27282579787637 | 0.727174202123635 |
90 | 13 | 13.3323820844243 | -0.332382084424296 |
91 | 8 | 10.2727572345018 | -2.27275723450183 |
92 | 9 | 11.7375105433249 | -2.73751054332485 |
93 | 6 | 12.0912264047190 | -6.09122640471903 |
94 | 12 | 13.1881631426699 | -1.18816314266988 |
95 | 14 | 12.2140929959044 | 1.78590700409559 |
96 | 11 | 10.5188218681239 | 0.481178131876121 |
97 | 8 | 10.6256841059207 | -2.62568410592072 |
98 | 7 | 9.29792721059621 | -2.29792721059621 |
99 | 9 | 10.5302990994509 | -1.53029909945087 |
100 | 14 | 12.1807679851354 | 1.81923201486456 |
101 | 13 | 10.2788755385838 | 2.72112446141622 |
102 | 15 | 12.7071582956756 | 2.29284170432438 |
103 | 5 | 5.35466983018372 | -0.354669830183719 |
104 | 15 | 12.2601466724988 | 2.73985332750122 |
105 | 13 | 12.2680752440308 | 0.731924755969187 |
106 | 12 | 11.6248427696235 | 0.375157230376472 |
107 | 6 | 7.7895202723255 | -1.78952027232549 |
108 | 7 | 9.6679601935564 | -2.66796019355640 |
109 | 13 | 8.5752801243946 | 4.4247198756054 |
110 | 16 | 14.9243464457988 | 1.07565355420121 |
111 | 10 | 13.3334547297419 | -3.33345472974191 |
112 | 16 | 15.1569404458883 | 0.84305955411168 |
113 | 15 | 13.1941052913649 | 1.80589470863513 |
114 | 8 | 8.43074841446271 | -0.430748414462713 |
115 | 11 | 12.6098716110132 | -1.6098716110132 |
116 | 13 | 13.2430819236266 | -0.243081923626609 |
117 | 16 | 15.2363191332517 | 0.763680866748342 |
118 | 11 | 8.71165327354349 | 2.28834672645651 |
119 | 14 | 14.4404116637687 | -0.440411663768671 |
120 | 9 | 10.2414724804339 | -1.24147248043391 |
121 | 8 | 10.2881383235407 | -2.28813832354073 |
122 | 8 | 11.1352322528836 | -3.13523225288359 |
123 | 11 | 11.9044264788345 | -0.904426478834538 |
124 | 12 | 13.3284381838127 | -1.32843818381271 |
125 | 11 | 11.0872496054817 | -0.0872496054816573 |
126 | 14 | 14.6275200122560 | -0.627520012255971 |
127 | 11 | 12.7034912388105 | -1.70349123881052 |
128 | 14 | 12.3289667519324 | 1.67103324806757 |
129 | 13 | 14.7677542830899 | -1.76775428308994 |
130 | 12 | 10.7821396558391 | 1.21786034416095 |
131 | 4 | 5.97909173317461 | -1.97909173317461 |
132 | 15 | 12.9351423947771 | 2.06485760522290 |
133 | 10 | 11.3971355142685 | -1.39713551426854 |
134 | 13 | 13.8895925253750 | -0.889592525374987 |
135 | 15 | 14.2117931431470 | 0.788206856852951 |
136 | 12 | 13.2757008911194 | -1.27570089111944 |
137 | 13 | 13.3201138974041 | -0.320113897404057 |
138 | 8 | 7.92246775127824 | 0.0775322487217605 |
139 | 10 | 10.5697598234316 | -0.569759823431602 |
140 | 15 | 13.6840285762823 | 1.31597142371771 |
141 | 16 | 14.4322531029857 | 1.56774689701434 |
142 | 16 | 14.9160580838211 | 1.08394191617888 |
143 | 14 | 12.9747223224185 | 1.02527767758146 |
144 | 14 | 13.0884875086980 | 0.911512491302045 |
145 | 12 | 10.6663255217093 | 1.33367447829073 |
146 | 15 | 13.1331087495291 | 1.86689125047093 |
147 | 13 | 12.8681685072245 | 0.131831492775490 |
148 | 16 | 13.2022638521479 | 2.79773614785212 |
149 | 14 | 13.5609962594713 | 0.439003740528741 |
150 | 8 | 10.0318748724346 | -2.03187487243462 |
151 | 16 | 13.7328285528538 | 2.26717144714616 |
152 | 16 | 15.9164612026538 | 0.0835387973461524 |
153 | 12 | 13.1889230198100 | -1.18892301981002 |
154 | 11 | 12.2919572751686 | -1.29195727516855 |
155 | 16 | 15.9164612026538 | 0.0835387973461524 |
156 | 9 | 10.0318748724346 | -1.03187487243462 |
Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
p-values | Alternative Hypothesis | ||
breakpoint index | greater | 2-sided | less |
11 | 0.284051307091087 | 0.568102614182174 | 0.715948692908913 |
12 | 0.245727430543219 | 0.491454861086438 | 0.754272569456781 |
13 | 0.293531730457060 | 0.587063460914119 | 0.70646826954294 |
14 | 0.200301873794721 | 0.400603747589441 | 0.79969812620528 |
15 | 0.122471036879390 | 0.244942073758780 | 0.87752896312061 |
16 | 0.100241936937113 | 0.200483873874225 | 0.899758063062887 |
17 | 0.0787920615111758 | 0.157584123022352 | 0.921207938488824 |
18 | 0.122404801195032 | 0.244809602390064 | 0.877595198804968 |
19 | 0.217726660115610 | 0.435453320231219 | 0.78227333988439 |
20 | 0.157705740600970 | 0.315411481201941 | 0.84229425939903 |
21 | 0.180729143909594 | 0.361458287819187 | 0.819270856090406 |
22 | 0.132183218133252 | 0.264366436266503 | 0.867816781866748 |
23 | 0.100398762660240 | 0.200797525320481 | 0.89960123733976 |
24 | 0.0693045915398021 | 0.138609183079604 | 0.930695408460198 |
25 | 0.0524550747861004 | 0.104910149572201 | 0.9475449252139 |
26 | 0.0399844851410997 | 0.0799689702821994 | 0.9600155148589 |
27 | 0.0598272896785518 | 0.119654579357104 | 0.940172710321448 |
28 | 0.117873532987169 | 0.235747065974338 | 0.882126467012831 |
29 | 0.0924615780623827 | 0.184923156124765 | 0.907538421937617 |
30 | 0.0710435295919271 | 0.142087059183854 | 0.928956470408073 |
31 | 0.051160209961623 | 0.102320419923246 | 0.948839790038377 |
32 | 0.0445448488494241 | 0.0890896976988482 | 0.955455151150576 |
33 | 0.0314290206032636 | 0.0628580412065272 | 0.968570979396736 |
34 | 0.0221636447624367 | 0.0443272895248734 | 0.977836355237563 |
35 | 0.182673891948234 | 0.365347783896468 | 0.817326108051766 |
36 | 0.370520364808077 | 0.741040729616153 | 0.629479635191923 |
37 | 0.517377824332025 | 0.96524435133595 | 0.482622175667975 |
38 | 0.463128992742579 | 0.926257985485158 | 0.536871007257421 |
39 | 0.448216663904003 | 0.896433327808006 | 0.551783336095997 |
40 | 0.410821746628199 | 0.821643493256398 | 0.589178253371801 |
41 | 0.67543707611811 | 0.64912584776378 | 0.32456292388189 |
42 | 0.83048369887589 | 0.33903260224822 | 0.16951630112411 |
43 | 0.794627385763124 | 0.410745228473751 | 0.205372614236876 |
44 | 0.83868794382951 | 0.322624112340980 | 0.161312056170490 |
45 | 0.81475541247398 | 0.37048917505204 | 0.18524458752602 |
46 | 0.807766408362064 | 0.384467183275872 | 0.192233591637936 |
47 | 0.782548125491309 | 0.434903749017383 | 0.217451874508691 |
48 | 0.80099088089677 | 0.398018238206462 | 0.199009119103231 |
49 | 0.763095850256352 | 0.473808299487296 | 0.236904149743648 |
50 | 0.780973205457225 | 0.438053589085549 | 0.219026794542775 |
51 | 0.757082851342872 | 0.485834297314255 | 0.242917148657128 |
52 | 0.732128180570304 | 0.535743638859391 | 0.267871819429696 |
53 | 0.840312405860343 | 0.319375188279315 | 0.159687594139657 |
54 | 0.807639069993114 | 0.384721860013771 | 0.192360930006886 |
55 | 0.804379849877538 | 0.391240300244924 | 0.195620150122462 |
56 | 0.7712752540834 | 0.457449491833201 | 0.228724745916601 |
57 | 0.732268950888216 | 0.535462098223569 | 0.267731049111784 |
58 | 0.692192701073237 | 0.615614597853526 | 0.307807298926763 |
59 | 0.661194964219663 | 0.677610071560674 | 0.338805035780337 |
60 | 0.643311342893094 | 0.713377314213813 | 0.356688657106906 |
61 | 0.596418157142436 | 0.807163685715129 | 0.403581842857564 |
62 | 0.556013333143399 | 0.887973333713203 | 0.443986666856601 |
63 | 0.542967889044806 | 0.914064221910389 | 0.457032110955194 |
64 | 0.529285137670853 | 0.941429724658293 | 0.470714862329147 |
65 | 0.532017396777 | 0.935965206446 | 0.467982603223 |
66 | 0.596813315049907 | 0.806373369900186 | 0.403186684950093 |
67 | 0.553289451310487 | 0.893421097379027 | 0.446710548689513 |
68 | 0.511645774274071 | 0.976708451451858 | 0.488354225725929 |
69 | 0.683911400116417 | 0.632177199767166 | 0.316088599883583 |
70 | 0.84808273135509 | 0.303834537289819 | 0.151917268644909 |
71 | 0.84459872611896 | 0.310802547762079 | 0.155401273881040 |
72 | 0.880829260934446 | 0.238341478131109 | 0.119170739065554 |
73 | 0.945459682436079 | 0.109080635127842 | 0.0545403175639212 |
74 | 0.931209910402904 | 0.137580179194192 | 0.0687900895970959 |
75 | 0.923540532707272 | 0.152918934585455 | 0.0764594672927276 |
76 | 0.905011951293937 | 0.189976097412127 | 0.0949880487060633 |
77 | 0.924134938512681 | 0.151730122974638 | 0.0758650614873191 |
78 | 0.931767812511598 | 0.136464374976804 | 0.068232187488402 |
79 | 0.9712456585068 | 0.0575086829863991 | 0.0287543414931995 |
80 | 0.962527467132067 | 0.0749450657358662 | 0.0374725328679331 |
81 | 0.959397438899141 | 0.0812051222017173 | 0.0406025611008586 |
82 | 0.979705144616338 | 0.0405897107673232 | 0.0202948553836616 |
83 | 0.97366612300419 | 0.0526677539916197 | 0.0263338769958098 |
84 | 0.979118139563039 | 0.0417637208739227 | 0.0208818604369614 |
85 | 0.97228802238923 | 0.0554239552215376 | 0.0277119776107688 |
86 | 0.967070853758719 | 0.0658582924825616 | 0.0329291462412808 |
87 | 0.95781481036991 | 0.0843703792601777 | 0.0421851896300888 |
88 | 0.951104066106044 | 0.0977918677879118 | 0.0488959338939559 |
89 | 0.951685559556256 | 0.0966288808874874 | 0.0483144404437437 |
90 | 0.93812715395344 | 0.123745692093122 | 0.0618728460465608 |
91 | 0.941002632309504 | 0.117994735380991 | 0.0589973676904957 |
92 | 0.952735318298962 | 0.0945293634020768 | 0.0472646817010384 |
93 | 0.996895006349853 | 0.00620998730029496 | 0.00310499365014748 |
94 | 0.995881007258283 | 0.00823798548343327 | 0.00411899274171663 |
95 | 0.994941390506184 | 0.0101172189876329 | 0.00505860949381644 |
96 | 0.993079541870508 | 0.0138409162589837 | 0.00692045812949183 |
97 | 0.993987535336127 | 0.0120249293277468 | 0.00601246466387342 |
98 | 0.994844267596645 | 0.0103114648067103 | 0.00515573240335515 |
99 | 0.993127132629945 | 0.0137457347401099 | 0.00687286737005497 |
100 | 0.991694414921074 | 0.0166111701578523 | 0.00830558507892614 |
101 | 0.994473981481246 | 0.0110520370375088 | 0.00552601851875441 |
102 | 0.994406558393622 | 0.0111868832127562 | 0.00559344160637809 |
103 | 0.992218014546987 | 0.0155639709060270 | 0.00778198545301349 |
104 | 0.994019349086544 | 0.0119613018269119 | 0.00598065091345593 |
105 | 0.991441415159986 | 0.0171171696800276 | 0.00855858484001379 |
106 | 0.988497672019068 | 0.0230046559618644 | 0.0115023279809322 |
107 | 0.987400062007217 | 0.0251998759855668 | 0.0125999379927834 |
108 | 0.991634893610155 | 0.0167302127796901 | 0.00836510638984506 |
109 | 0.999074212556893 | 0.00185157488621441 | 0.000925787443107207 |
110 | 0.998673665883945 | 0.00265266823211051 | 0.00132633411605526 |
111 | 0.99967486858687 | 0.000650262826258955 | 0.000325131413129477 |
112 | 0.9994564864295 | 0.00108702714100130 | 0.000543513570500648 |
113 | 0.999343629893177 | 0.00131274021364511 | 0.000656370106822554 |
114 | 0.998975461555967 | 0.0020490768880651 | 0.00102453844403255 |
115 | 0.998627048971347 | 0.00274590205730567 | 0.00137295102865283 |
116 | 0.997757061148465 | 0.00448587770306973 | 0.00224293885153487 |
117 | 0.996427913871057 | 0.00714417225788633 | 0.00357208612894317 |
118 | 0.999233399109725 | 0.00153320178054984 | 0.000766600890274918 |
119 | 0.998789316895924 | 0.0024213662081517 | 0.00121068310407585 |
120 | 0.998092158470971 | 0.00381568305805747 | 0.00190784152902874 |
121 | 0.99799259589696 | 0.00401480820608018 | 0.00200740410304009 |
122 | 0.99797816099537 | 0.00404367800925835 | 0.00202183900462917 |
123 | 0.997082162127155 | 0.00583567574569092 | 0.00291783787284546 |
124 | 0.997711406169992 | 0.0045771876600169 | 0.00228859383000845 |
125 | 0.996134091941121 | 0.00773181611775705 | 0.00386590805887853 |
126 | 0.994426372579375 | 0.0111472548412498 | 0.0055736274206249 |
127 | 0.992194127843947 | 0.0156117443121068 | 0.00780587215605341 |
128 | 0.988491859747252 | 0.0230162805054967 | 0.0115081402527483 |
129 | 0.994688008304049 | 0.0106239833919030 | 0.00531199169595151 |
130 | 0.996552633525974 | 0.00689473294805252 | 0.00344736647402626 |
131 | 0.994617201764243 | 0.0107655964715141 | 0.00538279823575704 |
132 | 0.993957923003745 | 0.0120841539925108 | 0.00604207699625539 |
133 | 0.990806264327314 | 0.0183874713453729 | 0.00919373567268646 |
134 | 0.98402298987255 | 0.0319540202548992 | 0.0159770101274496 |
135 | 0.9721622218108 | 0.0556755563783988 | 0.0278377781891994 |
136 | 0.968542830349594 | 0.0629143393008114 | 0.0314571696504057 |
137 | 0.95735278762381 | 0.0852944247523812 | 0.0426472123761906 |
138 | 0.934835131228441 | 0.130329737543119 | 0.0651648687715593 |
139 | 0.921478877362845 | 0.157042245274311 | 0.0785211226371553 |
140 | 0.871929862311808 | 0.256140275376384 | 0.128070137688192 |
141 | 0.877114855021455 | 0.245770289957089 | 0.122885144978545 |
142 | 0.802854127032057 | 0.394291745935885 | 0.197145872967943 |
143 | 0.735516790175482 | 0.528966419649036 | 0.264483209824518 |
144 | 0.713612848629826 | 0.572774302740348 | 0.286387151370174 |
145 | 0.580909927333318 | 0.838180145333365 | 0.419090072666682 |
Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
Description | # significant tests | % significant tests | OK/NOK |
1% type I error level | 20 | 0.148148148148148 | NOK |
5% type I error level | 45 | 0.333333333333333 | NOK |
10% type I error level | 61 | 0.451851851851852 | NOK |