| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.295879428539368 |
| beta | FALSE |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 2 | 302 | 300 | 2 |
| 3 | 400 | 300.591758857079 | 99.4082411429213 |
| 4 | 392 | 330.00461243855 | 61.99538756145 |
| 5 | 373 | 348.347772282308 | 24.6522277176916 |
| 6 | 379 | 355.641859331641 | 23.3581406683587 |
| 7 | 303 | 362.553052644337 | -59.5530526443375 |
| 8 | 324 | 344.932529460156 | -20.9325294601560 |
| 9 | 353 | 338.739024605602 | 14.2609753943984 |
| 10 | 392 | 342.95855385571 | 49.0414461442898 |
| 11 | 327 | 357.468908915627 | -30.4689089156269 |
| 12 | 376 | 348.453785557453 | 27.5462144425468 |
| 13 | 329 | 356.604143745137 | -27.6041437451368 |
| 14 | 359 | 348.436645468507 | 10.5633545314928 |
| 15 | 413 | 351.562124770744 | 61.437875229256 |
| 16 | 338 | 369.740328184249 | -31.7403281842492 |
| 17 | 422 | 360.349018019442 | 61.6509819805584 |
| 18 | 390 | 378.59027533674 | 11.4097246632600 |
| 19 | 370 | 381.966178149897 | -11.9661781498969 |
| 20 | 367 | 378.425632197105 | -11.4256321971051 |
| 21 | 406 | 375.045022671925 | 30.9549773280754 |
| 22 | 418 | 384.203963674205 | 33.7960363257953 |
| 23 | 346 | 394.203515589177 | -48.2035155891767 |
| 24 | 350 | 379.941086943063 | -29.9410869430626 |
| 25 | 330 | 371.082135248502 | -41.0821352485017 |
| 26 | 318 | 358.926776547998 | -40.926776547998 |
| 27 | 382 | 346.817385291018 | 35.1826147089820 |
| 28 | 337 | 357.227197225632 | -20.2271972256323 |
| 29 | 372 | 351.242385669559 | 20.7576143304408 |
| 30 | 422 | 357.384136735491 | 64.6158632645094 |
| 31 | 428 | 376.502641432772 | 51.4973585672284 |
| 32 | 426 | 391.73965045693 | 34.26034954307 |
| 33 | 396 | 401.876583101293 | -5.87658310129257 |
| 34 | 458 | 400.137823051518 | 57.862176948482 |
| 35 | 315 | 417.258050901079 | -102.258050901079 |
| 36 | 337 | 387.001997236918 | -50.0019972369179 |
| 37 | 386 | 372.207434868632 | 13.7925651313684 |
| 38 | 352 | 376.288371157793 | -24.2883711577929 |
| 39 | 383 | 369.101941779473 | 13.8980582205269 |
| 40 | 439 | 373.214091303569 | 65.7859086964306 |
| 41 | 397 | 392.678788374612 | 4.32121162538766 |
| 42 | 453 | 393.95734600093 | 59.0426539990703 |
| 43 | 363 | 411.426852725622 | -48.4268527256222 |
| 44 | 365 | 397.098343215205 | -32.098343215205 |
| 45 | 474 | 387.60110376763 | 86.3988962323704 |
| 46 | 373 | 413.164759811295 | -40.1647598112955 |
| 47 | 403 | 401.280833630908 | 1.71916636909157 |
| 48 | 384 | 401.789499593759 | -17.7894995937593 |
| 49 | 364 | 396.525952619957 | -32.5259526199565 |
| 50 | 361 | 386.902192346065 | -25.9021923460652 |
| 51 | 419 | 379.238266476795 | 39.7617335232053 |
| 52 | 352 | 391.002945469375 | -39.0029454693753 |
| 53 | 363 | 379.462776252544 | -16.4627762525444 |
| 54 | 410 | 374.59177942277 | 35.4082205772299 |
| 55 | 361 | 385.068343492757 | -24.0683434927568 |
| 56 | 383 | 377.947015774231 | 5.05298422576931 |
| 57 | 342 | 379.44208985937 | -37.4420898593697 |
| 58 | 369 | 368.36374570846 | 0.63625429154024 |
| 59 | 361 | 368.552000264646 | -7.55200026464638 |
| 60 | 317 | 366.317518742014 | -49.3175187420136 |
| 61 | 386 | 351.725479479647 | 34.2745205203529 |
| 62 | 318 | 361.86660502467 | -43.8666050246699 |
| 63 | 407 | 348.887378998008 | 58.1126210019916 |
| 64 | 393 | 366.081708091003 | 26.9182919089974 |
| 65 | 404 | 374.046276918293 | 29.9537230817074 |
| 66 | 498 | 382.908967386335 | 115.091032613665 |
| 67 | 438 | 416.962036346072 | 21.0379636539283 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 68 | 423.186737009628 | 339.072912714504 | 507.300561304752 |
| 69 | 423.186737009628 | 335.468291995314 | 510.905182023942 |
| 70 | 423.186737009628 | 332.006060581411 | 514.367413437845 |
| 71 | 423.186737009628 | 328.670569545615 | 517.702904473641 |
| 72 | 423.186737009628 | 325.44884225911 | 520.924631760146 |
| 73 | 423.186737009628 | 322.329976064010 | 524.043497955246 |
| 74 | 423.186737009628 | 319.304705904054 | 527.068768115202 |
| 75 | 423.186737009628 | 316.365079351653 | 530.008394667603 |
| 76 | 423.186737009628 | 313.504210128745 | 532.869263890511 |
| 77 | 423.186737009628 | 310.716088122224 | 535.657385897032 |
| 78 | 423.186737009628 | 307.995430830160 | 538.378043189096 |
| 79 | 423.186737009628 | 305.337565703632 | 541.035908315624 |
