Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[119])
107	40.454	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
108	38.661	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
109	37.246	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
110	36.843	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
111	36.424	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
112	37.594	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
113	38.144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
114	38.737	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
115	34.56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
116	36.08	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
117	33.508	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
118	35.462	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
119	33.374	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
120	32.11	31.4353	28.2413	34.6294	0.3394	0.1171	0	0.1171
121	35.533	33.0027	28.4856	37.5197	0.1361	0.6507	0.0328	0.436
122	35.532	35.5686	30.0438	41.0935	0.4948	0.505	0.3256	0.7819
123	37.903	37.5169	31.1417	43.8922	0.4528	0.7291	0.6316	0.8986
124	36.763	38.294	31.1691	45.4189	0.3368	0.5428	0.5763	0.912
125	40.399	39.3159	31.5131	47.1187	0.3928	0.7393	0.6158	0.9322
126	44.164	39.9504	31.524	48.3768	0.1635	0.4584	0.6111	0.937
127	44.496	38.6901	29.6832	47.697	0.1032	0.1168	0.8156	0.8763
128	43.11	39.0801	29.5279	48.6323	0.2042	0.1332	0.7309	0.8792
129	43.88	37.1207	27.0527	47.1887	0.0941	0.1218	0.7591	0.7671
130	43.93	35.2953	24.7367	45.8539	0.0545	0.0555	0.4877	0.6393
131	44.327	33.8537	22.8262	44.8812	0.0313	0.0367	0.534	0.534

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
120	0.0518	0.0215	0	0.4552	0	0
121	0.0698	0.0767	0.0491	6.4025	3.4289	1.8517
122	0.0792	-0.001	0.0331	0.0013	2.2864	1.5121
123	0.0867	0.0103	0.0274	0.1491	1.752	1.3236
124	0.0949	-0.04	0.0299	2.3439	1.8704	1.3676
125	0.1013	0.0275	0.0295	1.1731	1.7542	1.3245
126	0.1076	0.1055	0.0404	17.7546	4.04	2.01
127	0.1188	0.1501	0.0541	33.7082	7.7485	2.7836
128	0.1247	0.1031	0.0595	16.2401	8.692	2.9482
129	0.1384	0.1821	0.0718	45.6879	12.3916	3.5202
130	0.1526	0.2446	0.0875	74.5577	18.0431	4.2477
131	0.1662	0.3094	0.106	109.6901	25.6803	5.0676