| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -1.0752 | -0.6836 | -0.2448 | -0.9985 | -0.9344 | -0.3995 | 0.4083 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (1e-04 ) | (0.053 ) | (0 ) | (0.2115 ) | (0.1807 ) | (0.602 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -1.0707 | -0.6723 | -0.2432 | -0.9985 | -0.5432 | -0.2325 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (2e-04 ) | (0.0543 ) | (0 ) | (1e-04 ) | (0.1856 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -1.0644 | -0.6521 | -0.2406 | -1.0014 | -0.4944 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (2e-04 ) | (0.0572 ) | (0 ) | (1e-04 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | -0.9531 | -0.4087 | 0 | -1.0012 | -0.5116 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (7e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 8894295490.3806 |
| -44973145048.6684 |
| -21214849584.1041 |
| 56765583689.761 |
| 11590029933.7116 |
| 1411467105765.23 |
| -1177306284209.73 |
| -856504660558.661 |
| -112025055174.910 |
| 22861358224.5673 |
| 11613759243.6773 |
| -94907234298.303 |
| -71259783161.897 |
| 145153737562.730 |
| 357926841069.945 |
| -661121022187.05 |
| 330090297853.638 |
| -939342274049.378 |
| 912007808814.99 |
| 915210104587.654 |
| 197080449259.668 |
| -134436027831.002 |
| -325785188168.751 |
| -214865216263.208 |
| -216348928846.567 |
| -225292562803.065 |
| -175100220614.238 |
| -282989282225.632 |
| -214680716527.142 |
| -1064972729507.19 |
| 822491448409.67 |
| 839742328754.329 |
| 260701628855.76 |
| -22783722066.2961 |
| -82054196625.3364 |
| 11680020926.3235 |
| 213657315013.987 |
| 131327151491.622 |
| -675247958083.66 |
| 462827160245.044 |
| -2739618860.99548 |
| 88632149728.4212 |
| 481510807739.857 |
| -134486000829.451 |
| -208312032824.877 |
| -217239911424.263 |
| -168611673389.674 |
| 54061207654.8369 |
| -67756541137.3873 |
| -89620041010.1343 |
| 140263948886.250 |
| -116497936462.654 |
| 92432757669.922 |
| -98102874273.115 |
| 382981818669.809 |
| 99858656737.0636 |
| -46429334453.0794 |
| -80836682598.2425 |
| -77652697998.9748 |
