Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[38])
37	-1035.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	61.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	-734.8	94.9959	-1263.9242	1453.916	0.1157	0.5191	0.5191	0.5191
40	-6.9	-127.07	-1670.6118	1416.4718	0.4394	0.7799	0.7799	0.4052
41	-1061.1	-20.6391	-1654.8365	1613.5582	0.106	0.4934	0.4934	0.4606
42	-854.6	46.986	-1742.6807	1836.6527	0.1617	0.8875	0.8875	0.4935
43	-186.5	54.1431	-1883.2418	1991.528	0.4038	0.821	0.821	0.4969
44	244	89.9729	-1984.5128	2164.4587	0.4421	0.603	0.603	0.5106
45	-992.6	131.3876	-2090.9213	2353.6965	0.1608	0.4604	0.4604	0.5245
46	-335.2	164.9161	-2212.1977	2542.0298	0.34	0.8301	0.8301	0.5339
47	316.8	199.7924	-2336.2593	2735.8442	0.464	0.6604	0.6604	0.5425
48	477.6	236.1493	-2464.7989	2937.0975	0.4305	0.4767	0.4767	0.5503
49	-572.1	271.7985	-2599.9423	3143.5393	0.2823	0.4441	0.4441	0.557
50	1115.2	307.3582	-2740.4336	3355.15	0.3017	0.7142	0.7142	0.5627

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
39	7.2985	-8.7351	0	688561.2892	0	0
40	-6.1975	-0.9457	4.8404	14440.8353	351501.0622	592.8753
41	-40.3978	50.4121	20.031	1082558.8575	595186.994	771.4836
42	19.4333	-19.1884	19.8203	812857.3218	649604.5759	805.9805
43	18.2565	-4.4446	16.7452	57909.1098	531265.4827	728.8796
44	11.7637	1.7119	14.2396	23724.3346	446675.2914	668.3377
45	8.6297	-8.5547	13.4275	1263348.0972	563342.835	750.5617
46	7.3541	-3.0325	12.1281	250116.0996	524189.4931	724.0093
47	6.4762	0.5856	10.8456	13690.7736	467467.4132	683.7159
48	5.8354	1.0224	9.8633	58298.4504	426550.5169	653.1084
49	5.3907	-3.1049	9.2489	712164.6619	452515.4392	672.6927
50	5.0592	2.6283	8.6972	652608.3721	469189.8502	684.9743