Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
613953.95137.10670.7960.0410.31880.24080.3188
624949.521632.674966.36830.47580.88950.22550.162
635863.615446.674280.55660.2580.95460.7420.742
644749.108831.970866.24680.40470.15460.45940.1546
654250.689833.502867.87670.16080.6630.48590.2022
666259.268242.027476.50910.37810.97520.7620.5573
673939.176421.932856.420.4920.00470.59770.0162
684028.788711.546546.03080.10130.12290.77994e-04
697254.925837.683272.16850.02610.95510.49660.3634
707062.63745.398679.87530.20120.14350.20120.701
715447.781530.54565.01790.23970.00580.0530.1226
726555.31138.074572.54740.13530.55930.37990.3799


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.1593-0.27710223.531300
620.1736-0.01050.14380.2721111.901710.5784
630.1359-0.08830.125331.53385.11219.2256
640.1781-0.04290.10474.447164.94598.0589
650.173-0.17140.118175.512167.05918.189
660.14840.04610.10617.462657.12647.5582
670.2246-0.00450.09160.031148.96996.9978
680.30560.38940.1288125.693858.56047.6525
690.16020.31090.149291.52784.44569.1894
700.14040.11760.145954.21481.42249.0234
710.1840.13010.144438.669877.53588.8054
720.1590.17520.14793.877778.89768.8824