Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[44])
32	39.66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	39.66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	39.67	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	39.56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	39.64	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	39.73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	39.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	39.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	39.68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	39.76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	39.96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	40.01	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	40.01	40.0083	39.8449	40.1717	0.4918	0.4918	1	0.4918
46	40.01	40.1234	39.8592	40.3877	0.2	0.8	0.9996	0.8
47	40	40.3335	39.9635	40.7035	0.0386	0.9567	1	0.9567
48	39.91	40.4355	39.9687	40.9024	0.0137	0.9663	0.9996	0.963
49	39.86	40.4426	39.9053	40.9799	0.0168	0.974	0.9953	0.9427
50	39.79	40.4538	39.8476	41.0601	0.0159	0.9726	0.9926	0.9243
51	39.79	40.4342	39.7597	41.1087	0.0306	0.9694	0.9836	0.8911
52	39.8	40.4489	39.7213	41.1766	0.0402	0.962	0.9808	0.8814
53	39.64	40.4524	39.6724	41.2325	0.0206	0.9494	0.9591	0.8668
54	39.55	40.5132	39.6788	41.3475	0.0118	0.9799	0.886	0.8814
55	39.36	40.4808	39.6019	41.3597	0.0062	0.981	0.8773	0.8531
56	39.28	40.7386	39.8163	41.661	0.001	0.9983	0.9392	0.9392

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
45	0.0021	0	0	0	0	0
46	0.0034	-0.0028	0.0014	0.0129	0.0064	0.0802
47	0.0047	-0.0083	0.0037	0.1112	0.0414	0.2034
48	0.0059	-0.013	0.006	0.2762	0.1001	0.3163
49	0.0068	-0.0144	0.0077	0.3394	0.1479	0.3846
50	0.0076	-0.0164	0.0092	0.4407	0.1967	0.4435
51	0.0085	-0.0159	0.0101	0.4149	0.2279	0.4774
52	0.0092	-0.016	0.0109	0.4211	0.252	0.502
53	0.0098	-0.0201	0.0119	0.66	0.2974	0.5453
54	0.0105	-0.0238	0.0131	0.9277	0.3604	0.6003
55	0.0111	-0.0277	0.0144	1.2562	0.4418	0.6647
56	0.0116	-0.0358	0.0162	2.1277	0.5823	0.7631