Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[97])
85	55.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
86	58.34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
87	61.92	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
88	67.65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
89	67.68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
90	70.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
91	75.26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
92	71.44	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
93	76.36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
94	81.71	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
95	92.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
96	90.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	92.23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
98	94.09	92.3026	71.8782	122.8515	0.4543	0.5019	0.9853	0.5019
99	102.79	92.3026	64.9284	141.49	0.338	0.4716	0.887	0.5012
100	109.65	92.3026	60.3106	158.5975	0.304	0.3783	0.767	0.5009
101	124.05	92.3026	56.8058	175.4636	0.2272	0.3413	0.7192	0.5007
102	132.69	92.3026	53.9723	192.6087	0.215	0.2675	0.6664	0.5006
103	135.81	92.3026	51.5929	210.3372	0.235	0.2512	0.6114	0.5005
104	116.07	92.3026	49.5432	228.8709	0.3665	0.2662	0.6177	0.5004
105	101.42	92.3026	47.7446	248.3973	0.4544	0.3827	0.5793	0.5004
106	75.73	92.3026	46.144	269.0915	0.4271	0.4597	0.5467	0.5003
107	55.48	92.3026	44.7038	291.1282	0.3583	0.5649	0.4988	0.5003
108	43.8	92.3026	43.3961	314.6896	0.3345	0.6272	0.506	0.5003
109	45.29	92.3026	42.1999	339.971	0.3549	0.6495	0.5002	0.5002

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
98	0.1689	0.0194	0	3.1949	0	0
99	0.2719	0.1136	0.0665	109.986	56.5904	7.5227
100	0.3664	0.1879	0.107	300.933	138.0379	11.749
101	0.4597	0.3439	0.1662	1007.8987	355.5031	18.8548
102	0.5544	0.4376	0.2205	1631.1437	610.6312	24.711
103	0.6524	0.4714	0.2623	1892.8956	824.342	28.7114
104	0.7549	0.2575	0.2616	564.8903	787.2774	28.0585
105	0.8628	0.0988	0.2413	83.1274	699.2587	26.4435
106	0.9772	-0.1795	0.2344	274.6504	652.08	25.5359
107	1.099	-0.3989	0.2509	1355.9024	722.4622	26.8787
108	1.2292	-0.5255	0.2758	2352.5002	870.6475	29.5067
109	1.369	-0.5093	0.2953	2210.1827	982.2754	31.3413