Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[84])
72	2306	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	1507	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
74	1992	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
75	2487	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
76	3490	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
77	4647	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
78	5594	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
79	5611	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
80	5788	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
81	6204	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	3013	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
83	1931	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
84	2549	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	1504	1447.1435	1276.317	1646.1543	0.2878	0	0.2778	0
86	2090	2143.5801	1866.8959	2470.959	0.3742	0.9999	0.8179	0.0076
87	2702	2536.5435	2192.7344	2947.1125	0.2148	0.9835	0.5935	0.4763
88	2939	3297.8555	2793.869	3914.9699	0.1272	0.9708	0.2708	0.9913
89	4500	4774.3987	3988.6212	5753.4504	0.2914	0.9999	0.6007	1
90	6208	5453.3004	4520.9852	6626.1072	0.1036	0.9444	0.4071	1
91	6415	5372.4128	4449.1676	6535.3625	0.0394	0.0795	0.3438	1
92	5657	5950.2691	4907.5151	7270.5213	0.3316	0.2451	0.5952	1
93	5964	5723.5265	4720.8529	6992.9162	0.3552	0.5409	0.2291	1
94	3163	3025.262	2552.5781	3606.9697	0.3213	0	0.5165	0.9457
95	1997	1918.8247	1642.8039	2252.4094	0.323	0	0.4715	1e-04
96	2422	2398.1194	2038.158	2837.1269	0.4575	0.9633	0.2503	0.2503

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
85	0.0702	0.0393	0	3232.6622	0	0
86	0.0779	-0.025	0.0321	2870.8284	3051.7453	55.2426
87	0.0826	0.0652	0.0432	27375.8576	11159.7827	105.6399
88	0.0955	-0.1088	0.0596	128777.286	40564.1585	201.4055
89	0.1046	-0.0575	0.0592	75294.6536	47510.2575	217.9685
90	0.1097	0.1384	0.0724	569571.521	134520.4681	366.7703
91	0.1104	0.1941	0.0898	1086988.1319	270587.2772	520.18
92	0.1132	-0.0493	0.0847	86006.7684	247514.7136	497.5085
93	0.1132	0.042	0.08	57827.4948	226438.356	475.8554
94	0.0981	0.0455	0.0765	18971.7558	205691.696	453.5325
95	0.0887	0.0407	0.0733	6111.3736	187548.0303	433.0682
96	0.0934	0.01	0.068	570.2816	171966.5512	414.6885