| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.7986 | 0.0016 | 0.1687 | -0.7601 | -0.2784 | -0.1051 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.992 ) | (0.1699 ) | (0 ) | (0.0326 ) | (0.3932 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.7995 | 0 | 0.1693 | -0.7602 | -0.278 | -0.1051 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.1119 ) | (0 ) | (0.021 ) | (0.393 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.7938 | 0 | 0.1711 | -0.7591 | -0.2564 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.1045 ) | (0 ) | (0.0267 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.9764 | 0 | 0 | -0.842 | -0.2197 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0564 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0.969 | 0 | 0 | -0.8521 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 9.39095961964454 |
| 139.383809129309 |
| -625.182602062014 |
| 14.7073264160617 |
| 377.177394462004 |
| -84.2691781056998 |
| 82.0561162909004 |
| 136.383610260078 |
| -197.182353117541 |
| -206.785454861182 |
| 40.1002375449907 |
| -73.8807492459648 |
| -82.7342719916951 |
| -144.310477951144 |
| 185.408583232565 |
| -30.5311028472794 |
| -400.752869296455 |
| -528.952892702166 |
| -317.357200786706 |
| 211.980418729759 |
| -44.1892574568898 |
| 296.514103387571 |
| 53.1925559246825 |
| -226.763537260327 |
| 310.301020266150 |
| 93.1183474237112 |
| -94.5855802133843 |
| -242.912048269608 |
| 568.79190099458 |
| -202.601101511397 |
| 464.25409544846 |
| 283.000933617443 |
| -290.120130752053 |
| 417.30254073077 |
| -204.172898416280 |
| 35.8402640745694 |
| 383.718712914044 |
| 110.194345656267 |
| 365.190690903721 |
| 194.565706321075 |
| -184.008590153387 |
| -266.614309242774 |
| 506.433709494422 |
| 49.3948602908575 |
| 471.798235823281 |
| 64.6969904021544 |
| 10.5732098596026 |
| 332.31653464488 |
| 225.051238605976 |
| -207.338705870856 |
| -73.8124285629621 |
| 402.836096726897 |
| 80.1038639777105 |
| 498.637800372026 |
| -90.457687647651 |
| -640.742414349301 |
| 264.332090148654 |
| 20.0534198727158 |
| 204.735469759627 |
| -140.958040044543 |
| -321.193325938753 |
| 125.136793317626 |
| -137.289466356123 |
| 100.237597202951 |
| -165.649150625006 |
| 549.197886207883 |
| 32.196823634471 |
| 53.5494823717829 |
| -58.7481855224563 |
| 318.647391583908 |
| 383.895826820182 |
| 94.6452272629524 |
| -559.292514978221 |
| 97.0965522866622 |
| 66.0968266510471 |
| -271.578438479547 |
| -262.541693133223 |
| 14.4559332199410 |
| -269.221527416975 |
| 438.864434650791 |
| 396.768400239971 |
| -421.305844375614 |
| 13.9242089701828 |
| -13.4231537623992 |
| 273.206996375427 |
