Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[44])
32	39.66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	39.66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	39.67	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	39.56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	39.64	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	39.73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	39.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	39.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	39.68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	39.76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	39.96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	40.01	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	40.01	40.0133	39.7902	40.2364	0.4884	0.5116	0.999	0.5116
46	40.01	40.013	39.6984	40.3276	0.4925	0.5075	0.9837	0.5075
47	40	40.0309	39.6466	40.4152	0.4374	0.5425	0.9918	0.5425
48	39.91	40.0744	39.6318	40.5169	0.2333	0.629	0.9728	0.6122
49	39.86	40.1084	39.6149	40.6018	0.162	0.7846	0.9335	0.652
50	39.79	40.0739	39.5348	40.6131	0.151	0.7816	0.913	0.5919
51	39.79	40.0772	39.4964	40.658	0.1663	0.8337	0.8985	0.5897
52	39.8	40.0604	39.4411	40.6796	0.2049	0.8039	0.8857	0.5633
53	39.64	39.9569	39.3018	40.612	0.1715	0.6806	0.7221	0.4369
54	39.55	39.9943	39.3057	40.683	0.103	0.8434	0.4936	0.4822
55	39.36	39.9644	39.2441	40.6848	0.05	0.8703	0.5048	0.4507
56	39.28	39.9305	39.1801	40.681	0.0446	0.9319	0.4178	0.4178

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
45	0.0028	-1e-04	0	0	0	0
46	0.004	-1e-04	1e-04	0	0	0.0032
47	0.0049	-8e-04	3e-04	0.001	3e-04	0.018
48	0.0056	-0.0041	0.0013	0.027	0.007	0.0837
49	0.0063	-0.0062	0.0022	0.0617	0.0179	0.1339
50	0.0069	-0.0071	0.0031	0.0806	0.0284	0.1685
51	0.0074	-0.0072	0.0036	0.0825	0.0361	0.19
52	0.0079	-0.0065	0.004	0.0678	0.0401	0.2002
53	0.0084	-0.0079	0.0044	0.1004	0.0468	0.2163
54	0.0088	-0.0111	0.0051	0.1974	0.0618	0.2487
55	0.0092	-0.0151	0.006	0.3653	0.0894	0.299
56	0.0096	-0.0163	0.0069	0.4232	0.1172	0.3424