Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[132])
120337-------
121360-------
122342-------
123406-------
124396-------
125420-------
126472-------
127548-------
128559-------
129463-------
130407-------
131362-------
132405-------
133417422.7993402.1171443.48140.29130.954210.9542
134391401.1894372.5241429.85460.2430.139810.3972
135419459.6303425.2136494.0470.010310.99890.9991
136461446.3732407.4033485.3430.2310.91570.99440.9813
137472467.7424.9637510.43620.42180.62070.98570.998
138535520.1982474.2656566.13080.26380.98010.98011
139622592.8268544.1357641.51790.12010.990.96441
140606603.0867551.9866654.18670.45550.23410.95461
141508501.7301448.5079554.95230.40871e-040.92310.9998
142461446.0597390.9552501.16420.29760.01380.91760.9279
143390398.3144341.5316455.09720.38710.01520.8950.4087
144432437.4984379.2126495.78420.42670.94490.86280.8628


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
1330.025-0.0137033.631300
1340.0365-0.02540.0196103.823568.72748.2902
1350.0382-0.08840.04251650.8211596.09224.415
1360.04450.03280.0401213.9442500.55522.3731
1370.04660.00920.033918.4901404.14220.1033
1380.04510.02850.033219.0926373.300519.321
1390.04190.04920.0353851.0747441.553921.0132
1400.04320.00480.03158.4874387.420619.683
1410.05410.01250.029439.3116348.741818.6746
1420.0630.03350.0298223.2116336.188818.3355
1430.0727-0.02090.02969.1295311.910717.661
1440.068-0.01260.027630.2325288.437516.9834