Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 611 | 0 | 62 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 130 | 130.455583135465 | -1.71859579449626 | 131.263012659031 | 0.455583135465417 |
2 | 127 | 127.207931983921 | -4.75282134024763 | 131.544889356327 | 0.207931983921014 |
3 | 122 | 121.481308751741 | -9.30807480536325 | 131.826766053622 | -0.51869124825916 |
4 | 117 | 113.791359410134 | -11.8255274359753 | 132.034168025841 | -3.20864058986558 |
5 | 112 | 109.701410192947 | -17.9429801910065 | 132.241569998059 | -2.29858980705282 |
6 | 113 | 110.022332580982 | -16.3666045412696 | 132.344271960288 | -2.97766741901796 |
7 | 149 | 150.543254346921 | 15.0097717305631 | 132.446973922516 | 1.543254346921 |
8 | 157 | 160.450559462023 | 21.0642682709185 | 132.485172267059 | 3.45055946202285 |
9 | 157 | 162.75786532364 | 18.7187640647589 | 132.523370611601 | 5.75786532363963 |
10 | 147 | 153.435381463382 | 8.16734138096977 | 132.397277155649 | 6.43538146338162 |
11 | 137 | 141.512897851962 | 0.215918448342066 | 132.271183699696 | 4.51289785196212 |
12 | 132 | 133.472817989754 | -1.26146526594889 | 131.788647276195 | 1.47281798975408 |
13 | 125 | 120.412484941802 | -1.71859579449626 | 131.306110852694 | -4.58751505819757 |
14 | 123 | 120.14143108144 | -4.75282134024763 | 130.611390258808 | -2.85856891856014 |
15 | 117 | 113.391405140442 | -9.30807480536325 | 129.916669664922 | -3.60859485955848 |
16 | 114 | 110.728877819492 | -11.8255274359753 | 129.096649616483 | -3.27112218050787 |
17 | 111 | 111.666350622962 | -17.9429801910065 | 128.276629568045 | 0.666350622961858 |
18 | 112 | 112.939281019387 | -16.3666045412696 | 127.427323521882 | 0.939281019387408 |
19 | 144 | 146.412210793717 | 15.0097717305631 | 126.57801747572 | 2.41221079371708 |
20 | 150 | 153.315481603023 | 21.0642682709185 | 125.620250126059 | 3.31548160302272 |
21 | 149 | 154.618753158843 | 18.7187640647589 | 124.662482776398 | 5.61875315884329 |
22 | 134 | 136.429443226627 | 8.16734138096977 | 123.403215392403 | 2.42944322662744 |
23 | 123 | 123.64013354325 | 0.215918448342066 | 122.143948008408 | 0.640133543250172 |
24 | 116 | 112.723898752784 | -1.26146526594889 | 120.537566513165 | -3.27610124721592 |
25 | 117 | 116.787410776574 | -1.71859579449626 | 118.931185017922 | -0.212589223425596 |
26 | 111 | 109.572911562269 | -4.75282134024763 | 117.179909777979 | -1.42708843773119 |
27 | 105 | 103.879440267327 | -9.30807480536325 | 115.428634538036 | -1.12055973267253 |
28 | 102 | 101.954502622735 | -11.8255274359753 | 113.87102481324 | -0.0454973772647662 |
29 | 95 | 95.6295651025621 | -17.9429801910065 | 112.313415088444 | 0.62956510256214 |
30 | 93 | 91.2140185736409 | -16.3666045412696 | 111.152585967629 | -1.78598142635911 |
31 | 124 | 122.998471422624 | 15.0097717305631 | 109.991756846813 | -1.00152857737621 |
32 | 130 | 129.84088108212 | 21.0642682709185 | 109.094850646962 | -0.15911891788015 |
33 | 124 | 121.083291488131 | 18.7187640647589 | 108.19794444711 | -2.91670851186916 |
34 | 115 | 114.379862019061 | 8.16734138096977 | 107.452796599969 | -0.620137980938708 |
35 | 106 | 105.07643279883 | 0.215918448342066 | 106.707648752828 | -0.92356720116966 |
36 | 105 | 105.202627667826 | -1.26146526594889 | 106.058837598123 | 0.202627667825681 |
37 | 105 | 106.308569351077 | -1.71859579449626 | 105.410026443419 | 1.30856935107744 |
38 | 101 | 101.969147799563 | -4.75282134024763 | 104.783673540685 | 0.969147799562904 |
39 | 95 | 95.1507541674126 | -9.30807480536325 | 104.157320637951 | 0.1507541674126 |
40 | 93 | 94.1342902180115 | -11.8255274359753 | 103.691237217964 | 1.13429021801149 |
41 | 84 | 82.7178263930295 | -17.9429801910065 | 103.225153797977 | -1.2821736069705 |
42 | 87 | 87.1658375068187 | -16.3666045412696 | 103.200767034451 | 0.165837506818733 |
43 | 116 | 113.813847998512 | 15.0097717305631 | 103.176380270925 | -2.18615200148788 |
44 | 120 | 115.138996245575 | 21.0642682709185 | 103.796735483507 | -4.86100375442511 |
45 | 117 | 110.864145239153 | 18.7187640647589 | 104.417090696088 | -6.1358547608474 |
46 | 109 | 104.210827332585 | 8.16734138096977 | 105.621831286446 | -4.7891726674154 |
47 | 105 | 102.957509674855 | 0.215918448342066 | 106.826571876803 | -2.04249032514484 |
48 | 107 | 106.912988559839 | -1.26146526594889 | 108.34847670611 | -0.087011440160694 |
49 | 109 | 109.84821425908 | -1.71859579449626 | 109.870381535416 | 0.848214259079867 |
50 | 109 | 111.372368466614 | -4.75282134024763 | 111.380452873634 | 2.37236846661385 |
51 | 108 | 112.417550593512 | -9.30807480536325 | 112.890524211851 | 4.41755059351206 |
52 | 107 | 111.885128465311 | -11.8255274359753 | 113.940398970664 | 4.88512846531108 |
53 | 99 | 100.952706461529 | -17.9429801910065 | 114.990273729477 | 1.95270646152923 |
54 | 103 | 106.516949982605 | -16.3666045412696 | 115.849654558664 | 3.51694998260525 |
55 | 131 | 130.281192881585 | 15.0097717305631 | 116.709035387851 | -0.71880711841456 |
56 | 137 | 135.420297891307 | 21.0642682709185 | 117.515433837775 | -1.57970210869345 |
57 | 135 | 132.959403647543 | 18.7187640647589 | 118.321832287698 | -2.0405963524574 |
58 | 124 | 120.782104076183 | 8.16734138096977 | 119.050554542848 | -3.21789592381735 |
59 | 118 | 116.004804753661 | 0.215918448342066 | 119.779276797997 | -1.99519524633874 |
60 | 121 | 122.797409171399 | -1.26146526594889 | 120.464056094549 | 1.79740917139945 |
61 | 121 | 122.569760403394 | -1.71859579449626 | 121.148835391102 | 1.56976040339406 |