| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.9818 | -0.244 | 0.1833 | -0.7517 | -0.3675 | -0.1264 | 0.3495 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0782 ) | (0.0886 ) | (0 ) | (0.5645 ) | (0.359 ) | (0.5784 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.9711 | -0.241 | 0.1863 | -0.7441 | -0.0201 | -0.1111 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0812 ) | (0.0844 ) | (0 ) | (0.8672 ) | (0.4199 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.9716 | -0.2412 | 0.1852 | -0.7458 | 0 | -0.1122 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0811 ) | (0.0851 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.415 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.9733 | -0.2361 | 0.1811 | -0.7437 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0882 ) | (0.0941 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | -0.557 | 0.1671 | 0 | 0.8843 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (4e-04 ) | (0.1479 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | -0.4521 | 0 | 0 | 0.7293 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.1514 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0052 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3034 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0028 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 3.03028833849435 |
| -216.600133623590 |
| 12.1887671074146 |
| 89.0269219288254 |
| -31.2417210535998 |
| 47.4931283037929 |
| 96.095156896652 |
| 112.511537960985 |
| -133.013735140608 |
| 60.0581848410245 |
| 26.7565927410412 |
| -87.5181319799948 |
| -6.29431625088024 |
| 1.22340105839952 |
| -159.440570126092 |
| 58.6564610902413 |
| -89.773674299403 |
| 91.4309586838258 |
| 25.8875185603329 |
| -9.73946292707545 |
| -291.233115233575 |
| 119.336266541885 |
| -52.0408251748705 |
| 24.8823074952532 |
| 53.9537502095724 |
| 23.2241365262458 |
| -15.5309300348547 |
| 82.7246304027614 |
| -38.2439985117063 |
| -221.805717252218 |
| -198.908827059517 |
| -58.11749441816 |
| -147.454151694735 |
| -85.2028012754715 |
| 106.995820302892 |
| -78.772783323145 |
| -12.1911146374120 |
| -193.971045175054 |
| -70.9702909354827 |
| 190.866700715401 |
| 27.3967802739874 |
| 64.0727220701659 |
| -14.5383818257861 |
| 106.901654755185 |
| -4.38906928749265 |
| 45.0984036906546 |
| 33.1764901736463 |
| 22.231120387308 |
| 147.524627769017 |
| 51.7118281167394 |
| -28.7237016615745 |
| 70.8284122614036 |
| -87.8560285732837 |
| 81.613987958633 |
| -44.8346498341839 |
| 79.5175191254357 |
| 112.316487458716 |
| 96.0226511714281 |
| 72.7141328829457 |
| 60.9600474629728 |
| 48.5773500271653 |
| 90.611749564699 |
| 4.1892631312362 |
| 21.6255656695243 |
| -67.9039099295764 |
| 59.3298066543175 |
| 37.4079454353086 |
| 97.2921729955656 |
| -7.94642254892415 |
| 33.0786063107253 |
| 52.8232238839814 |
| 122.699265916495 |
| 142.225319459058 |
| 120.448954956233 |
| 83.0715678271285 |
| -35.6125485477892 |
| -78.6267598724303 |
| -216.295009630473 |
| 184.833942389594 |
| 85.3032105696525 |
| 118.246672684025 |
| 130.929068226327 |
| 41.8800809667182 |
| 88.2766997283561 |
| 129.841077347885 |
| 33.2118544439418 |
| -143.331778876415 |
| 272.973947353217 |
| 12.5249715674954 |
| -36.9163750206053 |
| -65.7946767986168 |
| -338.80898903447 |
| 178.17514120769 |
| 51.2782125364492 |
| -304.728284015758 |
| 84.5341534242361 |
| -328.641393358524 |
| -6.88015309353886 |
| -97.3960132960183 |
| 233.19325550683 |
| -143.799888569450 |
| -217.386319167671 |
| -447.352971256093 |
| 127.413532218176 |
| -171.088439707962 |
| -678.031389339213 |
| -34.4945139636275 |
| -209.357265337176 |
| 126.721523208693 |
