Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[72])
60	9334	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	11431	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	13085	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	16394	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	15701	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	14936	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	18282	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	12824	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	14784	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	16061	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
70	14814	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
71	14375	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
72	13644	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	16397	15414.7625	12900.3909	17929.1341	0.2219	0.9163	0.999	0.9163
74	19254	16851.0826	14125.1937	19576.9714	0.042	0.628	0.9966	0.9894
75	21943	19819.7792	16897.6438	22741.9146	0.0772	0.6478	0.9892	1
76	16731	18805.2545	15699.2473	21911.2617	0.0953	0.0239	0.9749	0.9994
77	22065	18074.2374	14794.6511	21353.8237	0.0085	0.7889	0.9696	0.9959
78	20937	21420.2268	17975.7977	24864.6558	0.3917	0.3568	0.9629	1
79	18242	16215.8681	12614.1328	19817.6034	0.1351	0.0051	0.9675	0.9192
80	19017	17894.7326	14142.2797	21647.1854	0.2789	0.428	0.9479	0.9868
81	20372	19221.6882	15324.342	23119.0345	0.2815	0.541	0.944	0.9975
82	20561	18008.2334	13971.1907	22045.276	0.1076	0.1256	0.9395	0.9829
83	18267	17426.167	13254.1029	21598.2311	0.3464	0.0704	0.9241	0.9622
84	16170	16575.0049	12272.1542	20877.8556	0.4268	0.2204	0.9091	0.9091

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
73	0.0832	0.0637	0	964790.5474	0	0
74	0.0825	0.1426	0.1032	5774012.1742	3369401.3608	1835.5929
75	0.0752	0.1071	0.1045	4508066.7084	3748956.4767	1936.2222
76	0.0843	-0.1103	0.1059	4302531.7017	3887350.2829	1971.6364
77	0.0926	0.2208	0.1289	15926185.7969	6295117.3857	2509.0073
78	0.082	-0.0226	0.1112	233508.0997	5284849.1714	2298.88
79	0.1133	0.1249	0.1132	4105210.5318	5116329.3657	2261.9305
80	0.107	0.0627	0.1068	1259484.1985	4634223.7198	2152.7247
81	0.1034	0.0598	0.1016	1323217.1278	4266334.0985	2065.5106
82	0.1144	0.1418	0.1056	6516617.5411	4491362.4428	2119.2835
83	0.1221	0.0483	0.1004	707000.1269	4147329.505	2036.4993
84	0.1324	-0.0244	0.0941	164028.9782	3815387.7944	1953.3018