Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
613953.052535.825670.27940.05490.28670.21460.2867
624952.400935.171769.630.34940.93630.34110.2621
635865.799748.570583.02880.18750.9720.81250.8125
644750.833.570868.02910.33280.20640.53630.2064
654251.199733.970668.42890.14760.68360.50910.2196
666259.199941.970776.4290.3750.97480.75970.5543
673938.799721.570556.02880.49090.00420.58110.0145
684028.399811.170645.62890.09350.11390.76674e-04
697254.799837.570672.02890.02520.95390.49090.3579
707062.600145.37179.82930.19990.14250.19990.6996
715448.399931.170865.62910.2620.0070.06090.1374
726555.37738.147972.60610.13680.56220.38270.3827


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.1657-0.26490197.472800
620.1678-0.06490.164911.566104.519410.2235
630.1336-0.11850.149460.834789.95789.4846
640.173-0.07480.130814.439771.07838.4308
650.1717-0.17970.140684.635273.78978.5901
660.14850.04730.1257.840662.79827.9245
670.22660.00520.10790.040153.83277.3371
680.30950.40850.1455134.565163.92437.9953
690.16040.31390.1642295.847189.69359.4707
700.14040.11820.159654.758386.29.2844
710.18160.11570.155631.360781.21469.0119
720.15870.17380.157192.601582.16359.0644