| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -1.0256 | -0.6136 | -0.1521 | -0.9983 | -0.7658 | -0.4072 | 0.2762 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (8e-04 ) | (0.2388 ) | (0 ) | (0.1818 ) | (0.0904 ) | (0.6575 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -1.0179 | -0.5967 | -0.1499 | -0.9983 | -0.5142 | -0.3083 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (8e-04 ) | (0.2452 ) | (0 ) | (2e-04 ) | (0.073 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.9402 | -0.4461 | 0 | -1.0016 | -0.5369 | -0.3152 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (2e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (1e-04 ) | (0.0658 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | -0.9742 | -0.4468 | 0 | -1.0014 | -0.4618 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (2e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (3e-04 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 5541.25053391881 |
| -26717.2639073042 |
| -11096.8972822579 |
| 14084.4688164696 |
| 13010.9110524418 |
| 223945.426237646 |
| -251634.418599866 |
| -119098.341255936 |
| 50755.3801322146 |
| 85286.7637654692 |
| -118295.378911506 |
| -27949.6101684396 |
| -8831.62525509086 |
| 81876.8038471678 |
| 111213.459878404 |
| -209439.288929269 |
| 102709.389419538 |
| -142057.290388847 |
| 224215.142974108 |
| 159977.048331867 |
| 50329.5961399323 |
| -88286.4116778242 |
| -2243.52215230646 |
| -45436.8207787504 |
| -95396.01691082 |
| -110290.877447003 |
| -51662.9215930587 |
| -76675.050620008 |
| -36681.3184120669 |
| -46055.5977767929 |
| 161247.529572891 |
| 127419.994450782 |
| 12952.7422487329 |
| -67934.4809511432 |
| -4593.50779005791 |
| -22020.9624316145 |
| 92522.278322969 |
| 69956.3168927649 |
| -198425.823082135 |
| 73598.8643097694 |
| 30371.3982604738 |
| -61250.697395747 |
| 147406.254372081 |
| 69233.4031796611 |
| -42776.029506126 |
| -77570.6735634461 |
| -16129.2448749785 |
| 23547.7296420567 |
| -59135.8642473272 |
| -75223.810658258 |
| 18080.0981412048 |
| 5755.79423679563 |
| 4421.24064596994 |
| -9909.98717964508 |
| 105634.784041861 |
| 4954.19596367284 |
| -15609.1071640677 |
| -37191.8792446401 |
| -11.6998614138248 |
