Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[72])
60	12.738	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	31.566	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	30.111	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	30.019	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	31.934	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	25.826	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	26.835	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	20.205	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	17.789	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	20.52	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
70	22.518	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
71	15.572	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
72	11.509	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	25.447	30.0926	25.9965	34.1888	0.0131	1	0.2404	1
74	24.09	27.7424	23.6023	31.8826	0.0419	0.8614	0.1311	1
75	27.786	31.3642	27.0632	35.6651	0.0515	0.9995	0.7301	1
76	26.195	28.0546	23.7369	32.3722	0.1993	0.5485	0.0391	1
77	20.516	24.3841	20.0452	28.7229	0.0403	0.2067	0.2574	1
78	22.759	25.4294	21.0853	29.7735	0.1141	0.9867	0.263	1
79	19.028	19.7318	15.3829	24.0806	0.3756	0.0862	0.4156	0.9999
80	16.971	18.2069	13.8559	22.5579	0.2889	0.3557	0.5747	0.9987
81	20.036	20.2193	15.8655	24.573	0.4671	0.9282	0.4462	1
82	22.485	23.2207	18.865	27.5764	0.3703	0.9241	0.6241	1
83	18.73	18.3688	14.0077	22.7299	0.4355	0.0322	0.8956	0.999
84	14.538	12.5327	8.1687	16.8967	0.1839	0.0027	0.6772	0.6772

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
73	0.0694	-0.1544	0	21.5817	0	0
74	0.0761	-0.1317	0.143	13.3403	17.461	4.1786
75	0.07	-0.1141	0.1334	12.8032	15.9084	3.9885
76	0.0785	-0.0663	0.1166	3.4579	12.7958	3.5771
77	0.0908	-0.1586	0.125	14.9619	13.229	3.6372
78	0.0872	-0.105	0.1217	7.1311	12.2127	3.4947
79	0.1124	-0.0357	0.1094	0.4953	10.5388	3.2463
80	0.1219	-0.0679	0.1042	1.5274	9.4123	3.068
81	0.1099	-0.0091	0.0936	0.0336	8.3703	2.8931
82	0.0957	-0.0317	0.0874	0.5413	7.5874	2.7545
83	0.1211	0.0197	0.0813	0.1305	6.9095	2.6286
84	0.1777	0.16	0.0878	4.0211	6.6688	2.5824