Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 89.3 | NA | NA | 0.970572002616154 | NA |
2 | 88.1 | NA | NA | 0.934106720975305 | NA |
3 | 93.6 | NA | NA | 0.984777066169892 | NA |
4 | 79.7 | NA | NA | 0.937098356954485 | NA |
5 | 83.8 | NA | NA | 0.952258735620644 | NA |
6 | 62.3 | NA | NA | 0.914458967391912 | NA |
7 | 62.3 | 67.6659251318622 | 81.2875 | 0.832427189074116 | 0.920699744791703 |
8 | 77.6 | 82.4240294466349 | 80.2125 | 1.02757088292517 | 0.941473020925794 |
9 | 80.3 | 88.4910827167168 | 79.0041666666667 | 1.12008121154011 | 0.907436066265133 |
10 | 97 | 87.7357070325585 | 78.4541666666667 | 1.11830525719975 | 1.10559318754910 |
11 | 94 | 93.1525231907188 | 78.325 | 1.18930766920803 | 1.00909773326855 |
12 | 75.1 | 79.4975412945603 | 78.0125 | 1.01903594032444 | 0.944683304377097 |
13 | 74 | 75.8502020044525 | 78.15 | 0.970572002616154 | 0.975607157851157 |
14 | 77.6 | 73.0704982482932 | 78.225 | 0.934106720975305 | 1.06198810546379 |
15 | 75.1 | 77.1039410433268 | 78.2958333333333 | 0.984777066169892 | 0.974009875290282 |
16 | 85 | 73.4841294911809 | 78.4166666666667 | 0.937098356954485 | 1.15671234848337 |
17 | 75.4 | 74.8951495565636 | 78.65 | 0.952258735620644 | 1.00674076287217 |
18 | 63.2 | 72.1203305616421 | 78.8666666666667 | 0.914458967391912 | 0.876313232452286 |
19 | 64.7 | 65.5744518193135 | 78.775 | 0.832427189074116 | 0.986664748311995 |
20 | 77 | 80.8098868513733 | 78.6416666666667 | 1.02757088292517 | 0.952853703923871 |
21 | 82.6 | 88.4584136813802 | 78.975 | 1.12008121154011 | 0.933772114629122 |
22 | 97.6 | 88.4812438706917 | 79.1208333333333 | 1.11830525719975 | 1.10305863401553 |
23 | 99 | 93.940439521569 | 78.9875 | 1.18930766920803 | 1.05385923787667 |
24 | 75.3 | 81.0006193065389 | 79.4875 | 1.01903594032444 | 0.929622521959178 |
25 | 71.6 | 77.5850994591288 | 79.9375 | 0.970572002616154 | 0.922857616979898 |
26 | 76.8 | 75.0243381396666 | 80.3166666666666 | 0.934106720975305 | 1.02366781106456 |
27 | 83.9 | 80.0746851929393 | 81.3125 | 0.984777066169892 | 1.04777183697749 |
28 | 79.7 | 76.8264469643186 | 81.9833333333333 | 0.937098356954485 | 1.03740317493813 |
29 | 77.5 | 78.1487002366008 | 82.0666666666667 | 0.952258735620644 | 0.991699155140945 |
30 | 73.1 | 75.4428648098327 | 82.5 | 0.914458967391912 | 0.968945177045724 |
31 | 65.6 | 69.1573571789533 | 83.0791666666667 | 0.832427189074116 | 0.948561406565201 |
32 | 85.2 | 85.8278579963245 | 83.525 | 1.02757088292517 | 0.992684682910863 |
33 | 98.3 | 94.3575080621581 | 84.2416666666667 | 1.12008121154011 | 1.04178249318798 |
34 | 98 | 94.7577321267252 | 84.7333333333333 | 1.11830525719975 | 1.03421639374968 |
35 | 100.6 | 101.026731050600 | 84.9458333333333 | 1.18930766920803 | 0.995776058017887 |
36 | 84.1 | 87.216738542518 | 85.5875 | 1.01903594032444 | 0.96426444516727 |
37 | 76.7 | 83.7967602758722 | 86.3375 | 0.970572002616154 | 0.915309849062081 |
38 | 82.4 | 81.1699819414166 | 86.8958333333333 | 0.934106720975305 | 1.01515360764120 |
39 | 95.5 | 86.6480721096234 | 87.9875 | 0.984777066169892 | 1.10215954809909 |
40 | 79.9 | 83.436894957335 | 89.0375 | 0.937098356954485 | 0.957609940313053 |
41 | 82.4 | 85.4255440746353 | 89.7083333333333 | 0.952258735620644 | 0.964582677144065 |
42 | 83.6 | 82.8347414629173 | 90.5833333333333 | 0.914458967391912 | 1.00923837659861 |
43 | 73.1 | 76.2607358590525 | 91.6125 | 0.832427189074116 | 0.95855356202051 |
44 | 91.1 | 95.1873161216346 | 92.6333333333333 | 1.02757088292517 | 0.957060286095138 |
45 | 118.6 | 103.999540491499 | 92.85 | 1.12008121154011 | 1.14038965402635 |
46 | 102.9 | 104.449711022456 | 93.4 | 1.11830525719975 | 0.985163089420868 |
47 | 111.8 | 112.563015441918 | 94.6458333333333 | 1.18930766920803 | 0.993221437441751 |
48 | 93.9 | 97.5259854721336 | 95.7041666666667 | 1.01903594032444 | 0.962820314456914 |
49 | 91.6 | 93.6440220524153 | 96.4833333333333 | 0.970572002616154 | 0.978172423528848 |
50 | 92 | 90.8263101694989 | 97.2333333333333 | 0.934106720975305 | 1.01292235507873 |
51 | 91.1 | 96.065002804873 | 97.55 | 0.984777066169892 | 0.948316216521038 |
52 | 97.5 | 91.351471497113 | 97.4833333333333 | 0.937098356954485 | 1.06730628858104 |
53 | 94.7 | 93.2935818777008 | 97.9708333333333 | 0.952258735620644 | 1.01507518624532 |
54 | 96.7 | 90.6876578453954 | 99.1708333333333 | 0.914458967391912 | 1.06629724813110 |
55 | 78.7 | 83.7664543472041 | 100.629166666667 | 0.832427189074116 | 0.939516905822418 |
56 | 103.5 | 104.324133888978 | 101.525 | 1.02757088292517 | 0.99210025659207 |
57 | 113.8 | 115.060342455458 | 102.725 | 1.12008121154011 | 0.989046248007251 |
58 | 106.1 | 115.912339908754 | 103.65 | 1.11830525719975 | 0.915346891310467 |
59 | 120.3 | 124.352027712943 | 104.558333333333 | 1.18930766920803 | 0.96741486417659 |
60 | 114.2 | 107.911660097273 | 105.895833333333 | 1.01903594032444 | 1.05827303460125 |
61 | 106.3 | 103.843116179907 | 106.991666666667 | 0.970572002616154 | 1.02365957331092 |
62 | 98.8 | 101.335010780471 | 108.483333333333 | 0.934106720975305 | 0.97498386035639 |
63 | 113.1 | 108.177760718763 | 109.85 | 0.984777066169892 | 1.04550139740860 |
64 | 97.7 | 104.236573905237 | 111.233333333333 | 0.937098356954485 | 0.937290975131438 |
65 | 116.3 | 107.569527422547 | 112.9625 | 0.952258735620644 | 1.08116120602779 |
66 | 107.2 | 104.488367761618 | 114.2625 | 0.914458967391912 | 1.02595152260937 |
67 | 94.5 | 96.110655871849 | 115.458333333333 | 0.832427189074116 | 0.983241651435647 |
68 | 123.5 | 119.870425038566 | 116.654166666667 | 1.02757088292517 | 1.03027915317949 |
69 | 126.6 | 131.768220527598 | 117.641666666667 | 1.12008121154011 | 0.960777943976899 |
70 | 126.5 | 132.65896113532 | 118.625 | 1.11830525719975 | 0.9535729732646 |
71 | 141.4 | 141.849716796166 | 119.270833333333 | 1.18930766920803 | 0.996829624998039 |
72 | 124.3 | 122.246098991171 | 119.9625 | 1.01903594032444 | 1.01680136238112 |
73 | 124.9 | 118.025599568135 | 121.604166666667 | 0.970572002616154 | 1.05824499478942 |
74 | 108.9 | 115.704685838141 | 123.866666666667 | 0.934106720975305 | 0.941189193947943 |
75 | 126.7 | 123.884954924172 | 125.8 | 0.984777066169892 | 1.02272305848237 |
76 | 107.7 | 119.183292698661 | 127.183333333333 | 0.937098356954485 | 0.903650147276135 |
77 | 121.8 | 122.440634677156 | 128.579166666667 | 0.952258735620644 | 0.994767793560976 |
78 | 118.3 | 119.051126817335 | 130.1875 | 0.914458967391912 | 0.993690720638982 |
79 | 122.8 | 109.564760315259 | 131.620833333333 | 0.832427189074116 | 1.12079832645695 |
80 | 149.5 | 136.632675066283 | 132.966666666667 | 1.02757088292517 | 1.09417458106178 |
81 | 147 | 149.078142250941 | 133.095833333333 | 1.12008121154011 | 0.986060047304303 |
82 | 139.3 | 149.130665652825 | 133.354166666667 | 1.11830525719975 | 0.93408018659482 |
83 | 162.1 | 159.540668375635 | 134.145833333333 | 1.18930766920803 | 1.01604187603338 |
84 | 142.2 | 136.992398244282 | 134.433333333333 | 1.01903594032444 | 1.03801380092954 |
85 | 141.4 | 130.723916602363 | 134.6875 | 0.970572002616154 | 1.08166893767505 |
86 | 124.7 | 125.255927060114 | 134.091666666667 | 0.934106720975305 | 0.995561670627795 |
87 | 114 | 131.549803089195 | 133.583333333333 | 0.984777066169892 | 0.86659194710238 |
88 | 126.6 | 125.165103877221 | 133.566666666667 | 0.937098356954485 | 1.01146402693986 |
89 | 121.9 | 126.452024600958 | 132.791666666667 | 0.952258735620644 | 0.964001963469366 |
90 | 125.1 | 120.704773450035 | 131.995833333333 | 0.914458967391912 | 1.03641303010924 |
91 | 122.1 | 109.339311284885 | 131.35 | 0.832427189074116 | 1.11670723516693 |
92 | 135.9 | 134.008087769478 | 130.4125 | 1.02757088292517 | 1.01411789588235 |
93 | 148.4 | 146.137929070648 | 130.470833333333 | 1.12008121154011 | 1.01547901317432 |
94 | 137.5 | 145.701196197412 | 130.2875 | 1.11830525719975 | 0.943712224666295 |
95 | 145.3 | 154.164006621091 | 129.625 | 1.18930766920803 | 0.94250274875849 |
96 | 139.9 | 131.948170339676 | 129.483333333333 | 1.01903594032444 | 1.06026479669899 |
97 | 128.2 | 125.782087489043 | 129.595833333333 | 0.970572002616154 | 1.01922302737397 |
98 | 115.4 | 121.566205512261 | 130.141666666667 | 0.934106720975305 | 0.949276976390949 |
99 | 124.7 | 128.866285583882 | 130.858333333333 | 0.984777066169892 | 0.967669700690101 |
100 | 111.5 | 123.435376493342 | 131.720833333333 | 0.937098356954485 | 0.903306678908327 |
101 | 121.1 | 126.578992432374 | 132.925 | 0.952258735620644 | 0.95671483611073 |
102 | 122.5 | 122.758495880969 | 134.241666666667 | 0.914458967391912 | 0.997894272986043 |
103 | 127.4 | NA | NA | 0.832427189074116 | NA |
104 | 143.7 | NA | NA | 1.02757088292517 | NA |
105 | 157.8 | NA | NA | 1.12008121154011 | NA |
106 | 148.8 | NA | NA | 1.11830525719975 | NA |
107 | 162.9 | NA | NA | 1.18930766920803 | NA |
108 | 153.9 | NA | NA | 1.01903594032444 | NA |